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Topic: 2022 Elliott Wave - page 2. (Read 2277 times)

sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
July 28, 2022, 01:15:57 PM
#93


newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
July 02, 2022, 12:57:55 PM
#92
From my experience, I can say these indicators can not give an accurate signal for crypto markets. Those may work for forex or stock but for crypto most of them are inaccurate. Even the most popular indicator like SMA, and RSI signals won't work most of the time. In RSI indicators BTC market is in an oversold position for longer than expected and still, the price keeps falling.

bullshit, the indicators themselves have never worked, they are only used to confirm other global analyzes
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
July 02, 2022, 08:38:14 AM
#91
What I think is that btc is forming megaphone pattern. So bottom this year 17k then ath end of 2022 at around 75k then real crash sub 10k. After that bull starts
https://ibb.co/mHTB40k
hero member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 537
July 02, 2022, 07:36:49 AM
#90
From my experience, I can say these indicators can not give an accurate signal for crypto markets. Those may work for forex or stock but for crypto most of them are inaccurate. Even the most popular indicator like SMA, and RSI signals won't work most of the time. In RSI indicators BTC market is in an oversold position for longer than expected and still, the price keeps falling.
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
July 02, 2022, 06:31:38 AM
#89


sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
July 02, 2022, 06:30:58 AM
#88
what happened to this scenario? you commented that it would activate below 25k$

Would we be in CYCLE II?


The doomsday Elliott Wave count may begin to be considered if BTC declines below $25K and/or if GBTC declines below $17.40...



Yes, it is now possible that CYCLE II bear market is underway, and price is heading back to the DEC-2018 low (i.e. around 3K or lower). A decline below the JUN-2019 high (i.e. sub 14K) ought to provide confirmation.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 532
July 01, 2022, 05:20:35 PM
#87
what happened to this scenario? you commented that it would activate below 25k$

Would we be in CYCLE II?



The doomsday Elliott Wave count may begin to be considered if BTC declines below $25K and/or if GBTC declines below $17.40...





hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 532
July 01, 2022, 05:17:50 PM
#86
Bitcoin upcoming Fibonacci-derived support zones...
Isn't it easier that 3 ended on Nov/21 and what follows is a zig-zag ABC of correction?
Yes, it would have been a more simple and easier market to analyse, but the EW count doesn't fit that scenario.

you mean your count,
in which it seems that there is only one possible option,
that of irregular correction from the maximum of 3.

Not only do I see a zig-zag since Nov/21,
but ETH made a failure of 5th on the same date,
and is doing the same zig-zag.

Of course, I warn that I am no specialist.



no one sees that the 3rd wave has ended, because they did not understand the essence of the waves

I don't know which third wave you mean, is it the impulse wave or the correction wave?
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
July 01, 2022, 01:01:50 PM
#85
Bitcoin upcoming Fibonacci-derived support zones...
Isn't it easier that 3 ended on Nov/21 and what follows is a zig-zag ABC of correction?
Yes, it would have been a more simple and easier market to analyse, but the EW count doesn't fit that scenario.

you mean your count,
in which it seems that there is only one possible option,
that of irregular correction from the maximum of 3.

Not only do I see a zig-zag since Nov/21,
but ETH made a failure of 5th on the same date,
and is doing the same zig-zag.

Of course, I warn that I am no specialist.

no one sees that the 3rd wave has ended, because they did not understand the essence of the waves
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
June 16, 2022, 07:55:35 AM
#84
you mean your count,
in which it seems that there is only one possible option,
that of irregular correction from the maximum of 3.

Not only do I see a zig-zag since Nov/21,
but ETH made a failure of 5th on the same date,
and is doing the same zig-zag.

Of course, I warn that I am no specialist.

Current EW interpretation of Ethereum —personally not a specialist either!

https://12345abcdewxyz.files.wordpress.com/2022/06/20220616_ethusd.png
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 532
June 16, 2022, 07:35:19 AM
#83
Bitcoin upcoming Fibonacci-derived support zones...
Isn't it easier that 3 ended on Nov/21 and what follows is a zig-zag ABC of correction?
Yes, it would have been a more simple and easier market to analyse, but the EW count doesn't fit that scenario.

you mean your count,
in which it seems that there is only one possible option,
that of irregular correction from the maximum of 3.

Not only do I see a zig-zag since Nov/21,
but ETH made a failure of 5th on the same date,
and is doing the same zig-zag.

Of course, I warn that I am no specialist.
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
June 16, 2022, 07:25:11 AM
#82
Bitcoin upcoming Fibonacci-derived support zones...
Isn't it easier that 3 ended on Nov/21 and what follows is a zig-zag ABC of correction?
Yes, it would have been a more simple and easier market to analyse, but the EW count doesn't fit that scenario.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 532
June 16, 2022, 07:21:19 AM
#81
Bitcoin upcoming Fibonacci-derived support zones...



Isn't it easier that 3 ended on Nov/21 and what follows is a zig-zag ABC of correction?
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
June 16, 2022, 06:10:40 AM
#80
Bitcoin upcoming Fibonacci-derived support zones...

hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 532
June 16, 2022, 05:56:23 AM
#79


Simply in May-June a cycle appears (281 days), which can be maximum or minimum. But cycles change.




Sorry for the off topic.
Just a little update.
Finally it was Bottom, impossible to know if the next one, marked within a year, will be ATH or not.



newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
June 14, 2022, 07:57:16 AM
#78
the authors of these charts note waves and cycles, as if a person has the same length of arms and legs, think about it

just read it again
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
June 02, 2022, 04:03:39 PM
#77
Very interesting outlook on gold. Curious if you have a corresponding fundamentals thesis or is this strictly based on wave counts? Thanks.

Gold is strongly influenced by monetary policy...

1970-1980: USA abandoned gold standard, 1970s Great Inflation driven by a large increase in money supply, the first real gold secular bull market of the 20th century, equities bear market.
1980-2000: Period of increasing interest rates, decrease in money supply, equities bull market, gold secular bear market.
2000-2022: Dotcom Crash, 9/11, Great Financial Crises, COVID-19. Period of decreasing interest rates and QE, increase in money supply, equities bear market, gold secular bull market.
2022-20XX: Period of increasing interest rates and QT, decrease in money supply, equities bull market, gold secular bear market.


Elliott Wave...

1980-2000: 'Zigzag' structure bear market
2011-20XX: 'Flat' structure bear market
 
member
Activity: 119
Merit: 19
June 02, 2022, 02:47:07 PM
#76
Very interesting outlook on gold. Curious if you have a corresponding fundamentals thesis or is this strictly based on wave counts? Thanks.
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
May 30, 2022, 12:43:30 PM
#75
sr. member
Activity: 571
Merit: 284
May 30, 2022, 07:06:58 AM
#74
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