The problem with that assumption is that we are nearing roads end in terms of efficiency, exponential growth can only be sustained by better efficiency or increase in BTC price. There wont be something out that is for example 0,1W/GH this year that could keep fueling growth and make other hardware obsolete.
yep and of course many people simply don't understand fiat price rules for all , but those that have completely free power cost.
Ie no power company wants or accepts btc to pay the bill. so to stick blindly to btc roi and completely ignore fiat roi is a sure way to make yourself a loser.
S-1s burning 400 watts at 25 cents a kwatt would make fiat roi if btc goes to 1000 usd. Those that say but if you purchased btc and held you would have made more don't understand the game at all .
Had this argument so many times. Sad but actually good for me.