using 10 BTC as an investment volume (a number easy to multiply all values by) what is the realistic expectation of the rate of return on this gig and over what period of time? no hype merchants please.
I'd use this list for predictions:
Ripple - Over 30M USD from VC's - 676,227 BTC market cap
Ethereum - 31,531 BTC from presale - 2,462,284 BTC market cap
MaidSafe - around 12,200 in BTC from presale - 104,696 BTC market cap
Stellar - 3M USD from Stripe - 27,803 BTC market cap
Bitshares - 500,000 USD from investors + 5625 BTC in donations (via BTS AGS) - 38,981 BTC market cap
Lisk - around 5100 BTC and 64M XCR from presale. 4 and a half days to go.
Factom - 2287 BTC from presale - 43,194 BTC BTC
I don't see Lisk market cap lower than 15,000-30,000 BTC.
I strongly believe it's going to be somewhere between 50,000-100,000 BTC by the end of Summer.
And I hope to see it over 500,000 BTC by the end of 2016.
To give you a better breakdown, I converted everything into BTC and then determined the % increase from the ICO to current Market Cap figures (with the exception of Lisk since we don't know yet).
Ripple: 72,289 BTC - 676,227 BTC Market Cap-
835% increase
Ethereum: 31,531 BTC - 2,462,284 BTC Market Cap -
7709% increase
Maidsafe: 12,200 BTC - 104,696 BTC Market Cap -
758% increase
Stellar: 7,228 BTC - 27,803 BTC Market Cap -
284% increase
Bitshares: 6829 BTC - 38,981 BTC Market Cap -
470% increase
Factom: 2287 BTC - 43,194 BTC Market Cap -
1788% increase
They grow because they have the capital to hire people and work full time on this. Usually, when it's people working on a project which they are not receiving income the progress tends to be slow. But not with these kind of funds, progress should be fast, and updates should come weekly if not bi-weekly.