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Topic: Analysis - page 44. (Read 941579 times)

legendary
Activity: 2856
Merit: 1520
Bitcoin Legal Tender Countries: 2 of 206
February 06, 2018, 04:38:27 PM
according to the younger history of Bitcoin after a new ATH the former ATH was tested again.



What about April 2013?

low (bottom) after 04/2017 was around 45 USD. former ATH was around 33 USD. I do not say it will hit exactly the former ATH but it seems to me there is a pattern.

this is the Mt.Gox chart. please also have in mind that Mt.Gox was the dominant marketplace in these old days and the price was heavy manipulated by Mt.Gox bots for themselves.

legendary
Activity: 2002
Merit: 1040
February 06, 2018, 04:34:46 PM
according to the younger history of Bitcoin after a new ATH the former ATH was tested again.



What about April 2013?
legendary
Activity: 2856
Merit: 1520
Bitcoin Legal Tender Countries: 2 of 206
February 06, 2018, 04:32:57 PM
according to the younger history of Bitcoin after a new ATH the former ATH was tested again.

member
Activity: 242
Merit: 14
February 06, 2018, 04:21:06 PM
So no 100k just messing around with 10k for a year? I’ll go and do something else then.
sr. member
Activity: 696
Merit: 439
February 06, 2018, 04:16:43 PM
For what its worth, latest post:

"I'm 90% sure that a giant triangle is drawn on the weekends. First, there are often triangles in a quadruple. Secondly, triangles are certainly after such a swing.

I think that this 2 month wave from 19800 to 5500 is the first wave A of the future triangle.

How long will the correction take? Well, if wave A lasted almost 2 months, then count. For about a year we will dance around ten."
full member
Activity: 294
Merit: 100
February 06, 2018, 03:49:17 PM
If we allow for some slippage and the price holds in this region, the scenario of ML may not be invalid after all. We shall see ...  Roll Eyes



Exactly. The move to below $7K might not be that significant.... even if ML is wrong by missing one more leg down, it's not the end of the world. No one could be right 100% of the time.
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
February 06, 2018, 03:29:50 PM
If we allow for some slippage and the price holds in this region, the scenario of ML may not be invalid after all. We shall see ...  Roll Eyes

sr. member
Activity: 807
Merit: 423
February 06, 2018, 02:21:27 PM

Enky has a tweet calling support at 3900-5300
https://twitter.com/Bitcoin_Trading

member
Activity: 172
Merit: 10
Token That Will Transform The Venture Capital Mark
February 06, 2018, 07:25:19 AM
I've gotta say, the last 36 hours of price action took me by surprise. I definitely thought I felt capitulation on the spike to $7,500. I guess I was wrong. Sentiment seems incredibly bearish, especially considering the fact that we've already dropped nearly 70% from the highs.

Like people never experienced a BTC dead cat bounce before. Tongue

The weekly close and the sustained bearishness definitely suggests the possibility of a new bear market. But I'm still sticking with my guns.....there is definitely a mega bounce incoming. And $13k-15k is still on the table.

Whether people dump the bottom first is another matter. Grin

This will go down in history as one of the most outstanding moments in crypto market, where the mighty falls dragging on its quests. If and when this market recovers, the market should prepare for a more bullish trend especially from new adopters.

However, like its commonly said 'brace for impact' as it would seem BTC hasn't touch down yet.

Like with all analysis maybe the doom of this was in the number of people beginning to follow and believe in it. Makes for an easy target for manipulators. Poor sheeple.

I guess it is safe to say we are way to soon and yet far from mass adoption. If people joining the cryptocurrency train on the basis of pseudo believe, can have this much negative impact on the integrity of blockchain enterprise (cryptocurrency included) as a whole, then we may as well not be ready for this roller coaster trip of price fluctuation.
legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
February 06, 2018, 06:49:04 AM
I've gotta say, the last 36 hours of price action took me by surprise. I definitely thought I felt capitulation on the spike to $7,500. I guess I was wrong. Sentiment seems incredibly bearish, especially considering the fact that we've already dropped nearly 70% from the highs.

Like people never experienced a BTC dead cat bounce before. Tongue

The weekly close and the sustained bearishness definitely suggests the possibility of a new bear market. But I'm still sticking with my guns.....there is definitely a mega bounce incoming. And $13k-15k is still on the table.

Whether people dump the bottom first is another matter. Grin

This will go down in history as one of the most outstanding moments in crypto market, where the mighty falls dragging on its quests. If and when this market recovers, the market should prepare for a more bullish trend especially from new adopters.

However, like its commonly said 'brace for impact' as it would seem BTC hasn't touch down yet.

Like with all analysis maybe the doom of this was in the number of people beginning to follow and believe in it. Makes for an easy target for manipulators. Poor sheeple.
member
Activity: 172
Merit: 10
Token That Will Transform The Venture Capital Mark
February 06, 2018, 03:48:45 AM
I've gotta say, the last 36 hours of price action took me by surprise. I definitely thought I felt capitulation on the spike to $7,500. I guess I was wrong. Sentiment seems incredibly bearish, especially considering the fact that we've already dropped nearly 70% from the highs.

Like people never experienced a BTC dead cat bounce before. Tongue

The weekly close and the sustained bearishness definitely suggests the possibility of a new bear market. But I'm still sticking with my guns.....there is definitely a mega bounce incoming. And $13k-15k is still on the table.

Whether people dump the bottom first is another matter. Grin

This will go down in history as one of the most outstanding moments in crypto market, where the mighty falls dragging on its quests. If and when this market recovers, the market should prepare for a more bullish trend especially from new adopters.

However, like its commonly said 'brace for impact' as it would seem BTC hasn't touch down yet.
sr. member
Activity: 443
Merit: 260
February 06, 2018, 12:45:41 AM
Wasn't he the guy who said a couple of days ago we would never see 4 digits again ..

lol
sr. member
Activity: 696
Merit: 439
February 06, 2018, 12:25:34 AM
Here he answers in the comments:

"Q: Bitcoin Vanga., That is, after all, bearish trend for a couple of years as in 2014?

A: Paul, yes, I think some kind of huita. For a long time we will recover from the shock."

legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
February 05, 2018, 10:49:06 PM
Quote
I really do not know where to fall further. There's a wild support. Weekly MA20, daytime MA200, Fibonacci retracement of 61.8% of all annual growth, historical trend lines ... In general, all this should bounce off. When drains

let you go ... Here you are, the merchant traders. The reverse side of the ETF is yours. Let them do it .... I expected a general decrease in volatility when all this was beginning to be predicted. And it is - that's what it is Mihalych.

New post.  He doesn't know how low we can go.  Also, if someone is good with Russian, I'd like a better translation.  Direct translation can be iffy.

This thread just became mostly irrelevant anyway.
#1 he was wrong, at least tactically
#2 see #1
#3 that post has no relevant info, hence, don't worry about translation. He basically says that everything got broken.
$4 the key is not in this post, but in the other post/comment where he says that so much damage was done that it would take loooong time to repair.

My conclusion: We are in the bear market of unknown duration, structure, etc. As i said before, maybe it is similar to Amazon or AAPL from 1999-2001 (AMZN) or 2002 (AAPL). Survive a year or a couple of years of pure brutality, then enjoy yourself for the next 20. That's how I intend to play it.
jr. member
Activity: 55
Merit: 1
February 05, 2018, 07:10:31 PM
Quote
I really do not know where to fall further. There's a wild support. Weekly MA20, daytime MA200, Fibonacci retracement of 61.8% of all annual growth, historical trend lines ... In general, all this should bounce off. When drains

let you go ... Here you are, the merchant traders. The reverse side of the ETF is yours. Let them do it .... I expected a general decrease in volatility when all this was beginning to be predicted. And it is - that's what it is Mihalych.

New post.  He doesn't know how low we can go.  Also, if someone is good with Russian, I'd like a better translation.  Direct translation can be iffy.
sr. member
Activity: 696
Merit: 439
February 05, 2018, 05:32:37 PM
The latest:

"Trump changed his granny. Grandma farewelled the American stock market bubble and then turn everything around ...

Wall Street drags down Bitcoin heavily. We observe what will happen from this."





https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
February 05, 2018, 04:57:56 PM
Apparently there was much more air in the price than suspected, but it ain’t over yet. Prices never move in straight lines, and the Weekly chart is in some serious oversold territory  Roll Eyes

Weekly in serious oversold territory? I don't think so, not yet anyway. Weekly was IMO oversold only from October 2014 to January 2015.
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
February 05, 2018, 04:52:07 PM
Apparently there was much more air in the price than suspected, but it ain’t over yet. Prices never move in straight lines, and the Weekly chart is in some serious oversold territory  Roll Eyes
sr. member
Activity: 502
Merit: 251
February 05, 2018, 04:45:48 PM
So, the master was wrong. Shit happens.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
February 05, 2018, 04:19:43 PM
I've gotta say, the last 36 hours of price action took me by surprise. I definitely thought I felt capitulation on the spike to $7,500. I guess I was wrong. Sentiment seems incredibly bearish, especially considering the fact that we've already dropped nearly 70% from the highs.

Like people never experienced a BTC dead cat bounce before. Tongue

The weekly close and the sustained bearishness definitely suggests the possibility of a new bear market. But I'm still sticking with my guns.....there is definitely a mega bounce incoming. And $13k-15k is still on the table.

Whether people dump the bottom first is another matter. Grin
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