Author

Topic: Analysis - page 143. (Read 941567 times)

legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1050
October 19, 2015, 02:56:05 AM
Figures may trigger and may fail, but triangle is not a circle anyway.

You do really sound like a prophet Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
October 18, 2015, 05:57:02 PM
I'm a bit worried because RSI is in highly in overbought area. It is close to overbought even on daily. So maybe a small correction could be in place?

I'd better worry about daily adx at 60. ADX > 50 usually hints about coming local top or bottom. However adx may rise much more than 50.



Indicators which showed overbought situation were right again. 4h RSI is now back down to 50 and we didn't break Fib 61.8% (around 260$)... New ride up or?

Good chance we take a stab at 260, then more up.
This looks like a 4 on my indicators
sr. member
Activity: 442
Merit: 250
October 18, 2015, 05:53:46 PM
I'm a bit worried because RSI is in highly in overbought area. It is close to overbought even on daily. So maybe a small correction could be in place?

I'd better worry about daily adx at 60. ADX > 50 usually hints about coming local top or bottom. However adx may rise much more than 50.



Indicators which showed overbought situation were right again. 4h RSI is now back down to 50 and we didn't break Fib 61.8% (around 260$)... New ride up or?
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
October 18, 2015, 05:01:06 PM
Here's what I mean by inverse head and shoulders:



I'm not disagreeing with the master, just wanted a better visualization of what I was thinking.




that's a pretty messed up head and shoulders pattern.

Not saying the price can't go up above that resistance level but damn...that head and that shoulder on the left looks like a hunch back. Cheesy

Psst...
The head should be the lowest point of the pattern or it's just HH's and HL's (ie. a corrective trend)

That is more aimed at the people who are all behind this being a potential pattern. Not so much for smoothie
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
October 18, 2015, 07:15:04 AM
Here's what I mean by inverse head and shoulders:



I'm not disagreeing with the master, just wanted a better visualization of what I was thinking.




that's a pretty messed up head and shoulders pattern.

Not saying the price can't go up above that resistance level but damn...that head and that shoulder on the left looks like a hunch back. Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1001
October 17, 2015, 02:37:48 PM
If that is a reverse h&s the person it shows must have some sort of physical condition. (or is wearing a padded suit)

If you were hanging upside down you might be happy to be wearing a padded suit! lol




The signs are there if you know to look for them.



Now THAT's what I call a padded suit!! Wink

legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1013
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
October 17, 2015, 02:20:13 PM
If that is a reverse h&s the person it shows must have some sort of physical condition. (or is wearing a padded suit)

If you were hanging upside down you might be happy to be wearing a padded suit! lol




The signs are there if you know to look for them.

hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1001
October 17, 2015, 01:58:34 PM
If that is a reverse h&s the person it shows must have some sort of physical condition. (or is wearing a padded suit)

If you were hanging upside down you might be happy to be wearing a padded suit! lol


legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
October 17, 2015, 01:44:16 PM
Here's what I mean by inverse head and shoulders:



I'm not disagreeing with the master, just wanted a better visualization of what I was thinking.




If that is a reverse h&s the person it shows must have some sort of physical condition. (or is wearing a padded suit)
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 17, 2015, 12:45:20 PM
This is also not a duck
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1001
October 17, 2015, 11:27:26 AM
Here's what I mean by inverse head and shoulders:



I'm not disagreeing with the master, just wanted a better visualization of what I was thinking.


donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
October 17, 2015, 10:43:19 AM
starting to look bubbly.

you ain't seen nothing yet Wink

I'm waiting for a sizable correction in the meantime, though (since ~ 2 days ago, actually). 200 hour MA (blue in my chart) could be a target (~$252). Incidentally that's pretty close to the lower uptrend line (gray in my chart, currently at ~$248).



On the other hand: who knows what's up in China... this thing might have more legs.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
October 17, 2015, 10:35:02 AM
starting to look bubbly.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 17, 2015, 10:06:20 AM
I'm a bit worried because RSI is in highly in overbought area. It is close to overbought even on daily. So maybe a small correction could be in place?

I'd better worry about daily adx at 60. ADX > 50 usually hints about coming local top or bottom. However adx may rise much more than 50.

legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
October 17, 2015, 09:40:11 AM
I tried to find out more about the MMM ponzi that is supposed to fuel the current uptrend (and I count as a fundamental).
It has been running for years, including accepting bitcoin for over 3 years, so I'm not convinced it is so important.
Supposedly in South Africa it has been running wild lately, but Google trends don't show a large rise for bitcoin in SA.
And it doesn't explain the huge buys in China, if bitcoins would be bought in SA, I would expect to be sold in other countries.
So, if someone has a better explanation for the renewed Chinese appetite, please post it.
The question is how long will this ponzi / renewed Chinese demand go on, with major medium term consequences on the price.
occams razor
What's wrong with this simply being a pump, and this on Huoubi has the advantage that it can be made look huge by buying and selling the same coins several times without additional costs. Volume on exchanges with trading fees hasn't spiked, soo.

Also the run-up looks natural, albeit a little smooth (not enough oscillations). My guess this is a genuine spike, just the volume has been artificially inflated by people who want to make it look like it counts.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1094
October 17, 2015, 09:24:18 AM
I tried to find out more about the MMM ponzi that is supposed to fuel the current uptrend (and I count as a fundamental).
It has been running for years, including accepting bitcoin for over 3 years, so I'm not convinced it is so important.
Supposedly in South Africa it has been running wild lately, but Google trends don't show a large rise for bitcoin in SA.
And it doesn't explain the huge buys in China, if bitcoins would be bought in SA, I would expect to be sold in other countries.
So, if someone has a better explanation for the renewed Chinese appetite, please post it.
The question is how long will this ponzi / renewed Chinese demand go on, with major medium term consequences on the price.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 17, 2015, 06:05:22 AM
Figures may trigger and may fail, but triangle is not a circle anyway.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
October 17, 2015, 05:22:36 AM
But not every pattern is a perfect pattern, right?

The funny thing about TA is you can find a pattern to match any idea, if you just look for imperfect patterns Smiley And to make matters worse, you can find multiple patterns that conflict each other. I find that the only patterns that are worth a LOT are the ones everyone agrees on. Because then they become self fulfilling prophecies.

not always.

Recall the cup and handle pattern from couple of months ago.

legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1050
October 17, 2015, 02:59:59 AM
But not every pattern is a perfect pattern, right?

The funny thing about TA is you can find a pattern to match any idea, if you just look for imperfect patterns Smiley And to make matters worse, you can find multiple patterns that conflict each other. I find that the only patterns that are worth a LOT are the ones everyone agrees on. Because then they become self fulfilling prophecies.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 16, 2015, 04:52:55 PM
This? H&S? No.


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