Author

Topic: Analysis - page 232. (Read 941582 times)

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 24, 2014, 12:00:07 AM
Notice how xbt correlates with xau on daily basis.
hero member
Activity: 509
Merit: 564
"In Us We Trust"
October 23, 2014, 11:58:05 PM
Gradual decline over next month...

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 23, 2014, 03:15:36 AM
Last activity harmed my bullish count much.

Waiting for collapse of daily bb to resolve further direction.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
October 22, 2014, 07:31:20 AM
@lucif

I can certainly see another (minor) breakdown in the coming weeks, but I'm wondering why you said earlier that you think hitting 360s would make it a bad picture for the bulls?

To me it looks like we could go all the way to ~340 for a re-test, and it would look a lot like April 16 to May 19 earlier this year. (Of course it would only be similar if there is good support at that level)

Sorry for the unsolicited answer, but the comparison with April 16th to May 19th doesn't make sense to me.
In the bullish scenario (with 275$ THE bottom) I am looking at about 9th July 2013, in the bearish scenario
I'm looking at about 5th August 2014. Bearish scenario will be invalidated if 420$ resistance will be firmly broken.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 22, 2014, 06:44:33 AM
Also here, as price development says, II/B shows triangle formation. So any break below 370 (triangle point a) would almost completely invalidate this count.

Also I can say this is not a motive bullish wave if triangle appears in II. This means 5-3-5 (abc), not 5-3-5-3-5. In short - this means $500 should be terminal medium term bullish top.

Here is a potential



legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
October 22, 2014, 06:44:12 AM
So in your view, this:





is not a likely continuation, in a similar way to how May played out:


legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 22, 2014, 06:31:58 AM
360 is subwave 4 triangle apex support, also middle of daily bb. It should hold to materialize optimistic bullish count.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
October 22, 2014, 06:13:44 AM
@lucif

I can certainly see another (minor) breakdown in the coming weeks, but I'm wondering why you said earlier that you think hitting 360s would make it a bad picture for the bulls?

To me it looks like we could go all the way to ~340 for a re-test, and it would look a lot like April 16 to May 19 earlier this year. (Of course it would only be similar if there is good support at that level)
member
Activity: 210
Merit: 10
October 22, 2014, 12:22:02 AM
Looks like the original plan of new lows still looks good, we all did get a kick out of that fake out tho  Grin
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
October 21, 2014, 10:45:14 PM
After about 4 days this band will start to collapse, so we may still see a sideways movings within 3-6 days.


newbie
Activity: 39
Merit: 0
October 21, 2014, 03:37:45 PM
...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

Thank you for your comment,

The Middle 200day BB and the 200MA or SMA (simple moving average) lines are the same. Hourly refers to the 1HR time interval candlestick chart. In other time intervals the, 200MA / Middle 200day BB, produce different values.

200 days != 200 hours

 Huh

Oh Crap #$@@.... We are sorry for the utter Mess (been posting 5 charts at the same time in different forums  Cry)... 200MA
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
October 21, 2014, 03:02:47 PM
...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

Thank you for your comment,

The Middle 200day BB and the 200MA or SMA (simple moving average) lines are the same. Hourly refers to the 1HR time interval candlestick chart. In other time intervals the, 200MA / Middle 200day BB, produce different values.

200 days != 200 hours

 Huh
newbie
Activity: 39
Merit: 0
October 21, 2014, 02:07:39 PM
...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy

Thank you for your comment,

Updated and corrected...  Roll Eyes
newbie
Activity: 35
Merit: 0
October 21, 2014, 11:29:28 AM
Thank you for posting this. Let me grab some screenshots,I want my friends to see this.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
October 21, 2014, 11:26:40 AM
...
"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Have to agree with lebing, more or less. I posted some charts and lines in here as well, but usually as a question to lucif. In general, it's better to keep this thread uncluttered as quite a few people like to know what OP thinks.

Also, terminology suggestion: "hourly 200day Bollinger" sounds weird... You are tracking a 200h SMA/BB, I would say Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
October 21, 2014, 10:22:05 AM
Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200day Middle Bollinger Band Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.




Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net

Yeah cool, but hey why dont you make your own thread. This is a decent analysis but also a good way to find yourself on some ignore lists if it wasn't what people came here for.

"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.

Its only for Luc.
newbie
Activity: 39
Merit: 0
October 21, 2014, 10:20:25 AM
Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200day Middle Bollinger Band Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.

https://i.imgur.com/eafdh8u.jpg


Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net

Yeah cool, but hey why dont you make your own thread. This is a decent analysis but also a good way to find yourself on some ignore lists if it wasn't what people came here for.

"Analysis never ends" - Is this only for EW? If so please accept our apologies for the inappropriateness.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
October 21, 2014, 10:13:56 AM
Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200day Middle Bollinger Band Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.




Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net

Yeah cool, but hey why dont you make your own thread. This is a decent analysis but also a good way to find yourself on some ignore lists if it wasn't what people came here for.
newbie
Activity: 39
Merit: 0
October 21, 2014, 05:52:05 AM
Bitstamp 1HR Time Interval

Price managed to breach the first hurdles of 50MA and 100MA resistances to the upside.

Now Bumping exactly @ the 200MA Resistance. Must Break Above to Enter Long Trade.

https://i.imgur.com/gbELNON.jpg


Our setup has been issued 4hrs ago @twitter :

Long: On a strong break above $387 (1HR 200MA) – Max Target $405 | Probability: 30% (has not triggered yet)


© 2014 – Cryptoalerts.net
member
Activity: 210
Merit: 10
October 21, 2014, 05:41:03 AM
Luc, thoughts on the action? seems like it could go either way for your targets of 4xx or new low
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