2022 Diff thread. - page 22. | Bitcointalksearch.org

alh

legendary

Activity: 1843

Merit: 1050

Looks like the Russia invasion of Ukraine is a big negative for the price of BTC: $34,923.

Quote

Latest Block:   724715 (22 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   99.0255% (972 / 981.57 expected, 9.57 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   26690525287405.5
Current Difficulty:   27967152532434.23
Next Difficulty:   between 27696923875803 and 27768878952485
Next Difficulty Change:   between -0.9662% and -0.7090%
Previous Retarget:   February 17, 2022 at 5:14 AM (+4.7831%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   March 3, 2022 at 7:39 AM (in 7d 6h 49m 32s)
Next Retarget (latest):   March 3, 2022 at 8:32 AM (in 7d 7h 42m 44s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 2h 25m 11s and 14d 3h 18m 23s

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4102

Merit: 7765

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: wndsnb on February 21, 2022, 12:19:48 PM

Quote from: stompix on February 21, 2022, 07:59:33 AM

Well, ****, me and my big mouth, 16!

lol.

I was hoping for a bit more staying-power from the "Canadian government seizing bank accounts" price bump, but I guess not.

the Ukraine Russia fight is not settled.

and until it is settled many bad things will happen.

This is a long issue. Dates back a while.

Basically Russia is been water starved by the Ukraine

and Ukraine did that as retaliation to Russia grabbing a part of the Ukraine years ago.

and it dates back more but that's another set of back stories media shuts down.

Sad to see that people will suffer here.

wndsnb

hero member

Activity: 544

Merit: 589

Quote from: stompix on February 21, 2022, 07:59:33 AM

Well, ****, me and my big mouth, 16!

lol.

I was hoping for a bit more staying-power from the "Canadian government seizing bank accounts" price bump, but I guess not.

stompix

legendary

Activity: 2828

Merit: 6108

Jambler.io

Quote from: stompix on February 17, 2022, 09:45:35 AM

Well, ****
~
Price is at 43k, viabtc shows 18 cents but I'm not going to screw my remaining free days to maybe finding out is even less than that.

Well, ****, me and my big mouth, 16!

Quote

Latest Block:   724303 (28 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   96.5615% (560 / 579.94 expected, 19.94 behind)
Previous Retarget:   last Thursday at 1:14 PM (+4.7831%)

Even to balance the hashrate we need a --4.56 to cancel that 4.78 we're still 1% higher than that meaning it has to drop even more.
Price is again taking a dump to 37 451 so, not the best start of the week.

The only positive news I find at the moment is that no war has started and hopefully it won't, that's the last thing this planet needs now.

HagssFIN

legendary

Activity: 2422

Merit: 1706

Electrical engineer. Mining since 2014.

Yeah let's hope everything stays calm...
As many know, Finland is friggin' close to them.

Would not want to change my life in btc and electrical engineering to military service. But, I'm ready for it if Putin insists.

Anyway, back more on the topic.
Diff change sure seems calm at the moment.
I was glad to see some rise in btc price, but then now we took some downhill to under 40k.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4102

Merit: 7765

'The right to privacy matters'

and we shifted to -8% which would be a welcome number

but it is very early so wait a bit and see 2 things price and diff shift up or down some more

lets be blunt Ukraine + Russia war talk has a lot of people very nervous. So some fear and some uncertainty are all over the markets
as we all wait to see if a major conflict gets started in the next 30 days or so.

god bless all those that may be in harms way.

Quote

https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator
...
Latest Block:   723873 (8 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   91.6148% (130 / 141.90 expected, 11.9 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   26690525287405.5
Current Difficulty:   27967152532434.23
Next Difficulty:   between 25636814718715 and 27653424518454

Next Difficulty Change:   between -8.3324% and -1.1218%

Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 6:14 AM (+4.7831%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   March 3, 2022 at 10:04 AM (in 13d 4h 11m 18s)
Next Retarget (latest):   March 4, 2022 at 12:59 PM (in 14d 7h 6m 11s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 50m 17s and 15d 6h 45m 10s
...

wndsnb

hero member

Activity: 544

Merit: 589

Not worth paying attention to diff trends this early.

Looks like I'd be just barely over break-even at home with an S19 pro... a whopping $50 a month profit ... lol. At least the price for those came down a bit. Looks like they are solidly under $100/th.

Under 4c/kwh and S9s are still just fine though.

mineozzie

newbie

Activity: 5

Merit: 1

if current pace is kept, we are in for a major increase in next diff. change...

Latest Block:   723803 (7 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   118.9229% (60 / 50.45 expected, 9.55 ahead)
Previous Difficulty:   26690525287405.5
Current Difficulty:   27967152532434.23
Next Difficulty:   between 28232830767797 and 33313282993064
Next Difficulty Change:   between +0.9500% and +19.1157%
Previous Retarget:   Today at 1:14 PM (+4.7831%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   March 1, 2022 at 7:46 AM (in 11d 10h 7m 37s)
Next Retarget (latest):   March 3, 2022 at 10:05 AM (in 13d 12h 27m 22s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 11d 18h 32m 9s and 13d 20h 51m 53s

Saskfarmer

newbie

Activity: 25

Merit: 24

5% every 2 weeks feels like a dead end road to me!

stompix

legendary

Activity: 2828

Merit: 6108

Jambler.io

Well, ****

Quote from: philipma1957 on February 16, 2022, 06:15:15 PM

they can fill in the gap until we wrestle that golden astroid down to earth.
biggest picture is get the golden asteroid down to earth and use gold for electrical work that it can do.

I think the bigger picture is to get it safely to earth and not do another Tunguska or worse case Chicxulub extinction, I like dinosaurs movies, especially with Jurassic World coming in summer but I wouldn't want to experience the same fate.

Anyhow, if neither prices nor the difficulty seems favorable lately at least here we might get a breather with the heating bills, not that the prices are down but the need for heating is down a lot, we are seeing a high of 17C today, the average was 5C, my gas boiler has not started during the day for a week, only to run for 10-20 minutes during the night.
So whoever is warming his house with ASICs , time to unplug them and let the diff drop!!!!! Cheesy

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4102

Merit: 7765

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: stompix on February 16, 2022, 11:18:17 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on February 16, 2022, 09:58:40 AM

I am pretty sure expansion will need more power which means solar is the only way to go.

I think you wanted to say nuclear!

What would solar do, a lot of energy during the day, and then we stop mining during the night just like traditional banks schedule?
The energy must be constant, somebody must produce that energy during the night and if you force nuclear, coal, and gas plants to produce only during the night and at day not allow them to sell energy because you protect solar then that business will either go bankrupt or you're going to have to pay 1$ per kWh during the night. Solar is good for individuals, you produce extra during the day, you get credits you get free energy during the night, but once everybody produces energy during the day and gets free energy during the night, where is that whole electricity going to come from, especially for free !?!

The outcome and going solar and cutting fossil is only one:

The same goes everywhere, from California to Germany, somebody must pay the price for this.

you are going bigger picture than i am.

but i do have a plan for that. btw i am not anti gas or oil or coal

they can fill in the gap until we wrestle that golden astroid down to earth.

biggest picture is get the golden asteroid down to earth and use gold for electrical work that it can do.

gold vs lead battery means 100 or 200 year battery life vs 3-5.

and solar then is fully feasible. as 80% to 90% of the worlds power. with rivers and dams and tides and windmills the rest.

I wish I was about 15 and not 65 I could live to see it.

stompix

legendary

Activity: 2828

Merit: 6108

Jambler.io

Quote from: philipma1957 on February 16, 2022, 09:58:40 AM

I am pretty sure expansion will need more power which means solar is the only way to go.

I think you wanted to say nuclear!

What would solar do, a lot of energy during the day, and then we stop mining during the night just like traditional banks schedule?
The energy must be constant, somebody must produce that energy during the night and if you force nuclear, coal, and gas plants to produce only during the night and at day not allow them to sell energy because you protect solar then that business will either go bankrupt or you're going to have to pay 1$ per kWh during the night. Solar is good for individuals, you produce extra during the day, you get credits you get free energy during the night, but once everybody produces energy during the day and gets free energy during the night, where is that whole electricity going to come from, especially for free !?!

The outcome and going solar and cutting fossil is only one:

The same goes everywhere, from California to Germany, somebody must pay the price for this.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4102

Merit: 7765

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote

https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator

...Latest Block:   723603 (13 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   104.4687% (1876 / 1795.75 expected, 80.25 ahead)
Previous Difficulty:   26643185256535.46
Current Difficulty:   26690525287405.5
Next Difficulty:   between 27880091349556 and 27886114086918

Next Difficulty Change:   between +4.4569% and +4.4795%

Previous Retarget:   February 3, 2022 at 9:32 PM (+0.1777%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Tomorrow at 7:10 AM (in 0d 22h 20m 6s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Tomorrow at 7:14 AM (in 0d 22h 24m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 9h 37m 38s and 13d 9h 41m 48s...

So a 4 or 5% jump up a new all time high diff of over 27.8

and hash of over 208eh

10 s19 = 1 ph
10000 s19 = 1 eh
208 x 10000 = 2,080,000 s19 = the network

and 2,080,000 x 3.5 = 7,280,000 kwatts = the power used hourly.

That is 7280 mega watts New York City uses 11,000 mega watts
USA and Canada Niagara falls only makes 4,900 mega watts

I am pretty sure expansion will need more power which means solar is the only way to go.

stompix

legendary

Activity: 2828

Merit: 6108

Jambler.io

I just hope it's just a lucky jump in the number of blocks and it's not something that is going to persist over the next period.

On the weekend I saw 184 blocks one time in the last 24hours, bitinfocharts shows a time of 7.7 per block for Saturday, right now last in the last 24 hours we had 178 blocks. If this would be a real pace triggered by new miners getting installed it would mean over 10% next time, that alongside an over 3% now and 42k/BTC is just sending us back in time two weeks ago.

We should see lower prices for gear, right? Grin

Bitmain still charges 11k for an s19, one and a half year to ROI at zero cents, and with the xp coming in at least two batches in June-October.

alh

legendary

Activity: 1843

Merit: 1050

Quote from: philipma1957 on February 10, 2022, 02:19:17 PM

still about -33 blocks so we had the early dip to -33 and then very flat.

also price is $45k

almost half way. this is good news at the moment. lets do more of the same.

If we close at -1% and 46k it will be good for us.

Unfortunately the above trend hasn't continued. BTC price is now $42K. Well past the 3/4 mark and we are into positive increase territory. Could still change back, but it's not currently trending that way.

Quote

Latest Block:   723253 (3 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   102.8867% (1526 / 1483.18 expected, 42.82 ahead)
Previous Difficulty:   26643185256535.46
Current Difficulty:   26690525287405.5
Next Difficulty:   between 27417472517404 and 27464437377336
Next Difficulty Change:   between +2.7236% and +2.8996%
Previous Retarget:   February 3, 2022 at 8:32 PM (+0.1777%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Thursday at 11:06 AM (in 3d 7h 22m 31s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Thursday at 11:40 AM (in 3d 7h 55m 56s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 14h 34m 21s and 13d 15h 7m 46s

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4102

Merit: 7765

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote

https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator

...

Latest Block:   722652 (9 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   96.5144% (925 / 958.41 expected, 33.41 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   26643185256535.46
Current Difficulty:   26690525287405.5
Next Difficulty:   between 25765166411057 and 26029460030606

Next Difficulty Change:   between -3.4670% and -2.4768%

Previous Retarget:   February 3, 2022 at 9:32 PM (+0.1777%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   February 18, 2022 at 6:07 AM (in 7d 16h 50m 47s)
Next Retarget (latest):   February 18, 2022 at 9:40 AM (in 7d 20h 24m 0s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 8h 34m 51s and 14d 12h 8m 4s

...

still about -33 blocks so we had the early dip to -33 and then very flat.

also price is $45k

almost half way. this is good news at the moment. lets do more of the same.

If we close at -1% and 46k it will be good for us.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4102

Merit: 7765

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: mikeywith on February 08, 2022, 05:34:19 PM

Quote from: stompix on February 08, 2022, 06:46:40 AM

If it was caused by the winter storm that hit texas from Thursday to Sunday as some report

God bless that storm. Grin

The latest update from Cambridge study puts the U.S at 35% of the total hashrate, it's a bit outdated since the last update was in August of last year, the U.S now has (easily) 50% of the world hashrate, my guess is that by the end of this year the number will jump to 65-70%, something that even China failed to do a few years back.

I won't be surprised if in 2-3 years 90% of the hashrate will be located in the U.S, eventually, those mega players that can secure 2.5c per kWh and have almost "unlimited" funding potential will kick the majority of the other players outside of the game even those large players in some countries like Russia and Kazh, fun times ahead.

yeah we are getting new people asking about a one - two million investment.

we mix solar with grid and hopfully do as well as we did with the 2016 build and the 2021.
build.

in a magical world. we will have

45
115
300
500
kwatt arrays by end of 2023.
960kwatts of solar which will give about 170kwatts non stop solar power.

and will burn about 170 kwatts of grid power.

mikeywith

legendary

Activity: 2170

Merit: 6279

be constructive or S.T.F.U

Quote from: stompix on February 08, 2022, 06:46:40 AM

If it was caused by the winter storm that hit texas from Thursday to Sunday as some report

God bless that storm. Grin

The latest update from Cambridge study puts the U.S at 35% of the total hashrate, it's a bit outdated since the last update was in August of last year, the U.S now has (easily) 50% of the world hashrate, my guess is that by the end of this year the number will jump to 65-70%, something that even China failed to do a few years back.

I won't be surprised if in 2-3 years 90% of the hashrate will be located in the U.S, eventually, those mega players that can secure 2.5c per kWh and have almost "unlimited" funding potential will kick the majority of the other players outside of the game even those large players in some countries like Russia and Kazh, fun times ahead.

stompix

legendary

Activity: 2828

Merit: 6108

Jambler.io

If it was caused by the winter storm that hit texas from Thursday to Sunday as some report, with miners voluntarily shutting down as the grid would have been anyhow overwhelmed then the pace resuming to normal makes a bit of sense, looking at temperatures in Austin it went from max 3°, min -6° to 17° and 3°, of course, Celsius, I can't understand F no matter what.

Quote

Current Pace: 94.8689% (593 / 625.07 expected, 32.07 behind)

3 days ago it was:

Quote

Current Pace: 86.1064% (219 / 254.34 expected, 35.34 behind)

So in almost 3 days, we had only 3 blocks variation, things look pretty stable might be that with the storm passing, they are powering again their operations, we have exactly 144 blocks in the last 24h as I type this. Well, a drop of 5% combined with a rise of 13% in 7 days would have been great but let's not be greedy, karma has a way to kick you in the ass right after a kiss.

mikeywith

legendary

Activity: 2170

Merit: 6279

be constructive or S.T.F.U

Quote from: philipma1957 on February 07, 2022, 08:55:49 AM

we lost 3 blocks more off pace and are doing this 20% of the jump so far

I would love to see us at -37 blocks on Tuesday

Pace is back to 95% and only 31 blocks behind, maybe some large farms are having power issues or something like that, price is up 10% a drop like that in difficulty makes exactly no sense.

Topic: 2022 Diff thread. - page 22. (Read 9677 times)