Hi,
I' a BTC newbie who spent last 4-5 hours reading through 132 pages of discussions.
A big congrats to you who bought the IPO, and applause to friedcat who has done a splendid job with this Company.
A part of me feels like the train has already left the station, and if you want on board, you get to pay an hefty price, while a part of the reward (the dividends) is just about to be lowered.
Another part is saying that I am in this for the long run. I am not interested in getting my Money back in a couple months, I want to invest in what I believe can be a real success in the future. And Reading friedcat's weekly statements, and the level of professionalism he is delivering is surely giving a lot of confidence.
I am thinking of investing in ASICMINER, and I just want to confirm that I have understood this correctly:
- Share prices of IPO was 0.1 BTC / share, now they are ~0.8 BTC, so the value have already grown by roughly 8 times?
- Dividends has so far been about
BTC0.02 -
BTC0.025 / share / week, but it will be cut in half by next week, giving more revenue to the Company.
I am guessing this will go to future investments expanding the rigs and for future sales of ASIC's? Also perhaps a swimming pool for friedcat, well earned if I might say so.
- So far there have been alot of discussions regarding ASICMINER's hashing power, and rewards from that. But I have not seen much about future sale of ASIC rigs.
Is not that also a relevant thing to take into consideration when trying to find the value of a share?
Thanx to you all for giving me an interesing read this morning!
You should evaluate it a bit differently than that. Firstly, the original post and plan was for the company to reinvest 50% of its earnings into future growth, which has not started yet. In addition, so far the creators of the company have not been taking their cut of the profits. So the dividend will be cut by potentially 75%, perhaps more if the team & board determine that more aggressive reinvestment is needed in light of the butterfly labs delays and avalon shipping delays. But that reinvestment, if successful, will ultimately surface itself in share price gains.
You should evaluate it based on two things- When asicminer is able to bring more hashing power online(Currently deployment is a bit slow), and when the competition is able to ship(and how fast). If the competition is able to ship enough asics to bring online 1,000+ TH/s by August, Asicminer is indeed overpriced right now. If the competition struggles to bring online under 100 TH/s by August, asicminer is actually pretty cheap in terms of ROI potential. It is not an easy price to evaluate, which is why we have markets to try to do it for us.