I was going to post this here, but it was a bit lengthy and may get lost/ignored/shouted down. Whatever. I blog as a hobby, sort of like aTriz and nearmiss run Hashco.ws, so I
wrote up my analysis of the recent performance. Bottom line: I'm not saying nearmiss/aTriz are doing anything shady, but either their coin selection algorithm is somehow busted or there's something else causing Hashco.ws to consistently choose under-performing coins. The pool is jumping around alt-coins like a jack rabbit on speed, and virtually none of the selected coins seem to be delivering the expected returns. That's not even mentioning the 42 Coin rounds that keep popping up (and keep failing to outperform LTC). Ugh.
The goal is (or should be IMO) profits that are better than mining LTC, and looking at Coinwarz/Coinchoose there seem to be many options that are hitting that mark. Or perhaps stated better: the goal is to mine the most profitable alt-coin, so something other than LTC or BTC, but again there are many candidates that have been consistently above LTC during the past month. So if that's true, why are the coins selected by Hashco.ws somehow getting us less than half the profits of mining LTC? Is Coinwarz lying about profitability and Hashco.ws is getting mislead, is Hashco.ws just getting (really!) unlucky, or is something wrong with the coin selection algorithm? Or maybe something else.
I'd love to see the problem fixed, because I'm lazy and all I want is better returns on my investment. Hashco.ws used to provide that pretty consistently; since the hack and rebuild, I'm not sure I've ever seen us match let alone clearly outperform LTC. That's bizarre...and Middlecoin hasn't been any better that I can see, which is equally bizarre.
It actually is not that hard to see whats going on in my opinion.
Its basicly the problem of a pool thats to big.
The difficulty increases once we hit a coin and reduces profitability.
Usually thats a few dollars per khs.
In good times when profitable coins are at 18 dollars and ltc at 8, you stil have 7 dollars extra against ltc when profifabilaty goes down to 15 dollars when we hit a coin
Now since ltc is at 7 and the best coins around 9 or 10 dollars switching will bring us on par or even under ltc. 9 -3=6
So it seems better. But with the hashrate this pool has, its hard on coins with fast dificulty switches.
This also is why we change so often.
And once we leave the particular coin because of dificulty. the same coins pop back up to the highest earners shortly after. Because without the pool mining the difficulty drops like a stone and the cycle repeats itself.
Furthermore. In a declining market there isnt a sturdy base of buyers on exchanges. Usually a few small buy orders. With under that a lot of people who set a low buy order just in case.
With the amount of coins we dump on the market you often have more coins then genuine buy orders. So after the few coins that are sold at regular prices, you end up getting as much as 20% less for the coins. Since they have to be sold asap.
If you watch cryptsy, often you wil see a huge drop in price with a very high number of traded coins. Im pritty sure these are mostly multipools.
In an up market the demand is much fermer. So prices drop less while trading big amounts quickly.
Those are the biggest reasons for the low earnings i guess. And there is no quick fix for that.
Only thing i can think of is deviding the pools hashpower over 3 or 4 coins at the same time and dripfeeding coins to market over a few days. But equally devide profits over users. No mather what coin they mined. I actually think mining multible coins could be what going on at middle. Would be a good reason not to disclose what coin is mined, since it are multiple simontaniously. And if users mine other coins then others, that would be lots of trouble. Just speculating. I have absolutly NO proof whatsoever.. Just an observation! But they still dump the coins
Combining those two would be a administrative nightmare. Keeping track of earnings of miners over multiple days.
I wouldnt touch that kind of thing with a 10 foot pole. But some business guy with god like coding skills could make that happen. I dont know
Or maybe we should mine only the 3d profitable coin .Since all other pools hit the number one spot. Its not just our hashrate but also multi and middle and others. All jumping on the same coin at the same time.thats a lot of hashes......
If just our hashrate hits a coin the effects maybe are not that drastic and might produce better results even though its not the highest atm. By avoiding other pools the swings up and down arnt as big resulting in better overal performance. Could be worth testing.
Just an idea