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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 975. (Read 3314350 times)

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
October 21, 2016, 09:44:42 AM
Quote
i cannot understand that we fall below 100 but I think

That's a general problem here.

hero member
Activity: 608
Merit: 509
October 21, 2016, 09:41:27 AM
More realistic view of achieving 10 000 usd/xmr is 10-20 years. It took 10-20 years for internet to break through so please give Monero also some years.

20 years is really a long time in terms of software engineering, so I would not expect that Monero still exists in 20 years in its current manner. I think good software will succeed in the end, so I'm holding my Moneros as long as necessary (long term investment 2-5 years).


In software engineering it's generally true that nothing's really ever any good until after about version 3.0 or so.

You have to completely throw out a lot of what's done at first in 1.0 and 2.0 before you can really get it right by 3.0 I think.  It's difficult and not *always* precisely true, but "true enough" in general that I think it may apply here.

Bitcoin is crypto-currency 1.0 -- Satoshi is a genius and got a lot of it VERY VERY RIGHT.  But not everything.  Especially fungibility is seriously flawed.

Monero is crypto-currency 2.0 -- IMHO the anonymous CryptoNote creator/author "Nicolas van Saberhagen" may very well himself BE Satoshi (S.N. / N.S.) as Satoshi "disappeared" to go and "work on other things" just around the time CryptoNote appeared on the scene, I believe.

Because of the possibility of "Speculative Attack" ( http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/speculative-attack/ ) it seems likely that ONE crypto-currency will start to take over the world, once some level of critical mass market cap is reached.  We're still very far away from that point however... probably it's somewhere around bitcoin being worth $10,000 each at a minimum.

Whatever may end up being the final-form "version 3.0" crypto-currency may not have even appeared on the scene yet.

But we early-adopters here, all of us, are well-positioned to be able to take advantage of whatever's coming...  Grin

SO, EVERYONE: keep THIS long-view kind of stuff in mind and go ahead and quibble over the day to day movements of price, and if you get your jollies by trying to time the market and pick up pennies in front of the steamroller here?  Go ahead, have fun, knock yourself out.

But IMHO *THIS* point of view is the antidote to all the bullshit FUD nonsense and distraction that's cluttering up this-here Speculation Thread lately.

You're welcome Smiley
full member
Activity: 227
Merit: 100
October 21, 2016, 09:23:12 AM
I find all this Germany FUD group very pathetic and sad...

True, but most if not all of it, is one guy! And he's really busy in the Polo troll box... No concept of the big picture or the long game!

TC brought up a $10k price concept and 10-20 years to make it happen which sets our troll(s) off and running. What they can't understand is that we can't look at the software, hardware or networking issues we have today and not figure in the exponential growth aspects of technology into what the software will look like in 5, 10 or 20 years. And sure $10,000 looks like a ludicrous price but if we have any significant inflation over that period, it could be the equivalent of 30-50% of that amount in real dollars. That's just off the top of my head, I haven't done the calculations so please don't hold me to that number but it's the concept of inflation in the fiat currencies that I'm suggesting.

The bottom line is I'd like to see a lot more discussion about the future growth and economic possibilities rather than just combatting this FUD Fest!

Edit: Also, we all are struggling to see what things will look like in 12-18 months and so it's almost impossible to see what 5yrs out looks like let alone 20!
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
October 21, 2016, 09:14:12 AM
What do you guys think  Cool


high probabilty to go below 100 soon. It was already strong in trend to. Latest news only delayed the trend. Could either go up this weekend because of late starters who get the news late and think it's smart to get in fast cause they are emotional and don't figure out the facts before buy. Or it will drop already this weekend, than it will do so fast.
A lot of people bought now at "high" prices (114+)...when sey see that XMR will continue to fall, they will get rid of their coins as fast as they can to minimize loss (what i can totally understand 115-125 down to 80-90 are at least 22% total loss)....

if it will drop below 0.0095 i could even imagine that people who went in really high try to get rid of their coins. At some point everyone accepts the reality. I feel really sorry for everyone who bought above 180 and keeps a really expensive bag now Sad

the downtrend was interrupted by the app news. Small hype, now price is falling again. The buy walls are fake as always. I wouldn't trust them. Imagine price goes down to lets say for example 60. Its a loss of nearly 50%

This time it's not going for a short dump below 100 (my speculation)...i think it will drop something between 85 and 60. Followed by some buy activities than down again and finally silence until an important news appeared.

Who knows if not even zcash will make the race about Ransomware for next next weeks. Until moneros's RingCT is not implemented zCash is with zksnark's far more anonymous. And still a missing an official non java GUI. Moreover I see some money flowing from monero to zcash (Hype) at release.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
October 21, 2016, 09:06:22 AM
And price still falling...

Next stop 0.007x? Cheesy

Or even 0.006x?
sr. member
Activity: 419
Merit: 250
October 21, 2016, 08:53:58 AM
I find all this Germany FUD group very pathetic and sad...
hero member
Activity: 493
Merit: 551
October 21, 2016, 08:48:45 AM
Haha stop harrasing N-rG, he sits day and night in front of his PC, writing bad XMR fairy tales and drawing funny fake photoshop pictures and prays in hope it will influence the price.
Show some respect.  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
October 21, 2016, 08:36:43 AM
90% of the people here claim since 0.02x XMR will rise.
Including you Smiley

I dont want to be a shorter right now hehe Cheesy
I guess it will break 021 today++

lol oh how the hypocritical mind forgets.

N-rG thank you for the continued entertainment. I look forward to more entertainment and dancing from you.  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
October 21, 2016, 08:27:58 AM
90% of the people here claim since 0.02x XMR will rise.
Including you Smiley

I dont want to be a shorter right now hehe Cheesy
I guess it will break 021 today++
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
October 21, 2016, 07:56:55 AM
@N-rG

No one takes serious your screenshots.  Once you make fake ones you lose  trust.

Just put in Google to list you top and most respected dark markets and you will see which are.  But as I stated many times it is of no importance. Yes it is important that AB is strong and respective but sooner or latter most other markets will follow.  XMR is there to grab for  them.


In generally there is way to much bla bla about dark markets here anyway. And mainly because of you. Yes, is was sort of a recent news. But this is something minor in Monero. It definitely dont deserve 2/3 of speculation thread.

https://news.bitcoin.com/firms-will-monitor-blockchains/

Quote
The analysis revealed roughly 11,000 different URLs tethered to DNMs, with 22,000 public key sightings. Out of that data, Skry said it managed to identify 798 unique Bitcoin public keys. According to the report, the biggest DNM’s are Dream and AlphaBay, followed by a psychedelic forum called The Majestic Garden.

Yes yes...everything what is not in the fanboys trash talk favour is fake or fud or both  Cheesy

AB so unimportant? Well you'll cry so much if AB will do their exit scam because this will cause that the price will fall back to 0.003x

Moreover your and much other posts here are nothing related to a speculation Thread. When I read here racist commentaries (not by you) against people who speak german or some other retard talk I understand why these type of people fail in trading.

90% of the people here claim since 0.02x XMR will rise. Since that the price dropped more than a half. And it will drop even more. The most funny thing is that people here celebrate a slowdowntrend. It is still a downtrend and they still lost more than 50% of their capital.  Roll Eyes There is nothing to celebrate. And when some people here say either the price will drop they get ignored or insulted.

For me that doesn't matter. It just motivates me to deliver more fundementals Smiley I receive enough PM's every day by people who just don't want to argue with crazy people who claim XMR at 10.000$ in more than 20 years  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
October 21, 2016, 07:29:57 AM
The trolls are too short term here. They are expecting 10 000 usd by tonight and if the price will not go there in 24 hours they call it impossible.
Yes, Monero will be worth 10 000 usd each sooner or later but not today or even in 2016. 10 000 usd/xmr price tag is not impossible but the timeline of hours/a few months is unrealistic.
The shorters period it need to reach that price is 3-4 years - and that requires also skyrocketing and some mad money. More realistic view of achieving 10 000 usd/xmr is 10-20 years. It took 10-20 years for internet to break through so please give Monero also some years.

We will need a serious proper solution to scaling for that to ever happen. Way way more than just an adaptive block size, database optimization and pruning.

The bagholders alone can drive the price there and higher, and it is in their best interest to have as high price as possible.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
October 21, 2016, 07:21:29 AM
More realistic view of achieving 10 000 usd/xmr is 10-20 years. It took 10-20 years for internet to break through so please give Monero also some years.

20 years is really a long time in terms of software engineering,
so I would not expect that Monero still exists in 20 years in its current manner. I think good software will succeed in the end, so I'm holding my Moneros as long as necessary (long term investment 2-5 years).

Regarding the zCash hype: I think a lot of people will loose a lot of money in the the first weeks of the zCash launch (every bubble bursts in some time). So I will stay away from zCash. Although it's not a design contest, but the zCash GUI looks really ugly  Shocked

It is.
But Monero is much more than a software. It is a digital currency. The rate of change will stagnate as well... In the beginning we see the largest changes taking place, later changes are just fine tuning (like SD cards - in the beginning they were a big thing but later the only thing that changes is the size of the card).

I think there will be new applications for block chain, Monero but I do not consider them as threaths to the existence of Monero. Just like Etherium is not a rival to Monero but it fills a niche that Monero or bitcoin cannot fill anyway.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
October 21, 2016, 07:15:46 AM
The trolls are too short term here. They are expecting 10 000 usd by tonight and if the price will not go there in 24 hours they call it impossible.
Yes, Monero will be worth 10 000 usd each sooner or later but not today or even in 2016. 10 000 usd/xmr price tag is not impossible but the timeline of hours/a few months is unrealistic.
The shorters period it need to reach that price is 3-4 years - and that requires also skyrocketing and some mad money. More realistic view of achieving 10 000 usd/xmr is 10-20 years. It took 10-20 years for internet to break through so please give Monero also some years.
I guess that's a long wait but worth a shot, buy then if we are talking of that substantial growth, what would be the price of bitcoin then. With your prediction, it made me realize that I should also consider XMR and now is its lowest price maybe... So let's see, gonna grab some later for 10-20 years holding.

Indeed it is.
The price was 0.004 for the early adopters (summer 2014). The inflation was so strong that some might even talk about hyperinflation.
Later comers got the best deal after the FUD storm of bitcoinexpress as the price drop to sub 0.001 levels (I was lucky to catch around 30 XMR under 0.001).
Now the price is around twice as much it was in summer 2014 but the inflation is in control now and it gets lower and lower.
10-20 years is something I would consider a goal and after that the growth will stagnate IMO. Then there critical mass has been achieved I would assume.
member
Activity: 69
Merit: 10
October 21, 2016, 07:12:03 AM
Due to the massive hype around zcash I originally thought we would see a bloodbath in monero, but that was before the futures marked priced it as high as 0.2 BTC. Now I'm not so sure. If this price ends up being the starting price when zcash is added to exchanges it will seem very overpriced, with little upside. Everyone and their grandma wants in on this thing, but at these outrageous prices I wouldn't be surprised if they start buying other anonymous coins like zcoin, monero etc... Similar to the altcoin frenzy we had during the massive bitcoin bubble of 2013. People thinking it's expensive buy the undervalued coins in the same industry.


This.

legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 1288
October 21, 2016, 06:53:51 AM
@N-rG

No one takes serious your screenshots.  Once you make fake ones you lose  trust.

Just put in Google to list you top and most respected dark markets and you will see which are.  But as I stated many times it is of no importance. Yes it is important that AB is strong and respective but sooner or latter most other markets will follow.  XMR is there to grab for  them.


In generally there is way to much bla bla about dark markets here anyway. And mainly because of you. Yes, is was sort of a recent news. But this is something minor in Monero. It definitely dont deserve 2/3 of speculation thread.
newbie
Activity: 46
Merit: 0
October 21, 2016, 06:51:05 AM
As N-rG and his sock puppets moneylooser (dude loser is written with 1 O, Germans never learn that) and others, spread lies and faked news around the hour, they achieve some kind of contra effect. They make XMR hodlers and interested investors dull and deaf for FUD, they desensibilize everybody to FUD as everybody sees how obvious there agenda is and how much energy they put into it. Thx. Cheesy

I transfer you 250 BTC, pay 500 BTC to the XMR core dev Team and delete my account here when you give us proof that anything of this is fake (anyone else can try to deliver proof too so)  Roll Eyes

1.


Strange that even AB say's that not many vendors uses XRM. In every categorie XRM has something between only 0-8%. So im really intererested in your numbers.

http://pwoah7foa6au2pul.onion/forum/index.php?threads/monero-being-removed-from-ab.105698/#post-926275

https://s10.postimg.org/6tg8yjs2x/alphabay.jpg

Meanwhile AB even recommends to use a Tumbler for BTC instead of XRM  Roll Eyes

But ya, sparky999 must be right aswell as you his followers who still have the dream for the big hit but cannot deliver any argument except "XMR is great, buy it".
I guess that's the reason why the coin is now at something ~0.0100 -totally opposite what most people here were praying all the time. Espeacially TrueCrypt who said it is at 10.000$....the never ending loser story  Cheesy

https://s18.postimg.org/drej3g5m1/image.jpg

But maybe it is just to complex for some people. Some vendors explain it easy:

https://s15.postimg.org/hxoe2wxjv/image.jpg

So successful that DreamMarket (The Nr.1 Market) doesnt want it

https://s9.postimg.org/pz2pizbqn/dreammarket.jpg

https://s16.postimg.org/vb4g1ls3p/XMR.jpg

But serious: Maybe it will rise someday. But not now, not this year, and never worth 10.000$.

I get the 250BTC!!!! The last picture is a fake, TC said more than 6 times that XMR will rise. Moreover the picture of him is wrong he cannot type all day long here and hype XMR in Polo Trollbox caught in such a jacket!

It's fake!!! Give me the money bitch!
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
October 21, 2016, 06:45:09 AM
Alpha Bay is biggest dark market by far.

Quote
And just another lie. So sad about XMR. Doesnt deserve that lying community.



https://media.coindesk.com/uploads/2016/10/Screen-Shot-2016-10-11-at-11.46.40-AM.png


Where is your proof Febo?
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
October 21, 2016, 05:47:30 AM
Due to the massive hype around zcash I originally thought we would see a bloodbath in monero, but that was before the futures marked priced it as high as 0.2 BTC. Now I'm not so sure. If this price ends up being the starting price when zcash is added to exchanges it will seem very overpriced, with little upside. Everyone and their grandma wants in on this thing, but at these outrageous prices I wouldn't be surprised if they start buying other anonymous coins like zcoin, monero etc... Similar to the altcoin frenzy we had during the massive bitcoin bubble of 2013. People thinking it's expensive buy the undervalued coins in the same industry.
sr. member
Activity: 522
Merit: 266
October 21, 2016, 05:41:24 AM
As N-rG and his sock puppets moneylooser (dude loser is written with 1 O, Germans never learn that) and others, spread lies and faked news around the hour, they achieve some kind of contra effect. They make XMR hodlers and interested investors dull and deaf for FUD, they desensibilize everybody to FUD as everybody sees how obvious there agenda is and how much energy they put into it. Thx. Cheesy

I object to that generalisation.
newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
October 21, 2016, 04:54:39 AM
Good to sell above 0.0103

Margin short above 0.0103

Liquidate at 0.0186

Take profit 0.008888-0.009500

Gain goal: +7.5% (after costs)


Revision:
Take profit <0.009400
Gain goal: +8.2% (after costs)


Revision:
Take profit <0.009300
Gain goal: +9.2% (after costs)
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