I am being VERY realistic and Monero of all cryptos could very easily be the target of a ban.
In the US the Supreme Court has ruled that we have an inalienable right to privacy, and anonymity. Roe v. Wade and McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Commission are not going to be overturned, ever. There are no do-overs for Supreme Court decisions.
1k By May though? would require a massive leap in DNM adoption being honest thats where most of the value is going to come from in my opinion.
Agreed. It is the earliest month of my 90% confidence interval. In other words, I consider that the probability of 1k before May is no more than 0.05.
Counter-terrorism measures is the only vector attack it can be employed politically to amend the constitution. I haven't undertaken research for mechanisms to overturn SC's decisions so I won't yet comment on that. trump has been ignoring constitutional norms since he took ground on day zero. False flags, as we saw 'elsewhere', can be pulled off to justify.
On a different dimension:
Regulations for BTC are undergoing debate in Europe's chambers, or at least floating in their members's skulls. Regulation shows acceptance. But this is BTC, an any oppressive government's wet dream. While they would not refuse, but embrace cheerfully, this gift, same would not apply symmetrically to XMR.
Yesterday's Guardian:
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/dec/04/bitcoin-uk-eu-plan-cryptocurrency-price-traders-anonymityBut Sir Jon Cunliffe, a deputy governor of the Bank of England, last week said the digital currency was too small to pose a systemic threat to the global economy. He also cautioned that bitcoin investors needed “to do their homework”.
On this front, we may say for 50x, or till BTC's mcap size, unlikely any attack will be carried out.
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