one can pre-order ASIC based mining equipment today, or wait for 6 months and order it then - in both cases, the ROI will be in the similar range
That is almost certainly not true.
Unless you expect no ASIC miners to ship ever. Then it would be true.
I struggled making sense of that comment as well...
I may be wrong but I took it as meaning that over time the ROI on your purchase will be similar.
Its not taking into account that if you can get a hold of the first batch you would have a major boost in income over the first few months before Diifficulty levels out.
@jddebug, you've got it right!
I meant long term ROI.
Let me give a first hand experience example. I start mining with GPUs in June 2011. My friend joined with his GPU farm in October 2011. I've calculated the ROI when we switched off our farms in September 2012. There was not a concernable difference in the rate of BTCs mined over the same period by two different GPU farms with two different hashing capacities. Sure, the value of Bitcoin varied greatly over that period, and we earned different number of BTC, but that was to be expected. That's what the hoarding is about, (hoping) to hedge the value of BTC. But then I also speculated, first on Tradehill, and then on Mt.Gox. Over the same period of time, I've made more money speculating that mining.
Someone mentioned earlier how disappointed he was for not speculating and deciding to buy FPGA equipment instead and mine with it. That's what ordinary people do - they either mine or speculate. The brighter ones do both - when it makes sense to do so - and swiftly move their riches across the network, causing secondary effect on the Bitcoin network, multiple transactions. And the most bright ones do that even better - they do not leave it to the last day to decide what to do, but prepare themselves well in advance, set themselves to be ready to seize each opportunity as it presents itself.
But one thing for sure, they do not make fools of themselves by posting publicly that they've placed a pre-order with a new-start-up company that has a proven track-record of missing their delivery times, but now it comes as a huge surprise to them that the products
they desperately needed at a certain time has not been shipped, or has not been even produced. Oh, what a shame!
To those, here is a message from me - show some respect to the trolls, stop feeding them with rubbish! And if you feel you've made a mistake, take it like a man, learn from it, but do not try to find someone else to blame it on. You are not the first one who has lost something and you are not going to be the last one. Live with it.