-snip- The average mempool size is quite low right now and you may be able to send a priority txn (1mb from tip) with <10sat/B fee rate.
So would you recommend this option? How likely is it to ever arrive when I go cheap with Fee rate 2.7 or 1.3 sat/B?
I'd rather not answer with an estimated time of arrival since mempool is unpredictable, but I'd say 2.7 or 1.3 sat/B are a bit low even for a normal priority fee.
If more transactions are added, it may take days or weeks, if vice versa, the next hour or so.
With the current standing, you can go as low as 7sat/B and it will still be cheap as long as your transaction isn't large in size (
not the amount to be sent).
The (
virtual) size of the transaction heavily depends on the number of inputs it spend and their (
script) address types, quite affected by the number of outputs.
I believe that's already explained in the OP of this thread.