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Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It - page 778. (Read 3917468 times)

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002

That reminds me..

I bought 50 USBs from Friedcat directly before I started ordering from WTCR.

Here is my e-mail, which he never replied to:

"I ordered 50 USB Miners from you back in June when they were 2BTC/each.

I would like to take advantage of the promotion of 0.1BTC/each for new ones, based on that order of 50."


No reply back..

feels like I'm getting some cat shit on me too..

The promotion was for previous orders at the 0.99/0.89 price point.  2BTC orders were not included.
I sent him several emails and PMs over the last month because I purchased 50 @ 0.99 price and was expecting updated pricing or 0.1 promo pricing and he has yet to respond to me.

I also had a 50 order and he sent me 15 a couple weeks ago at the 0.1 price point.  He said the other 35 should be available around the 1st.  He only seems to be responding to the new email address ([email protected]).
hero member
Activity: 761
Merit: 500
Mine Silent, Mine Deep
The week according to ASICMiners: monday, tuesday, divday, thursday, friday, saturday, sunday
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 502
Total speculation here but I do recall FC mentioning that he was addressing the orphan block / no transaction fees issue. It may be that a portion of his hash is aimed at BTCguild or something. He has done so in the past and we might not see it until the coins move on divday.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
wow, there goes Mr "fill every buy order" again.  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1012
Still wild and free
I think the drop of hashrate is due to some of it being used under unknown IPs and addresses. Should be confirmed tomorrow if mining incomes are clearly greater than that to be expected with 6%.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
All these theories are useless, just ask for an explanation from friedcat.
OMG!!!  why didn't any of us think of that?

 Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 3000
Terminated.
All these theories are useless, just ask for an explanation from friedcat.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
that's one theory.  another theory is that a significant portion of AM's hash is being rented out.  They peaked around 50 TH/s or so, and are currently around 30 TH/s.

Why would they be renting capacity for less than expected value? 
Why would someone pay more than the expected value of the capacity?

Because it would be more expensive for AM to deploy the capacity themselves than for another party that has access to cheaper power, space and deployment personnel.  Keep in mind that 50TH is FIVE THOUSAND blades.  That's not something easy to deploy, power and maintain.  Also these blades consume 350 kW of power (and dissipate as much heat), which is also quite a big deal to feed and cool.

The 50TH/s has ALREADY been operating.  Unless Friedcat had them hooked up to a giant battery which just ran out of juice I find it hard to believe they suddenly lack the power they did for the last couple months and need 20TH/s of the 50TH/s worth of hardware to a third party has has power.  Now that explanation might make sense if the hashrate didn't rise ABOVE 50TH/s and instead Friedcat announced the next 50TH/s was rented out for some % of the net revenue but that isn't what is being discussed.


+1  In fact, I have seen it at 60TH/s for a while.

I think it's the other way around.  I think another entity can't deploy 30TH/s because they can't get the power together.  FC has it up and ready, and says "I'll rent you mine".  Meanwhile, he's prepping the next 30 TH/s to go online for himself.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
power is the big obstacle, and it's the one thing I don't see the upcoming mining competition talking about.  I don't think people realize what it takes to get 10 TH/s online or 50 TH/s, and forget about 500 TH/s.  It's not like just plugging it in to the wall socket.

I remember back in June in the russian thread Bitfury used to make quite a big deal of his chips' power consumption.  He used to say that in coming month the power would become more and more important factor, until finally it becomes the most important limiting cost (instead of actual chip or PCB manufacturing costs).  He used to brag about his chips being so "green", and they turned out to be efficient indeed, although not as much as he predicted.  He was even talking about using ASICs to heat his greenhouse garden during winters in a few years, because they would barely pay for the electricity cost, and maybe not even that.

So at least some of that "upcoming mining competition" does take power consumption very seriously.

yes, some groups talk about the efficiency of their chips, but not how they will power a 50 TH/s or 500 TH/s mining operations within a few months (or less). As we have already discussed in this thread, you can rent datacenter space, but it isn't cheap, and I wonder if anyone is including those costs in their plans (they are certainly not sharing the cost breakdown).

I think it is great that some of the smarter groups are looking into efficiency, but efficiency is only one piece of the puzzle.  You still have to have hundreds of kW of power available to your mining operation, if you plan to get it online at some point.

The focus of discussion for most of the IPOs tend to be chip design and/or chip arrival.  Getting the chips is a major step, but it's only the first step, and certainly not the most difficult (yet, most stumble at that stage)
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
that's one theory.  another theory is that a significant portion of AM's hash is being rented out.  They peaked around 50 TH/s or so, and are currently around 30 TH/s.

Why would they be renting capacity for less than expected value? 
Why would someone pay more than the expected value of the capacity?

Because it would be more expensive for AM to deploy the capacity themselves than for another party that has access to cheaper power, space and deployment personnel.  Keep in mind that 50TH is FIVE THOUSAND blades.  That's not something easy to deploy, power and maintain.  Also these blades consume 350 kW of power (and dissipate as much heat), which is also quite a big deal to feed and cool.

The 50TH/s has ALREADY been operating.  Unless Friedcat had them hooked up to a giant battery which just ran out of juice I find it hard to believe they suddenly lack the power they did for the last couple months and need 20TH/s of the 50TH/s worth of hardware to a third party has has power.  Now that explanation might make sense if the hashrate didn't rise ABOVE 50TH/s and instead Friedcat announced the next 50TH/s was rented out for some % of the net revenue but that isn't what is being discussed.

full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
power is the big obstacle, and it's the one thing I don't see the upcoming mining competition talking about.  I don't think people realize what it takes to get 10 TH/s online or 50 TH/s, and forget about 500 TH/s.  It's not like just plugging it in to the wall socket.

I remember back in June in the russian thread Bitfury used to make quite a big deal of his chips' power consumption.  He used to say that in coming month the power would become more and more important factor, until finally it becomes the most important limiting cost (instead of actual chip or PCB manufacturing costs).  He used to brag about his chips being so "green", and they turned out to be efficient indeed, although not as much as he predicted.  He was even talking about using ASICs to heat his greenhouse garden during winters in a few years, because they would barely pay for the electricity cost, and maybe not even that.

So at least some of that "upcoming mining competition" does take power consumption very seriously.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
I always thought of power as a competitive advantage for AM. Presumably Friedcat and co. have a better idea for the infrastructure required to go to 500 TH/s based on their running a 50 TH/s operation for several months already.


yeah, I was referring to the numerous new "competitors" out there that fail to include power delivery to their projected 500 TH/s mining operations.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
Because it would be more expensive for AM to deploy the capacity themselves than for another party that has access to cheaper power, space and deployment personnel.  Keep in mind that 50TH is FIVE THOUSAND blades.  That's not something easy to deploy, power and maintain.  Also these blades consume 350 kW of power (and dissipate as much heat), which is also quite a big deal to feed and cool.

Yeah, I was thinking the same thing. I don't think friedcat has access to unlimited power and space.

power is the big obstacle, and it's the one thing I don't see the upcoming mining competition talking about.  I don't think people realize what it takes to get 10 TH/s online or 50 TH/s, and forget about 500 TH/s.  It's not like just plugging it in to the wall socket.

I always thought of power as a competitive advantage for AM. Presumably Friedcat and co. have a better idea for the infrastructure required to go to 500 TH/s based on their running a 50 TH/s operation for several months already.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Because it would be more expensive for AM to deploy the capacity themselves than for another party that has access to cheaper power, space and deployment personnel.  Keep in mind that 50TH is FIVE THOUSAND blades.  That's not something easy to deploy, power and maintain.  Also these blades consume 350 kW of power (and dissipate as much heat), which is also quite a big deal to feed and cool.

Yeah, I was thinking the same thing. I don't think friedcat has access to unlimited power and space.

power is the big obstacle, and it's the one thing I don't see the upcoming mining competition talking about.  I don't think people realize what it takes to get 10 TH/s online or 50 TH/s, and forget about 500 TH/s.  It's not like just plugging it in to the wall socket.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
that's one theory.  another theory is that a significant portion of AM's hash is being rented out.  They peaked around 50 TH/s or so, and are currently around 30 TH/s.

Why would they be renting capacity for less than expected value? 
Why would someone pay more than the expected value of the capacity?

Because it would be more expensive for AM to deploy the capacity themselves than for another party that has access to cheaper power, space and deployment personnel.  Keep in mind that 50TH is FIVE THOUSAND blades.  That's not something easy to deploy, power and maintain.  Also these blades consume 350 kW of power (and dissipate as much heat), which is also quite a big deal to feed and cool.

Yeah, I was thinking the same thing. I don't think friedcat has access to unlimited power and space.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
that's one theory.  another theory is that a significant portion of AM's hash is being rented out.  They peaked around 50 TH/s or so, and are currently around 30 TH/s.

Why would they be renting capacity for less than expected value? 
Why would someone pay more than the expected value of the capacity?

Because it would be more expensive for AM to deploy the capacity themselves than for another party that has access to cheaper power, space and deployment personnel.  Keep in mind that 50TH is FIVE THOUSAND blades.  That's not something easy to deploy, power and maintain.  Also these blades consume 350 kW of power (and dissipate as much heat), which is also quite a big deal to feed and cool.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
unless Vycid is also the trader that repeatedly has been filling buy orders from 3.7 to 3.5 every night (US time), then no, I don't think he's responsible for these price corrections.

That trader most likely has an ongoing deal with the 3500+ share seller (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/auction-3559-asicminer-shares-direct-276891) for around 3.5 per share and is playing an arbitrage game by selling shares over 3.6 on BTC and buying them for 3.5/transferring them in.

I don't think he's transferring them in, but he might be doing some sort of arbitrage like that.  Transferring in takes longer than a day, and unless it is burnside/FC themselves, I doubt it would work exactly like that.

But, it could be someone who has a lot of shares already on the exchange, and is selling his shares in exchange for direct shares.
donator
Activity: 290
Merit: 250
unless Vycid is also the trader that repeatedly has been filling buy orders from 3.7 to 3.5 every night (US time), then no, I don't think he's responsible for these price corrections.

That trader most likely has an ongoing deal with the 3500+ share seller (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/auction-3559-asicminer-shares-direct-276891) for around 3.5 per share and is playing an arbitrage game by selling shares over 3.6 on BTC and buying them for 3.5/transferring them in.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
that's one theory.  another theory is that a significant portion of AM's hash is being rented out.  They peaked around 50 TH/s or so, and are currently around 30 TH/s.

Why would they be renting capacity for less than expected value? 
Why would someone pay more than the expected value of the capacity?

The renter's expected value for the chips is likely not the same as friedcat's expected value for the same chips.

Is there 30Th/s worth of "greater fools" out there?

But why do you think they are necessarily fools?
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Is there 30Th/s worth of "greater fools" out there?
People are still buying BFL pre-orders.  Does that answer your question?
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