Congrats to anyone who bet on this..it seems he's got it all but locked up.
I think Luka Doncic has had the most impressive season from an individual player standpoint. However, his team is fighting to make the playoffs now and they’re losing at the wrong time. That’s why everyone thinks it’s between Embiid and Joker. Embiid has missed more games this season than any MVP ever has, so if that is a major consideration then I think Joker will get it.
Nikola Jokic should get it. If it's value for the team then there's no doubt he is one of the valuable players in the league and the team. Joel Embiid too, but as you said, he missed a lot of game.
Next season, they will be applying the rule about how many games a player should be present and played to be able to receive an award, good thinking by the NBA to lessen those players that are not playing back to back games. Or, they could apply another rule on how many minutes a player should reach per season to establish a spot in one award.
The revised rules are excellent as they encourage players to participate in all available games if possible. Load management does not benefit anyone, particularly the fans who eagerly book tickets to see their favorite players, only to have them sit on the bench. With the new rules, load management should be eliminated.