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Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] - page 4. (Read 59617 times)

sr. member
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legendary
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Do not die for Putin
Take it from a Ukrainian: Western Systems “Worthless.”:


https://responsiblestatecraft.org/ukraine-us-weapons/



Meanwhile near Belgorod...

https://s3.eu-central-2.wasabisys.com/liveuamap/videos/579943676020069306/v.mp4

... waiting for you to provide evidence of the AWACS being not useful and some facts (not opinion - which anyone can post without any consequence in the west). There will always be retired generals or any other trying to get their 5 minutes of fame, but in the end Ruzzia has been stopped in its tracks in Kharkiv and are taking loses in Belgorod with those "systems that do not work".
sr. member
Activity: 2492
Merit: 319
Take it from a Ukrainian: Western Systems “Worthless.”:


https://responsiblestatecraft.org/ukraine-us-weapons/

legendary
Activity: 2226
Merit: 1589
Do not die for Putin
So now you believe Russian telegram channels? But they also said they killed 1700 Ukrainian soldiers today

That Swedish AWACS will change nothing, as Ukrainians receive all the intel they need from USA/UK anyway

Now that we established that Russian telegram channels tell truth about both sides losses, how about

you find equal Ukrainian channel, since posting photos/videos equals to 15+ years in Gulag for Ukrainians,

or death as we saw few times already, even for American citizens

I do not particularly, but there is video evidence of missiles hitting Belgorod. Everything adds up.

The AWACS make a big difference, because they can fly over Ukraine freely. It is a simple question of being able to detect while keeping away from the long range Ruzzian Air-Air missiles (R37 I seem to recall).

Ukraine has a limit on posting on-line information that can lead to locations and the like, which is in general ignored - pretty much in the same way is ignored in Ruzzia. I have not seen evidence of you claims, please post it here. I mean, unless it is not true.

sr. member
Activity: 2492
Merit: 319
So now you believe Russian telegram channels? But they also said they killed 1700 Ukrainian soldiers today

That Swedish AWACS will change nothing, as Ukrainians receive all the intel they need from USA/UK anyway

Now that we established that Russian telegram channels tell truth about both sides losses, how about

you find equal Ukrainian channel, since posting photos/videos equals to 15+ years in Gulag for Ukrainians,

or death as we saw few times already, even for American citizens
legendary
Activity: 2226
Merit: 1589
Do not die for Putin
Edit 2024.06.02 - Around 300 HIMARS rockets have been used in just 5 days. If you want to know where they went, you can check the Pro=Ruzzian telegram channels, where they give details of how a full convoy going to the Sumy offensive was obliterated - i repeat, this comes from Ruzzian sources.

I think the commanders did not read my post about how the restriction on attacks in Ruzzian pre-2014 territory had been lifted and decided to take an unprotected walk around the fields in a perfect line of vehicles.
There are reports on bases equally hit, with massive destruction as the Ruzzian were shamefully unprepared.

/---


Look, keep linking your "selected" sources - all opinion but little facts, but anyone following the front knows that Ruzzia is pretty much stopped everywhere. There are images of "clown car tanks", carrying 20+ people in just one tank.

Let's be honest, if Ruzzia cannot "win" this year, it is going to get veeery ugly for them. The only strategy is always doubling the bet, and Martingales always end with a zero.

Today there are some factual news:


- Firstly, Ruzzia used missiles in relatively large numbers, but nothing like at the start of the war, to once more target power and hydropower centrals in Ukraine. While many missiles are intercepted, some made it unfortunately. Hopefully, Ukraine will keep receiving further air defence units and eventually the AWACS from Sweden will provide a much better chance to stop these. There is going to be hard times before things get better.

- Secondly, Ukraine now is perfectly able to respond. The hits in the Ferries that served the Kerch bridge crossing are now "drydocked" and the fuel depots in the nearby port have been blasted. At least things are now balanced in costs.

- On the other side, there is public confirmation of the US an Germany allowing the use of their weapons in Ruzzian pre-2014 territories, specially in Belgorod. The recent change in strategy to hit expensive and difficult to replace oil infrastructure in Ruzzia is showing some results an Ruzzia will not enjoy the safety of not being hit in Belgorod.

- On regards to the front, Ruzzia is plainly stopped. The Kharkiv offensive ended up in a massive disaster for Ruzzia, with ridiculous loses.

- Something seems to be happening when Ruzzia needs to attack like this:

https://youtu.be/KGD_fT5Sb0M?t=8

A "clown tank". How many can you count? 25? 30?

Plus a free anecdote, which may turn later on to be more than anecdote

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LeJH8iZ6ZM

legendary
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https://edition.cnn.com/2024/05/30/politics/biden-ukraine-limited-strikes-russia/index.html

Quote
Biden gives Ukraine permission to carry out limited strikes within Russia using US weapons
[...]
“The president recently directed his team to ensure that Ukraine is able to use US supplied-weapons for counterfire purposes in Kharkiv so Ukraine can hit back at Russian forces hitting them or preparing to hit them,” one of the officials said.

Nothing secret here.  Cool

My guess is that we are quickly going to find what are those limits. My guess is that the first ones to find out will be the Ruzzia Air and Air defence forces - they are always preparing to hit.

Air defence is one of the highest priority targets in all conflicts and all sides, you're just stating an obvious thing. But it's a change in paradigm, US is trying to redefine what it means to be a party to a conflict, we're setting the precedent that country X can buy soldiers in country Y (by paying their salaries, retirement, healthcare etc...) and then send them their weapons, so soldiers paid by country X can attack country Z with X's weapons without X being a part of the conflict? Another terrible precedent being set onto the world.



[...]

Right, only people on the border with Russia/China should be considered as being able to have a free will, but everyone should ignore those Cubans which totally should not have a right to self-determination

[...]

Cuba is an independent country with their own dictatorial regime since more than 50 years ago. But this is whattabout and unrelated to Ukraine.

"independent country" which is not allowed to join military alliance or place weapons on it's own land. You're attempting to use whattaboutism to justify double standards For my friends, everything; for my enemies, the law. First set precedent then claim whataboutism. Pretty much removing all laws and standards upholding global stability, total mystery why there are so many wars around the world, must be all Putin  Huh



Just so people realize the scale of the issue in case anyone here still thinks that this is just local Ukraine vs. Russia conflict

Nobody does. There are winners in this war, but the Ruzzia people, the Ukrainian people and the EU are not.


Finally! Now if you start thinking of this as one superpower trying to expand it's sphere of influence (through financial means onto another aka financial expansionism), let's think of possible outcomes. Either they're successful and Russia collapses (and after it China) or things go back to status quo of 2013, or as stakes continue to rise "west" might collapse. There's just no free lunch in this world.


The Russian Drone Plant That Could Shape the War in Ukraine
[...]

Shaheds are not intercepted with Patriots nor with expensive missiles - do some research.


Shaheds were and still are intercepted by the expensive missiles. It's obviously preferential to use other less expansive means but expensive missiles are still used as a last line of defense against the few drones that are not defeated by other cheaper means and are going for high value targets.



That's only one new factory.
[...]

Of the many that can be destroyed, of the many Ruzzia claims is producing XYZ thousand of this and that... Wonderwaffen is limitless.


"At the end of April, the factory was ahead of its production schedule, having already supplied 4,500 of the promised Shaheds, according to the Institute for Science and International Security, a Washington, D.C.-based defense-focused think tank."
I'm assuming Russia would claim a much higher number. your denial seems to cloud your reading comprehension   Roll Eyes



Nato has just 5% of air defences needed to protect eastern flank
[...]

Ruzzia has less than 0.00001% of the defences they need if they whish to fight NATO. I guess the WSJ is not influenced by Raytheon? Or .. could it be???

...


I just love when you make up numbers without any citations.



Russia’s war against Ukraine has underscored the importance of air defence, as Kyiv begs the west for additional systemsand rockets to protect its cities, troops and energy grid against daily bombing raids.

If one reads the word "begs" instead of "asks" or "requests" one must suspect an intention.


It's indeed interesting choice of words by Financial Times. Could either shows intent or the reality and the gravity of the current situation. Next article by Bloomberg should hint at which one it is.

Ukraine Is Running Short of People
...
Drain on manpower emerging as main concern among businesses
Conscription, exodus shrink work force by more than a quarter

Ukraine’s manpower shortage is beginning to bite.

The same drain on personnel that’s weakened Ukrainian forces staving off Russia’s onslaught on the battlefield is also sapping the productivity of the war-battered nation’s factory floors, construction sites, mines and restaurants.

It’s a conundrum for President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, who is desperate to replenish his forces while ensuring that the shortage doesn’t damage an economy he needs to keep afloat.
“We are now in a war of attrition,” Ukrainian Deputy Central Bank Governor Sergiy Nikolaychuk said in an interview in Kyiv. “It is very difficult to choose between butter and guns.”

The problem will only intensify as the Russian invasion drags well into its third year and Kyiv is forced to fill a gap left by millions who have either fled the country, joined the army or fallen in battle. As Ukraine’s military struggles to hold the line against a fresh Russian offensive, its economy — which has lost a quarter of its output since the invasion began — risks being further weakened by the shrinking workforce.

Nikolaychuk said a collapse in economic output compared with 2021 was linked with a contraction of about 27% in the available labor force from pre-war levels.
...
It’s a policy challenge that can’t be fixed with help from allies, who are dispatching ammunition and air-defense equipment. Manpower is a finite issue — one that gives Russia and its vast resources an advantage.
...
Petruk said. Some 15% of Metinvest [which employs almost 60,000 people] workers have been conscripted, she said.
...
Kyiv’s metro system said it’ll soon run fewer trains because migration and conscription caused a “significant deficit” of workers that’s expected to worsen as more employees join the army. Mykolaiv, a southern city near the front line, reduced bus services because of the mobilization of drivers, Mayor Oleksandr Sienkevych told Suspilne, a public broadcaster.
...
Many are also hiring women for jobs once predominantly held by men, such as in mining, bringing in students or hiring foreign staff, including migrants from Turkey, she said.

15% of all 60,000 workers. How many of all of the workers were women, men under 25 over 60, and otherwise ineligible for conscription? Then we can guesstimate what percentage of able-bodied men have already been sent to the front lines and how many still left.

Looks like they're starting to bring in people from Turkey to fill in the population gap, just like in Germany
legendary
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https://edition.cnn.com/2024/05/30/politics/biden-ukraine-limited-strikes-russia/index.html

Quote
Biden gives Ukraine permission to carry out limited strikes within Russia using US weapons
[...]
“The president recently directed his team to ensure that Ukraine is able to use US supplied-weapons for counterfire purposes in Kharkiv so Ukraine can hit back at Russian forces hitting them or preparing to hit them,” one of the officials said.

Nothing secret here.  Cool

My guess is that we are quickly going to find what are those limits. My guess is that the first ones to find out will be the Ruzzia Air and Air defence forces - they are always preparing to hit.


~


Of course nothing secret. If it were secret, I couldn't have posted it. But it was secret when it was authorized.

The point, however, is that this is only a test. The US weapons are outdated, old weapons that have to be used before they become duds. So, let's just see if Ukraine can do any damage with them. Lol.

Cool
legendary
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Do not die for Putin
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/05/30/politics/biden-ukraine-limited-strikes-russia/index.html

[...]

Right, only people on the border with Russia/China should be considered as being able to have a free will, but everyone should ignore those Cubans which totally should not have a right to self-determination

[...]

Cuba is an independent country with their own dictatorial regime since more than 50 years ago. But this is whattabout and unrelated to Ukraine.

Just so people realize the scale of the issue in case anyone here still thinks that this is just local Ukraine vs. Russia conflict

Nobody does. There are winners in this war, but the Ruzzia people, the Ukrainian people and the EU are not.

The Russian Drone Plant That Could Shape the War in Ukraine
[...]

Shaheds are not intercepted with Patriots nor with expensive missiles - do some research.


That's only one new factory.
[...]

Of the many that can be destroyed, of the many Ruzzia claims is producing XYZ thousand of this and that... Wonderwaffen is limitless.


Nato has just 5% of air defences needed to protect eastern flank
[...]

Ruzzia has less than 0.00001% of the defences they need if they whish to fight NATO. I guess the WSJ is not influenced by Raytheon? Or .. could it be???

...

Russia’s war against Ukraine has underscored the importance of air defence, as Kyiv begs the west for additional systemsand rockets to protect its cities, troops and energy grid against daily bombing raids.

If one reads the word "begs" instead of "asks" or "requests" one must suspect an intention.


legendary
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We can easily see that it is Biden who is expanding and extending this war.


Biden secretly gave Ukraine permission to strike inside Russia with US arms, Politico reports



https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-secretly-gave-ukraine-permission-strike-inside-russia-with-us-arms-2024-05-30/
WASHINGTON, May 30 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden has secretly given Ukraine permission to strike inside Russia - solely near the area of Kharkiv - with American weapons, Politico reported on Thursday, citing a U.S. official and two other people familiar with the plan.

"The president recently directed his team to ensure that Ukraine is able to use U.S. weapons for counter-fire purposes in Kharkiv so Ukraine can hit back at Russian forces hitting them or preparing to hit them," Politico reported, citing a U.S. official who added that the policy of allowing long-range strikes inside Russia "has not changed."

Politico's story did not say when Biden gave the permission.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned of the threat of a global conflict if Kyiv's Western allies allow it to use weapons they have supplied to strike inside Russia, something Ukraine's government is urging its partners to permit.

The United States has said it does not encourage or enable the use of U.S. weapons for direct attacks on Russia, but Secretary of State Antony Blinken, when asked about Washington's current position on the matter, said on Wednesday it would "adjust and adapt."
...



Cool
legendary
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Why do you mix together countries with different politics and ambitions? For instance Belarus doesn't want to be a NATO member, contrary to Georgia and Armenia, but they aren't being asked by NATO to join. It's not NATO that is coming to them, but they're trying to get into NATO. Why is that? What are they so afraid? Maybe they don't want to become a part of the Soviet Union again?

Not true...USA tried to topple Lukashenko in a coup, too. Same as in all former USSR republics, can you
name single one where USA didn't try to "bring democracy" by replacing legal government with
"USA friendly" one? And why would they do that if Russia is not a final goal?

I told you coolcoinz, this people here will not deviate from the narrative. Any opposition to Ruzzia is NATO acting in the background. People are not free, they are "bought by cookies" or "under the CIA direction"... it is simply not in their mindset to think that they may see a different future for their children and may want to fight for it.

does it take money and help to get there? Yes, it may be impossible otherwise, Moscow's tentacles are multiple (fortunately, not infinite).



Right, only people on the border with Russia/China should be considered as being able to have a free will, but everyone should ignore those Cubans which totally should not have a right to self-determination  Undecided we all believe that right  Huh Hypocrisy at it's best? all people are equal but some people are more equal than others & For my friends, everything; for my enemies, the law

Just so people realize the scale of the issue in case anyone here still thinks that this is just local Ukraine vs. Russia conflict

The Russian Drone Plant That Could Shape the War in Ukraine
...
The attack highlighted an important new aspect of the war in Ukraine, military experts say: the speed with which Russia can scale up production of Iranian-designed surveillance and attack drones, drawing on Chinese components, an African workforce and logistics networks that Iran honed during its own yearslong standoff with the West.
...
Their low cost compared with the expensive missiles Ukraine uses means air-defense units have sometimes resorted to machine guns to shoot them down.
...
In 2020, a United Nations report identified the company as a possible source of engines in Shahed drones found in attacks by Yemen’s Houthis and Iran on Saudi oil facilities the previous year. The engine has a rotary configuration, making it more efficient than piston engines and ideally suited to long-range drones. They can cost tens of thousands of dollars when constructed with high-grade materials, but the price can be cut to a few thousand if cheaper materials are used and longevity isn’t an issue, as would be the case in a suicide drone, experts say. The company didn’t respond to a request for comment.
...
The plan is for the Alabuga facility to churn out 6,000 Shahed attack drones a year, in addition to surveillance drones, according to a contract between the plant’s Russian managers and their Iranian partners leaked by the Prana Network and that was independently corroborated by two advisers to the British government. At the end of April, the factory was ahead of its production schedule, having already supplied 4,500 of the promised Shaheds, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a London-based defense-focused think tank.
...
After another Russian drone barrage on April 11, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that Ukraine would soon run out of air-defense missiles if the intensity of the Russian strikes continued.
That's only one new factory

Nato has just 5% of air defences needed to protect eastern flank
...
Russia’s war against Ukraine has underscored the importance of air defence, as Kyiv begs the west for additional systems and rockets to protect its cities, troops and energy grid against daily bombing raids.

Now people will act surprised to learn what is easier to build, thousands of drones and sea/land/air cruise missiles as well as ballistics and supersonic missiles, or enough missiles that are able to intercept all those different kinds of missiles and drones.
legendary
Activity: 2226
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Do not die for Putin
Why do you mix together countries with different politics and ambitions? For instance Belarus doesn't want to be a NATO member, contrary to Georgia and Armenia, but they aren't being asked by NATO to join. It's not NATO that is coming to them, but they're trying to get into NATO. Why is that? What are they so afraid? Maybe they don't want to become a part of the Soviet Union again?

Not true...USA tried to topple Lukashenko in a coup, too. Same as in all former USSR republics, can you
name single one where USA didn't try to "bring democracy" by replacing legal government with
"USA friendly" one? And why would they do that if Russia is not a final goal?

I told you coolcoinz, this people here will not deviate from the narrative. Any opposition to Ruzzia is NATO acting in the background. People are not free, they are "bought by cookies" or "under the CIA direction"... it is simply not in their mindset to think that they may see a different future for their children and may want to fight for it.

does it take money and help to get there? Yes, it may be impossible otherwise, Moscow's tentacles are multiple (fortunately, not infinite).

sr. member
Activity: 2492
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Why do you mix together countries with different politics and ambitions? For instance Belarus doesn't want to be a NATO member, contrary to Georgia and Armenia, but they aren't being asked by NATO to join. It's not NATO that is coming to them, but they're trying to get into NATO. Why is that? What are they so afraid? Maybe they don't want to become a part of the Soviet Union again?

Not true...USA tried to topple Lukashenko in a coup, too. Same as in all former USSR republics, can you
name single one where USA didn't try to "bring democracy" by replacing legal government with
"USA friendly" one? And why would they do that if Russia is not a final goal?
legendary
Activity: 2226
Merit: 1589
Do not die for Putin
[...]

Because we've already been through this, the precedent was set and continues to be up kept. It doesn't matter how much Cuba wants to be in military alliance with Russia, or how much beneficial Russia/China can make it for Cuban population, they can make Cuba the most prosperous place on earth, but non of this matters because US just won't allow it. And it's for the better, you don't want super powers buying their way closer to another super power's border, it's called spheres of influence and that's what kept our species from removing ourselves off this planet. But now one power decided to break that delicate balance, and change the status quo by bringing cookies, with expected results from other powers.

Ukraine decided to change. You have a lame excuse for the failure to Ruzzia to peacefully convince Ukraine that they should be a dominion of Moscow - tough sale I reckon. Why calling it cookies when you should call it incompetence?

But now, to things that actually matter: Yesterday the attack in Kerch left at least one transport ship (ferry) out of service. Ukraine claims to have hit more targets (namely landing ships "Tunets"), but that shall wait for confirmation. This is the first stage of disrupting the ability of Ruzzia to supply Crimea. It is likely that future strikes will point at other transport ships, ferries and very likely to the Kerch bridge. The railway connection being built across the southern part of the occupied territories will be a permanent target -  a much easier one to degrade as it is much longer and much closer to free Ukrainian territory.

Last night, there were further attacks in Novorossiysk port, the new Black Sea fleet base after Sebastopol became untenable for most uses. I will update on this as pictures come.

Edit: there are claims of a large oil terminal hit with Ukrainian made Neptune missiles.

The Luhansk strike that took out a Nebo radar (usd 100 M) controlling 400 km of the front is claimed by Ukraine, and there seem to be enough satellite evidence for high credibility.






It seems that Ukraine is also going to get two Swedish AWACS, quite good radar planes that need to be quite careful with the long range Air to Air ruzzian missiles, but still a great tool to monitor Ukrainian and border skyes. The total number of f16 promised to Ukraine are more than 100. Enough for a basic airforce, despite the many challenges around getting these operational.

There is also a ridiculous amount of visually confirmed Ruzzian loses, with a 7 to 1 ratio to Ukrainian material in the last couple of weeks. This includes several T90 tanks.
jr. member
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A bit more Bucha screw-ups by "Radio Svoboda":
https://youtu.be/hWNEjsN8GMM?t=926

They show "civilians are interrogated at gunpoint", seconds later they show "territorial defense fighters" - a group of people wearing typical civilian clothes and nothing that could distinguish them from civilians.

So, such "TDF" are the ones who should be "thanked" for most of the terror happening. When you start playing guerilla tactics - civilians suffer badly. Was it worth the result?

The whole movie is about SSU colonel, who returned back to his family and was captured w/o any resistance due to photos in one of the family smartphones (aha, "secret" service...), interrogated and tortured and died later in the forest due to beating and cold weather.

Factor in almost 100% 3G-4G/LTE, fiber, cable, whatever else high-speed Internet coverage all over the country - meaning almost real-time data was getting streamed/sent to "appropriate parties" leading to feedback in the form of 204mm shells incoming.
legendary
Activity: 3234
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I stand with Ukraine.
~
Yandex? You propose to use a Russian-controlled search engine to see what is really happening?

It's so ludicrous that it's actually funny.  Grin


Actually, I tested it a bit and compared to Google...its hilarious how much Google is controlled compared to Yandex
Yandex gives me exactly what I'm searching for ~

That's not surprising at all. Judging by your posts here, I'm surprised you hadn't found this Russian-controlled search engine earlier.

Just as Hitler's Germany lost its battle with the civilized world, Putin's Russia is also destined to lose.
legendary
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I don't take you for anything, I'm just saying that viewing this conflict in isolation, as if this conflict is about a land grab (because Russia needs more land  Huh) while admittedly is very beneficial for propaganda, couldn't be more erroneous.

So, they don't want natural resources, one of the biggest deposits of iron ore and a decent amount of uranium, to name a few. Russia also doesn't want easy access to the Black Sea and the largest power plant in Europe, not to mention the second largest Black Sea port in Odessa. Nobody cares about petty things like that.

Quote
Expanding military alliances that attacks other countries without UN approval,

You know damn well that UN votes are a joke since permanent members can veto any UN resolution and guess who is one of the 5 permanent members Tongue

Quote
The root cause seems to be the brainwashed thinking that status quo should be changed and NATO should spread to Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Taiwan etc...

Why do you mix together countries with different politics and ambitions? For instance Belarus doesn't want to be a NATO member, contrary to Georgia and Armenia, but they aren't being asked by NATO to join. It's not NATO that is coming to them, but they're trying to get into NATO. Why is that? What are they so afraid? Maybe they don't want to become a part of the Soviet Union again?

Nah that is clearly not about natural resources, Russia already had easy access to the Black Sea, and has plethora of electrical power generation. Plus Ukraine was aligned with Russia prior to cookies arriving.

UN is the best thing we could come up with. If we destroy that, we're back to the strongest doing whatever he wants, and with China set to bypass US is that really what you want? Also, I'll gladly listen to your alternatives to UN

Because we've already been through this, the precedent was set and continues to be up kept. It doesn't matter how much Cuba wants to be in military alliance with Russia, or how much beneficial Russia/China can make it for Cuban population, they can make Cuba the most prosperous place on earth, but non of this matters because US just won't allow it. And it's for the better, you don't want super powers buying their way closer to another super power's border, it's called spheres of influence and that's what kept our species from removing ourselves off this planet. But now one power decided to break that delicate balance, and change the status quo by bringing cookies, with expected results from other powers.
legendary
Activity: 2618
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I don't take you for anything, I'm just saying that viewing this conflict in isolation, as if this conflict is about a land grab (because Russia needs more land  Huh) while admittedly is very beneficial for propaganda, couldn't be more erroneous.

So, they don't want natural resources, one of the biggest deposits of iron ore and a decent amount of uranium, to name a few. Russia also doesn't want easy access to the Black Sea and the largest power plant in Europe, not to mention the second largest Black Sea port in Odessa. Nobody cares about petty things like that.

Quote
Expanding military alliances that attacks other countries without UN approval,

You know damn well that UN votes are a joke since permanent members can veto any UN resolution and guess who is one of the 5 permanent members Tongue

Quote
The root cause seems to be the brainwashed thinking that status quo should be changed and NATO should spread to Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Taiwan etc...

Why do you mix together countries with different politics and ambitions? For instance Belarus doesn't want to be a NATO member, contrary to Georgia and Armenia, but they aren't being asked by NATO to join. It's not NATO that is coming to them, but they're trying to get into NATO. Why is that? What are they so afraid? Maybe they don't want to become a part of the Soviet Union again?
legendary
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There are news of strong explosions on the Kerch Bridge between Crimea and "mainland" Ruzzia. For the moment there is no evidence of a successful strike in the area but there are some videos that may be just an active air defence or maybe an strike with a degree of success... or maybe failed. What is clear is that there is intention to strike and the previous weeks strikes may be opening the way for a future Ukrainian success here.

Quote
At the same time, Suspilne Krym quoted a local resident.

Quote: "It is very loud in the city now. We heard six or seven explosions of approximately the same force. The windows in the house were shaking a little bit."

Update: At 02:51, Kryuchkov reported that two ferries were damaged – a car ferry and a railway ferry.

Quote from Kryuchkov: "During the repelling of the enemy attack on the transport infrastructure of Kerch, two ferries – a car and a railway ferry – were damaged by the fragments of downed missiles, and the glazing of the extension buildings was damaged. There were no casualties."


Nah, almost but not yet, too soon. They need to wait for the railway to be completed over the land bridge first, which will make the Kerch Bridge redundant. It's already in the final stages with the train already been spotted on some track That way you might finally get some pictures to post here and gloat about, but once again it'll be too late to make a difference, just as usual. You get to gloat claiming yet another miracle balance shifting attack, while in reality Ukraine will continue to loose more people and land, it'll be a win-win, you should know the process by now.

The aggressor state of russia is preparing to launch a railway branch that should connect the temporarily occupied Donetsk and Mariupol of the Donetsk Region.

This is stated in the Frontelligence Insight report.

According to analysts, russia needs a new railway line in case the Kerch bridge collapses. With the help of such a combination, the occupiers will be able to establish an uninterrupted supply of ammunition and manpower to the south of Ukraine and Crimea.

Some satellite images showed the train moving.
jr. member
Activity: 72
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I come here from time to time, usually after a few weeks break from posting in this thread to check if anything has changed. In fact one of my posts is on the very first page of this thread because I feel sympathy for Ukrainians since my parents lived in a country "liberated" by the Soviet Union and I know how people wanted to finally kick these liberators out of their country.

I'd never wish for any country to become a part of Russia, especially when that process is accompanied by what we saw in Bucha, or earlier in Katyn.

"Bucha butchery". Too many PR-related coincidences. This whole war rotates around PR bullshit.

There's just one issue with current warfare - everybody has a radio transmitter. You know what would have happened to you in WW2 if you were a civilian and had one? Why this time it should have been the other way? An idiot riding a bicycle talking over the phone gets shot, a guy who took the order and executed the civilian gets sentenced. Russia has failed to do the war properly - "Post office, telegraph, telephone, banks" ((c) Lenin, 1917 revolution) - neither was hit by initial strikes or later. Effect? Each civilian became a potential spy, informer, artillery corrector. Not mentioning stupid situation with russian soldiers using ukrainian sim-cards to do calls.

"Destroyed cities" - army of Ukraine is defending and choosing where to fight, with predictable consequences. So far russians didn't try playing "Stalingrad" anywhere.

Russia is not the USSR. Rather, Ukraine is the one using USSR tactics.

Ukraine started with the USSR tactics way back before 2014 by killing their own people in the Donbas area, as well as going over the border into Russia at times. Russia finally got sick of it, and the war started as Russia tried to stop Ukraine governmental USSR tactics.

If the US and Nato had not stuck their nose into it, it all would have been over in a couple of months. Russia simply would have stopped Kiev from harming their own people.
Russians wanted to change Ukraine - they clearly understood that conquering it will be like conquering 20 Chechnya's.
Neither is USSR but Ukraine tries to (miserably) resemble it when it comes to motivating people to go and die. Doesn't work in capitalist world. They promised "we'll pay out $300K" (15M UAH) to the relatives of KIA soldiers - didn't deliver. That is called fraud. And it's not the first time by "Ze" government. First was promising to pay over 400K UAH as an aid for a newborn child (it was from 12K up to 60KUAH=7.5K USD before Poroshenko and became flat ~45K UAH - 1,5KUSD spread through 3 years which was not even enough to buy "Pampers"), then they've refused to recognize death after Covid vaccine and pay out anything. (Only monetary cases reviewed, populist political promises are untouched)

Thing is that "people" in 2014 and people in 2024 - are very different. 10 years of propaganda and "adjusted" education did wonders. I have a friend who had spent 2 days to get mobilized "anywhere" literally on the first 2 days of war. "We were attacked, we must not surrender or agree to russian terms" was his motivation. Has has passed Bakhmut, Chernihiv, and other parts of the country I've never even heard of before the war. Now he has "left his brigade by himself" and faces a "bright" perspective of 5-12 years sentence, after 2+ years in trenches. (funny - he wanted to return but "go get attorney" has stopped him)

If Ukraine did play wisely in politics - this war would have never happened in the first place. Shortly after the start of the war - we've got official confessions from top politicians that Ukraine had at least 3-4 months to outplay plans of Russia. Nobody didn't even try; many people were openly laughing to Putin's "security assurance" proposals - I'd like to see them doing the same at the cemeteries where their friends are buried.



There are news of strong explosions on the Kerch Bridge between Crimea and "mainland" Ruzzia. For the moment there is no evidence of a successful strike in the area but there are some videos that may be just an active air defence or maybe an strike with a degree of success... or maybe failed. What is clear is that there is intention to strike and the previous weeks strikes may be opening the way for a future Ukrainian success here.

Basically - "who cares?". It's not that much critical anymore and even if it's destroyed - does Ukraine have enough forces to exploit this success? I doubt that. And if it doesn't - then it's again a pure PR/waste of resources bs that is performed all the time instead of real military operations. While russians try to destroy our military and infrastructure objects - our "volunteers" try to destroy some random something in the middle of nowhere instead, accomplishing only one task - making russians realize they are at war and need to go and fight.

It was stupid to attack Belgorod with limited forces for weeks instead of keeping silent/digging trenches for months and then doing insane Prigozhin-style breakthrough at that part of the front, cutting off every bridge and communication device found on the way, all the way to Azov Sea and maybe some other directions.


[moderator's note: multiple posts have been merged]
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