Author

Topic: Analysis - page 150. (Read 941582 times)

newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
September 17, 2015, 03:29:40 PM
I think the assumption that the 152 bottom was C is flawed.

The 152 bottom was wave 3. The correction up to 317 was corrective up to wave 4. The correction was not a standard Zigzag because wave 2 was a Zigzag, rule of alternation. So from 152 to 317 it was a Flat correction. 3-3-5 pattern. The 309 top was A, 210 bottom was B and from 210 to 317 was C. The pudding here is that the rise from 210 to 317 was an impulse, that is how a Flat 3-3-5 pattern looks like. It fooled everyone into believing that the bull market had resumed. Sprinkle with breaking the downward trend line from 1163 and hopium was blinding everyone.

After the 4 top was reached the price immediately resumed falling. We are on wave 2 of 5 down to A!

Minor Wave 1 brought us through the trendline of the 4 correction. Minor wave 2 retested the trendine from below and was rejected. It has since fallen minuette wave 1 and 2 is soon finished correcting upwards.

If this is correct we are extremely close to starting wave 3 of wave 3 down towards 5 and A.

Just look at the pattern from my proposed 4. Everything going down from 4 to Minor 1 = impulse waves, everything going up = corrective.

The bear market is in full swing.

Price targets for 5/A are less than 152, more than 65.

Ive made an image that explains my view in more detail:
https://i.imgur.com/RkzXcY1.jpg

Thank you for this awesome anaylsis, respect !

Could you elbarote more about this please,

Quote
If this is correct we are extremely close to starting wave 3 of wave 3 down towards 5 and A.

Could this be the Historical wave III luc was talking about ?

1163 was Historical I. Master luc propose that his C was Historical II and that we are rising now to Historical III.
Im saying more or less the exact opposite, we are still headed down towards Historical II
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
September 17, 2015, 03:23:50 PM
I think the assumption that the 152 bottom was C is flawed.

The 152 bottom was wave 3. The correction up to 317 was corrective up to wave 4. The correction was not a standard Zigzag because wave 2 was a Zigzag, rule of alternation. So from 152 to 317 it was a Flat correction. 3-3-5 pattern. The 309 top was A, 210 bottom was B and from 210 to 317 was C. The pudding here is that the rise from 210 to 317 was an impulse, that is how a Flat 3-3-5 pattern looks like. It fooled everyone into believing that the bull market had resumed. Sprinkle with breaking the downward trend line from 1163 and hopium was blinding everyone.

After the 4 top was reached the price immediately resumed falling. We are on wave 2 of 5 down to A!

Minor Wave 1 brought us through the trendline of the 4 correction. Minor wave 2 retested the trendine from below and was rejected. It has since fallen minuette wave 1 and 2 is soon finished correcting upwards.

If this is correct we are extremely close to starting wave 3 of wave 3 down towards 5 and A.

Just look at the pattern from my proposed 4. Everything going down from 4 to Minor 1 = impulse waves, everything going up = corrective.

The bear market is in full swing.

Price targets for 5/A are less than 152, more than 65.

Ive made an image that explains my view in more detail:
*clipped*


Mask of Zorro!

Very smart looking chart, thanks for sharing.

2 question

1. What if there are extensions on the 5 wave/A, what is your time estimate then?

2. After A,presumably, B and C follows. Do you have a time estimate for that? or a target price?
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1027
Permabull Bitcoin Investor
September 17, 2015, 03:23:20 PM
I think the assumption that the 152 bottom was C is flawed.

The 152 bottom was wave 3. The correction up to 317 was corrective up to wave 4. The correction was not a standard Zigzag because wave 2 was a Zigzag, rule of alternation. So from 152 to 317 it was a Flat correction. 3-3-5 pattern. The 309 top was A, 210 bottom was B and from 210 to 317 was C. The pudding here is that the rise from 210 to 317 was an impulse, that is how a Flat 3-3-5 pattern looks like. It fooled everyone into believing that the bull market had resumed. Sprinkle with breaking the downward trend line from 1163 and hopium was blinding everyone.

After the 4 top was reached the price immediately resumed falling. We are on wave 2 of 5 down to A!

Minor Wave 1 brought us through the trendline of the 4 correction. Minor wave 2 retested the trendine from below and was rejected. It has since fallen minuette wave 1 and 2 is soon finished correcting upwards.

If this is correct we are extremely close to starting wave 3 of wave 3 down towards 5 and A.

Just look at the pattern from my proposed 4. Everything going down from 4 to Minor 1 = impulse waves, everything going up = corrective.

The bear market is in full swing.

Price targets for 5/A are less than 152, more than 65.

Ive made an image that explains my view in more detail:


Thank you for this awesome anaylsis, respect !

Could you elbarote more about this please,

Quote
If this is correct we are extremely close to starting wave 3 of wave 3 down towards 5 and A.

Could this be the Historical wave III luc was talking about ?
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
September 17, 2015, 02:40:22 PM
I think the assumption that the 152 bottom was C is flawed.

The 152 bottom was wave 3. The correction up to 317 was corrective up to wave 4. The correction was not a standard Zigzag because wave 2 was a Zigzag, rule of alternation. So from 152 to 317 it was a Flat correction. 3-3-5 pattern. The 309 top was A, 210 bottom was B and from 210 to 317 was C. The pudding here is that the rise from 210 to 317 was an impulse, that is how a Flat 3-3-5 pattern looks like. It fooled everyone into believing that the bull market had resumed. Sprinkle with breaking the downward trend line from 1163 and hopium was blinding everyone.

After the 4 top was reached the price immediately resumed falling. We are on wave 2 of 5 down to A!

Minor Wave 1 brought us through the trendline of the 4 correction. Minor wave 2 retested the trendine from below and was rejected. It has since fallen minuette wave 1 and 2 is soon finished correcting upwards.

If this is correct we are extremely close to starting wave 3 of wave 3 down towards 5 and A.

Just look at the pattern from my proposed 4. Everything going down from 4 to Minor 1 = impulse waves, everything going up = corrective.

The bear market is in full swing.

Price targets for 5/A are less than 152, more than 65.

Ive made an image that explains my view in more detail:
https://i.imgur.com/RkzXcY1.jpg
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
September 17, 2015, 02:24:06 PM
It means it is very strong

Not broken yet

Can you define "broken"?

when you look at it and it's broken you just know it's broken. If you're unsure, it's not broken.
full member
Activity: 144
Merit: 100
September 17, 2015, 02:22:10 PM

Can you define "broken"?

Can you define "un-broken"?
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1001
https://gliph.me/hUF
September 17, 2015, 12:54:57 PM
It means it is very strong

Not broken yet

Can you define "broken"?
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
September 17, 2015, 12:54:17 PM
It means it is very strong

Not broken yet
At BTCWisdom is very well broken and we are still below - in fact we only touched it with a spike....

Though last week's bar did close below, I wouldn't call a support line of that magnitude broken until this week confirms it.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
September 17, 2015, 12:50:09 PM
It means it is very strong

Not broken yet
At BTCWisdom is very well broken and we are still below - in fact we only touched it with a spike....
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
September 17, 2015, 09:40:54 AM
Yep, it's a horizontal chanel
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
September 17, 2015, 09:39:35 AM
Perhaps. I had thought of this too as a possibility. But then, i thought to myself it would be too obvious a pattern, thus, might act differently ie decisive

8up
hero member
Activity: 618
Merit: 500
September 17, 2015, 09:08:36 AM
Not so sure about "more down" after looking at this... Maybe we'll see a little break out (like in May) and annoying stability afterwards!?

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
September 17, 2015, 06:43:32 AM
It means it is very strong

Not broken yet
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
September 17, 2015, 05:43:54 AM
Yes but it's a rising resistance
Good point. Closing above this would be a buy.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
September 17, 2015, 05:40:10 AM
Yes but it's a rising resistance

so was the one at 3-4 on luc's chart
legendary
Activity: 861
Merit: 1010
September 17, 2015, 05:25:09 AM
Yes but it's a rising resistance
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
September 17, 2015, 04:47:04 AM
Looks like support turned resistance
8up
hero member
Activity: 618
Merit: 500
September 17, 2015, 03:18:20 AM
Very likely down it goes. On the other hand, last month looks like a fractal of jan/feb -> endless sideways!
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
September 17, 2015, 03:17:11 AM
It already acts as upwards resistance..
That's my view too, maybe a zoom could help.
full member
Activity: 141
Merit: 100
September 17, 2015, 03:10:51 AM
It already acts as upwards resistance..
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