Topic: Bitcoin and it's 4 Year-Cycle (Read 1003 times)

There is no guarantee but it's just the same that we might see the cycle happens again for 2024-2025. If you don't think that $100k won't be reached after the halving, that's fine.

How long you've been in the market? The experience and stay of someone can easily make ourselves believe on what's possible to happen.

And the market doesn't only revolve on the forum.

Because it's still early.

I'll be happy if your $100k ATH happens in 2025. I've posted today in a different topic saying there isn't a guarantee halving's going to make ATH. We don't know if it's going to happen. FOMO's reaching boiling point in the forum. We're expecting bulls but it's like we're in a bullish period for weeks which didn't get going.

I am believing that cycle and looking at the potential of how high Bitcoins price might be is exciting.

You see that curve for the fourth year where the bull run is going to happen? That is 6 digits that we are seeing that could potentially be reached.

Well, we also said the same words on 2021 but even with that, 2024 and 2025 could be the best years this cycle. I'd give it on 2025 but if bull run ticks in as early as 2024, why not?

Accounts Connected: (Note: Banned shown in red / Inactive in Blue / Active profile (in ordinary link colour))

1. Kholol7
2. kukra2



Proof:

All these accounts use same wallet  Account to do bounty tasks.

PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: kukra2
Forum Profile Link: https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/kukra2-3559795
Telegram Username: @kukra2
Twitter, Telegram, Discord, Tiktok
BSC Wallet : 0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C


The account kukra2 didn't even bothered to write Proof of Authentication for the bounty he enrolled. But he did use this same wallet address in other bounty.


Now this another account Kholol7, he has been maintaining the account using another wallet address quite well. But he does bounty through the same twitter account.
Quote from: Kholol7 on October 13, 2023, 07
PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: Kholol7
Forum Profile Link: https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/kholol7-3533116
Telegram Username: @Jananatul44
BSC Wallet : 0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C




Reporting:

These alts have not been reported  by me because I donot have merit so it won't be showing any negative trust. Please higher rank senior report this.

Related Addresses:

Wallet  Account: connect

Code:
0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C

Code:
0x8C98A41Aa5F117e9454E63dcf383deE7c688686C


Miscellaneous:
Bounty Registered
1. Bethel he has used kukra2 account
2. Ozone Chain he has used both Kholol7 and kukra2 account connect

When I read posts like yours I'm disappointed. Possible bull season or FOMO isn't the reason ppl should invest in bitcoin. Just because halving's going to occur in 2024 doesn't mean now's the best time to invest in bitcoin. Investors shouldn't invest unless they've decided it's best for them so they should FOMO.

Accounts Connected: (Note: Banned shown in red / Inactive in Blue / Active profile (in ordinary link colour))

1. Moita22
2. Price0077
3. Amar jaan


Proof:

All these accounts use same Twitter Account to do bounty tasks.

Quote from: Price0077 on November 24, 2023, 09:55:45 AM
PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: Price0077
Forum Profile Link: https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/price0077-3580006
Telegram Username: @Price0077
Participated Campaigns: twitter Facebook telegram discord tik tok
BSC Wallet Address: 0xb38c5537ac4543aa51ab68986cdac72ca711a767

The account Amar jaan didn't even bothered to write Proof of Authentication for the bounty he enrolled. But he did use this same wallet address in other bounty.

Proof that he used in another bounty
The link to the spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iQ5Jr8HGaPluzpst-MZwiai34zAer_gIfFwt4C73GMk/edit#gid=882104557

Telegram Spreadsheet number: 658 as Amar jaan

Now this another account Moita22, he has been maintaining the account using another wallet address quite well. But he does bounty through the same twitter account.
Quote from: Moita22 on October 13, 2023, 07:43:23 AM
#PROOF OF REGISTRATION
Forum Username: Moita22
Forum Profile Link : https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/moita22-3536285
Telegram Username: @moita4792
Participated Campaigns:Twitter,  Facebook. and telegram.
BEP-20 Wallet Addres:
0xc59eaC8ACF09c1F6C1e83F50356Dbd641a8bda17

Unfortunately he has already deleted his past tweets of working but I have link to spreadsheets which has same twitter account used.
1. Bethel: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14ZMc_M_D4GTxWVoq4lDEeO4QORfbGF15bnOJJbDW1Ew/edit#gid=858777928
Twitter Spreadsheet Number: 599 as Moita22
2. Ozone Chain: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iQ5Jr8HGaPluzpst-MZwiai34zAer_gIfFwt4C73GMk/edit#gid=969140224
Twitter Spreadsheet Number: 653 as Amar jaan


Reporting:

These alts have not been reported  by me because I donot have merit so it won't be showing any negative trust. Please higher rank senior report this.

Related Addresses:

Twitter Account: https://twitter.com/afruja317

Code:
0xb38c5537ac4543aa51ab68986cdac72ca711a767

Code:
0xc59eaC8ACF09c1F6C1e83F50356Dbd641a8bda17


Miscellaneous:
Bounty Registered
1. Bethel he has used Moita22 account
2. Ozone Chain he has used both Moita22 and Amar jaan account
3. Cogwise 2.0 he has used Price007 account

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.


According to me Bitcoin will crash eventually and than it will pump and we will be able to see good growth in coming years and it will be insane pumps and green days?

According to me Bitcoin will crash eventually and than it will pump and we will be able to see good growth in coming years and it will be insane pumps and green days?

It should be, and I hope it happens as predicted. But, we know crypto, especially bitcoin is not as easy as we think and predict because of decentralization and no one control like you predict. Bitcoin and some decentralization of altcoin is pure supply and demand on the market, therefore your predictions could be wrong. I often follow the pattern on chart above by PlanB on social media, almost the same as chart above, all predictions on halving periods are correct with only a few percent of error. but all the calculations could be wrong on this period, and maybe it will form a new pattern because something like war or emergency situation which make the bitcoin price deviate 100% from prediction.

It's not being a god or a ghost, it's literally just creating predictions as to when and what would the market look like during bitcoin's highest moments next bull season. And with bitcoin's 4 year cycle, along with the common patterns that the regular investor falls under during these stress periods, you get a pretty convincing chart like what OP made that gives you a little heads-up of what could be waiting for you at the other end of the spectrum. I should know, I've been in the industry for a little less over a decade, and have been in the halvings of both the 2016, and the 2020, arguably the most tumultuous times in the crypto world as of yet. Perhaps, don't go about thinking whether someone's a god or a ghost, and just go read a damn article or a book lol.

To be more precise, the value of bitcoin depends on supply and demand like all other assets, and the fluctuation of supply and demand depends entirely on the investor. Once the world economy has problems, it will directly affect investors, which will also affect the demand for bitcoin. So it's funny that someone would think that decentralized bitcoin means it's completely separate from the world.

The halving will cause the supply of bitcoin on the market to decrease, so as long as demand remains the same, it could push up the price of bitcoin. But bitcoin prices will increase sharply if supply is limited and demand also increases.

Bitcoin is a private asset for everyone because it has no controller, its creator is completely anonymous and it is designed to be.  Bitcoin creator also has no power to take away Bitcoin from anyone. Because of this everyone considers Bitcoin as a strong secure asset and undoubtedly invests in Bitcoin.  So the infection of the country will always have a positive effect instead of having a negative effect on Bitcoin. But yes the world economic recession will affect Bitcoin. Because of the infection in every country, slowly people started trusting Bitcoin a lot and started keeping money in it. One obvious reason for this is that Bitcoin recovers very quickly from a fall in value, but does not easily cover a fall in the value of fiat currencies. Bitcoin's 4 year circle is true but it happens because people think that Bitcoin has been in a lot of dumps for a long time so maybe now it will be a lot of pump.  Thus when many people start investing together bitcoins automatically pump.  And once it starts to pump, it creates a height on it and the investment amount starts to increase.  That's how the price of Bitcoin goes up a lot

Bitcoin is also part of the world economy so it will also be affected if the economy has problems. If what you say is true, bitcoin does not depend and is not affected by the world economy, then why does every time the Fed raises interest rates or increases inflation, have a negative impact on bitcoin price in 2022? Why is bitcoin also dumped on news of war if it has no effect on the world economy? Bitcoin is a financial market, a currency, and what value would it have if it were not in circulation or had nothing to do with the world economy?

Its sort of like a self-fulfilling prophecy. Because people want it to happen, they do things that make it happen. For years, Bitcoin enthusiasts have caught in the loop of bull and bear markets. But lets do it the other way around. Everyone in the community should change how they felt about Bitcoin. What if many people learned about Bitcoin's real value and its promise as a future currency? That change in how people think could end the loop.

I agree with the trend, at least for now. But I have another plan. What if we work toward a more stable and long-term way of investing in Bitcoin? Imagine a world where Bitcoin isnt just a way to "get rich quick" during bull runs, but also a way to learn about the currency's long-term potential. Thats where things will really change. By the late 2030s? Could be. But how did they get there? Educating, changing mindsets, and breaking FOMO and FUD cycles are key.

I don't dispute that the vast majority of bitcoin investors now are those trying to take advantage of the cycle to get huge returns after the halving. Bitcoin is definitely a good idea as an alternative currency to pay for things, but its price volatility tends to be the target of investors rather than its use case.

Halving is the best fundamental to expect an increase in bitcoin prices and this increase is indeed very expected considering that halving will make miners get lower rewards. Without an increase in prices, bitcoin miners will go bankrupt because they are unable to cover mining costs or operational costs, so they also hope to profit from the halving.

What are you saying here, what difficulty will bitcoin encounters at the fourth circle, what will be that thing that may stand as hindrance against having a new all time high next year or further subsequent years coming, bitcoin network is not depending on the economic conditions of the fiat world and how should exchange rate or inflation cause it not to get to where it should be, moreover bitcoin itself cannot antagonize itself, it's value remain ever increasing.

Yes, that's probably why I said otherwise, but now I understand what has been explained now.

I believe it is certain that ATH will pass after the 4-year cycle, because what I have seen the previous bitcoin price history is that after halving it is said to be a cycle, there is also an exact time we never know, it's just that many estimates are at the end of 2024/25 that I often see from bitcoin analysis experts.

When it comes to the future , no one has a crystal ball to know what will happen. I also thought about that scenario, when everyone knows about the cycle, things have become easily predictable and are more likely to change . But that's just our suspicion and we have evidence for that too. So I think, let's keep things simple instead of making things more complicated , and to make things simpler, we should continue to believe in history repeating but don't forget to prepare yourself worst case scenario plan. Always having a backup plan is something everyone should have.

it's true there will be a lot of rich people for this,
There will be a 4 year cycle, but reaching a new ath will be very difficult in the next cycle because economic conditions can also affect the exchange rate and Bitcoin itself.

It's depressing when ppl who've unfortunately paid $50k or $60k for a single bitcoin in 2021 saw the value of their investment fall so much it's still catching up. They can't sell or else they'll incur losses which nobody deserves. They'll need patience but some ppl must've sold their bitcoin to cut losses that's the part which makes me feel sorry for them.