Always optimize for the long term.
That would be the point of the simulation. You find the most robust parameters for coin generation.
I and others have already told you that we're running testnets, testing and simulating. That hasn't changed.
Anyway, I'm not the one proposing to vary the payouts like the devs, which seems drastic. The idea behind a simulator is that you find the most conservative set of coin generation parameters to still maintain robustness of the coin.
'The devs' are not proposing varying the payout - the devs have brainstormed options that might stabilize CAT for the long term. You've already heard from Maverickthenoob that he is not in favor of fundamentally changing the coin in this way, and I'm now on the record as opposing it as well. I believe one of our main selling points is our 'bitcoin in scrypt' position.
It's very clear from both simulations and from real-world performance of other coins that have been exactly where we are today that we need only a slight modification - a simple tuning - of our difficulty mechanism. Everything else - hash rates, payout performance, difficulty levels, and stability - stabilizes once we stop the mood-swings imposed by fast-switch pools. I am in favor of adapting a dual moving average, akin to a trailing 100 and trailing 500 block average. This has been found to work much better than a single SMA alone in the real world. I outlined the plan here:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.4548636You have a bunch of ideas floating around. You could either fork the coin every time an idea fails (which seems to be the current paradigm for catcoin), or make intelligent decisions based on simulations.
While your requirement for simulation is laudable, it's already been addressed multiple times. Yes - we're simulating. But more importantly, we're looking both backward and forward with real-world data because at the end of the day we are not working on CAT so that it looks great on a spreadsheet - we're working on CAT so it performs in the real world. Your insinuation that we're simply throwing things at a wall and going with what sticks is insulting and off the mark at best.
Let me make this clear to many of you: If you are a pump and dump miner you will not be happy with CAT. This is not some flash in the pan coin. If you expect us to simply drop the diff while busting our butts to increase the value so you can sell your stash and buy an island somewhere, please find another home. If, on the other hand that you are interested in long-term stability, fair compensation for work performed, and a growing user-base and value, then there's a place here for you.
And finally - this coin is not yet ONE MONTH OLD! This is NOT the end of the process, and we are not here to present options for consensus yet - this is important! Let's hold on another day or two. While it would have been better for all of us if the original dev had chosen to stay with his creation, we don't have that option. We're working as hard and as quickly as possible to get up to speed on the guts of this coin, the guts of the environment, and the guts of the market so that we ensure our CAT has a very long and happy life. I think those of you that choose to stay in the community will be happy you did.