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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 37. (Read 3313076 times)

member
Activity: 200
Merit: 47
May 07, 2021, 05:14:31 PM
https://twitter.com/CryptoKaleo/status/1390364888049008646

260k followers twitter account is saying only way further is vertical. Such vertical breakout would probably push price way over $1000. Wonder how long we will have to wait to see it.

   I don't see why 8-12k is out of the question this cycle.  I shouldn't be disappointed if we stall at $2500-4k, but I might be. A bit.  $1000 is going to arrive in a flash, and disappear in the rearview as fast.  Where is johnallen to tell us $700 will be the top  Grin

I love Monero! I’ve held a long time.

I hope it goes to 20k.


Just this cycle I’m expecting around 700-1000.

What’s people’s expectation for this cycle?
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
May 07, 2021, 08:35:55 AM
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut now and then kurious. Wink  And the handle was a little on the quick side.. but it did seem to happen.

I would like to point out that this is the BTCXMR chart too.  We have taken a fine beating on that pair, and who knows?  I think BTC has been consolodating for the next (big) leg for a while, and that COULD throw the alts a little rough waters.

On the other hand I think Doge is leading the way (wen Wownero moon? lol such invisidawg) for alts and as Bitcoin heats up and becomes the plaything for institutions and nation states, the alt world is likely to heat up even if the reason is irrational.  Joe Public is still believing the "next bitcoin" narrative.  And it has become expensive to transact in BTC. And even though Doge pumping is bad for crypto in general (because it is BOUND to crash back down I think and it makes the whole thing look like the loony casino much of it is) there are an actual handfull of alts that WILL find their place, and I do not need to explain why Monero is near (at?) the top of that list.

The sector often gets compared to the doc com bubble, and that is PARTLY true.  But the maxis have a good argument that Bitcoin is not a sector, and "there can only be one".  I think they are partly right.  There will not be a "basket" of crypto assets in the end.  I think the development is going to happen on Liquid, and sidechains like it.  And it will overshadow everything the current alts was trying to do.

But (broken record cAPS here).  Bitcoin will never have a fungible base layer.  That tradeoff will never happen.

So... Wink



So now what happens?  That is the fun question!!!

Well... and not to be a bucket of cold water, but the RSI is way overheated on pretty much ALL the long term time frames (6hr - 3d) with only the weekly (and up) having some room to run.

This is the 12h chart.  I think it's not impossible to see more UP, but i think a correction from here is more likley...  and we could even see a neeto C&H here if it does something like this:



I think my biggest question is what is driving this rally?  We are seeing some fairly good volume on this run, and it is counter, or ahead of almost all other alts.

It feels like there is some fairly big buying going on...  I do not assume a big sale went on at WHM? Wink  It is hard to see what REAL volume is doing with all the goofy wash trading at the shady casinos exchanges.

Who is buying?
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 1748
May 07, 2021, 06:18:39 AM
I think cAPSLOCK mentioned a possible giant cup and was hoping for the handle to appear.   If it was you sir, well spotted - it seems to have come off just as predicted (or hoped for).

When Monero decides to awaken, it does it rather wonderfully...  Barolo time indeed.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2442
May 07, 2021, 03:48:57 AM
Target price: $10k. Not selling a mo till it hits it.  Cool

Seeing that doge is about to dethrone BTC the world went full retard apparently and $10k/Mo does not look that far away now. Hodl friends. Good days are ahead.

(inner voice: it is about to crash hard)
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
May 07, 2021, 01:10:03 AM


Boom $500

Hash rate:      up
transactions:  up
google searches: up
 
  There's a rumbling underfoot.

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=monero
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
May 06, 2021, 11:02:39 PM
USD ATH

Let's GOO

Hopefully this rally is just getting started. Would like to catch up to ETH in terms of USD ATH multiple
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
May 06, 2021, 10:56:56 PM
USD ATH
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
May 06, 2021, 10:46:27 PM
Took the Barolo off the shelf...
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
May 06, 2021, 08:36:48 PM
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
May 06, 2021, 07:19:49 PM
https://www.instagram.com/p/COLwaoPjzHY/
Yessica Ortega Gentner is Mexican MMA fighter. Never heard of her before but she is extremely sexy with her top.

Whoever did that good on you.

Quote
mrseanilove
Are you sponsored by Monero?

lachina_yessica
@mrseanilove yes I am 😊😎👊🏼🔥
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
May 06, 2021, 03:12:04 PM
https://www.instagram.com/p/COLwaoPjzHY/

Yessica Ortega Gentner is Mexican MMA fighter. Never heard of her before but she is extremely sexy with her top.



legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
May 06, 2021, 02:53:37 PM
https://twitter.com/CryptoKaleo/status/1390364888049008646

260k followers twitter account is saying only way further is vertical. Such vertical breakout would probably push price way over $1000. Wonder how long we will have to wait to see it.

   I don't see why 8-12k is out of the question this cycle.  I shouldn't be disappointed if we stall at $2500-4k, but I might be. A bit.  $1000 is going to arrive in a flash, and disappear in the rearview as fast.  Where is johnallen to tell us $700 will be the top  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
May 06, 2021, 01:32:55 PM
https://twitter.com/CryptoKaleo/status/1390364888049008646

260k followers twitter account is saying only way further is vertical. Such vertical breakout would probably push price way over $1000. Wonder how long we will have to wait to see it.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
May 04, 2021, 05:59:31 PM
I kinda can't wait to see the bus get a little bigger... wonder when that will happen?

This is tricky to answer since everything can be changed when triptych happen at next hard fork. We will have to wait some more time before all will be decided and cast predictions while considering actual numbers. I dont believe Monero could have such growth of transactions to get blocks full before the protocol upgrade will happen.

LOL. Never listen to me!

Today "bus" start going bigger.

From block 2353326 to block 2353452, blocks were full or close to full.  That was for over 4 hours and 40 minutes.

https://old.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/n4ipfb/if_you_ever_wondered_how_dynamic_block_size_works/

As we can see change was not huge. It grows very slow.


We are still growing... All of crypto is starting to feel like it is expanding now... I need to do a little research.

It's fun to see them peering out of the back window. Wink

legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
May 04, 2021, 09:08:13 AM
I kinda can't wait to see the bus get a little bigger... wonder when that will happen?

This is tricky to answer since everything can be changed when triptych happen at next hard fork. We will have to wait some more time before all will be decided and cast predictions while considering actual numbers. I dont believe Monero could have such growth of transactions to get blocks full before the protocol upgrade will happen.

LOL. Never listen to me!

Today "bus" start going bigger.

From block 2353326 to block 2353452, blocks were full or close to full.  That was for over 4 hours and 40 minutes.

https://old.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/n4ipfb/if_you_ever_wondered_how_dynamic_block_size_works/

As we can see change was not huge. It grows very slow.
full member
Activity: 142
Merit: 130
May 03, 2021, 09:46:53 AM
The Monero Moon (Issue 16) is now available to help keep you up to date with all the latest Monero news.

Hit like and share to spread the word of Monero as we head to the moon.

https://medium.com/themoneromoon/the-monero-moon-issue-16-9ad832ffcdcc
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1166
April 30, 2021, 04:34:54 AM
I think the main issue with things like three letter agencies and back doors etc is to do with the cryptographic tools used in the network rather than the codebase.  In other words crypto assets rely on things like SHA2 and elliptic curves (asymmetric crypto privatives).  And the fear is someone(s) like the NSA might know a vulnerability in one of these privatives which has rendered it, for them, no longer asymmetric.  Meaning for the person with the "key to the cypher", so to speak, it will be easy to decode as well as encode which is something we rely on NOT being possible for things like Bitcoin to work at all.

Nearly everyone who really understands these things (not me, lol) seems to think this is a fairly remote chance.

Ok, I get it. The documentary about "Rubikon/Thesaurus" just kind of confirmed this inner voice inside my head saying "never say never". It was just so mind-boggling that they can sell an algorithm with a backdoor to dozens of countries without those countries taking notice although using the systems for decades. You would think it might work for a year, or maybe two, but 20???

I am far from understanding enough to have a sufficiently qualified opinion, so I just go with what the "experts" say and forget what happened in the documentary. Suppressing the inner voice so to say, at least during the Bitcoin bull runs! Tongue Wink

Why would that boggle your mind?

Microshaft has been doing just that for 40 years.

Closed source black box cannot easily be audited so you rely on a "trusted setup" in effect, sound familiar?

Sounds familiar! Wink But still, it boggled my mind because, you know I am not cryptography expert, but I would think that all these international customers the Crypto AG had were not able to detect the backdoor despite having their own best hackers and cryptographers working on it. To someone like me that is indeed mind-boggling. As I said, I wouldn't have been too surprised if nobody noticed for a couple of years, but two decades? All these nations with their own "CIA" couldn't find out that the US and Germany secret services put a backdoor into the algorithm. It is a crazy story and I wouldn't describe myself as naive, especially not when it comes to companies like Microsoft.
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
April 29, 2021, 07:50:19 PM
I think the main issue with things like three letter agencies and back doors etc is to do with the cryptographic tools used in the network rather than the codebase.  In other words crypto assets rely on things like SHA2 and elliptic curves (asymmetric crypto privatives).  And the fear is someone(s) like the NSA might know a vulnerability in one of these privatives which has rendered it, for them, no longer asymmetric.  Meaning for the person with the "key to the cypher", so to speak, it will be easy to decode as well as encode which is something we rely on NOT being possible for things like Bitcoin to work at all.

Nearly everyone who really understands these things (not me, lol) seems to think this is a fairly remote chance.

Ok, I get it. The documentary about "Rubikon/Thesaurus" just kind of confirmed this inner voice inside my head saying "never say never". It was just so mind-boggling that they can sell an algorithm with a backdoor to dozens of countries without those countries taking notice although using the systems for decades. You would think it might work for a year, or maybe two, but 20???

I am far from understanding enough to have a sufficiently qualified opinion, so I just go with what the "experts" say and forget what happened in the documentary. Suppressing the inner voice so to say, at least during the Bitcoin bull runs! Tongue Wink

Why would that boggle your mind?

Microshaft has been doing just that for 40 years.

Closed source black box cannot easily be audited so you rely on a "trusted setup" in effect, sound familiar?
legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1166
April 29, 2021, 04:34:34 PM
I think the main issue with things like three letter agencies and back doors etc is to do with the cryptographic tools used in the network rather than the codebase.  In other words crypto assets rely on things like SHA2 and elliptic curves (asymmetric crypto privatives).  And the fear is someone(s) like the NSA might know a vulnerability in one of these privatives which has rendered it, for them, no longer asymmetric.  Meaning for the person with the "key to the cypher", so to speak, it will be easy to decode as well as encode which is something we rely on NOT being possible for things like Bitcoin to work at all.

Nearly everyone who really understands these things (not me, lol) seems to think this is a fairly remote chance.

Ok, I get it. The documentary about "Rubikon/Thesaurus" just kind of confirmed this inner voice inside my head saying "never say never". It was just so mind-boggling that they can sell an algorithm with a backdoor to dozens of countries without those countries taking notice although using the systems for decades. You would think it might work for a year, or maybe two, but 20???

I am far from understanding enough to have a sufficiently qualified opinion, so I just go with what the "experts" say and forget what happened in the documentary. Suppressing the inner voice so to say, at least during the Bitcoin bull runs! Tongue Wink
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
April 29, 2021, 12:44:33 PM
I’d love to have a view from Aminorex.

We are likely to break USD ATH this year. By how much I don’t have a clue, but I think around 800usd is possible.


BTC ATH, not gonna happen tho. Maybe by 2025

So you think BTC has already topped out for this Epoch?  I will be very suprised if that is so.. I see it as an edge case, one that balances the "supercycle" edge case on the other extreme... I think the latter is actually MORE likely aside from the over-abundance of bullishness... max pain supports your theory.

As to Monero.  I see the chance it decouples significantly from bitcoin to be fairly small.  But better than most other coins.  But that is what it would have to do to fulfil your above scenario...  XMR @ 800 with BTC continuing to drop.

I think it is more likely that we see more BTC action, and *probably* a XMRBTC pullback with continued hold/rise in XMRUSD.

I could see XMR in 4 digits USD EASILY in this scenario...  

No, he is saying the BTC/XMR ATH is not on the horizon.
Ah.  Thanks for the decode on that... seems obvious now.  And I agree that is less likely.  I think that is the case for most OG alts too... *maybe* not ETH.
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