Bitcoin and it's 4 Year-Cycle - page 3.

arabspaceship123

full member

Activity: 896

Merit: 193

web developer for hire

That's the way cryptocurrency trading works for most ppl they try to buy cheap & sell high that's the aim to make profit. FOMO doesn't help investors. Investors will always buy bitcoin when the price's cheap but ppl who've missed out in low prices take a leap of faith because of FOMO but are left with losses.

Quote from: taufik123 on November 12, 2023, 05:30:32 PM

When prices tend to be cheap they are reluctant to even enter for fear that the price will continue to fall, but when it goes higher they will buy it.
Actually, this happens because of the influence of unstable psychology, not knowing whether they entered at the best price or at a price that is too high.

so98nn

hero member

Activity: 2114

Merit: 603

I am not technical analysis expert but what happened to the Bitcoin price of 55-60k USD ? Why I am not able to see it in the chart if we had touch down to that price range couple of years back. The graph should have been little curvy like going up for bit and then again falling back sharply to the 25k price range. I am totally confused about the cycles given in that chart.

Or, is it just formal prediction that was plotted earlier and we are just discussing about it. Because even if I Check the “All time graph” of Bitcoin then it looks like what I imagined whole typing the post.

Just have a look at this:

I am just trying to understand whether there is another way to look at the graph here?

Texac

hero member

Activity: 2422

Merit: 513

DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook

Quote from: danadc on November 12, 2023, 10:18:40 PM

I could not establish the bitcoin cycle, because it is something unpredictable, the volatility is what makes the asset different and differentiates it from all the markets that have stocks, and I don't know but 2021 was when bitcoin had that great price of almost 70 thousand USD, and that makes it the year 2026 when the price will rise again? based on what? Here I have told you that there are many patterns in trading, and they can be what makes the difference but I don't think that is the case, I think that Bitcoin goes up or down because investors know when they should not make it go up, because In a pandemic or in wars it will not rise, it will rise in the best time that is for the investors, and they push it to a much higher level.

No one can confirm or have the crystal ball to tell you that for sure. but if you look back at bitcoin's growth history, you will see that the cycle the OP is talking about has repeated 3 times. so, there is nothing wrong with people continuing to believe and expect history to repeat itself again.

Sometimes things are very simple but many people deliberately make things complicated. they give thousands of reasons and scenarios for their thoughts while it is very possible that everything will not change and history will repeat itself.

danadc

sr. member

Activity: 1092

Merit: 342

WOLFBET.COM - Exclusive VIP Rewards

I could not establish the bitcoin cycle, because it is something unpredictable, the volatility is what makes the asset different and differentiates it from all the markets that have stocks, and I don't know but 2021 was when bitcoin had that great price of almost 70 thousand USD, and that makes it the year 2026 when the price will rise again? based on what? Here I have told you that there are many patterns in trading, and they can be what makes the difference but I don't think that is the case, I think that Bitcoin goes up or down because investors know when they should not make it go up, because In a pandemic or in wars it will not rise, it will rise in the best time that is for the investors, and they push it to a much higher level.

taufik123

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 1888

Rollbit.com | #1 Solana Casino

Quote from: arabspaceship123 on November 12, 2023, 11:42:02 AM

I don't want new bitcoin investors to fall for the FOMO. If they're accepting halving won't guarantee profits they'll invest carefully or else they'll be vulnerable if they sell at low prices. I don't know why ppl can't see FOMO's being presented to them by other investors who'd like to see bitcoin price rise so they're able to dump first.

Seeing how FOMO has always happened in the past, it has become a part of the crypto market and those who enter at FOMO prices never learn how the right time to start entering and selling.

When prices tend to be cheap they are reluctant to even enter for fear that the price will continue to fall, but when it goes higher they will buy it.
Actually, this happens because of the influence of unstable psychology, not knowing whether they entered at the best price or at a price that is too high.

Those who still survive from the last ATH purchase, of course they still hope that Bitcoin will be able to reach the new ATH.
But most of them have sold their holdings at a lower price.

arabspaceship123

full member

Activity: 896

Merit: 193

web developer for hire

I don't want new bitcoin investors to fall for the FOMO. If they're accepting halving won't guarantee profits they'll invest carefully or else they'll be vulnerable if they sell at low prices. I don't know why ppl can't see FOMO's being presented to them by other investors who'd like to see bitcoin price rise so they're able to dump first.

Quote from: taufik123 on November 11, 2023, 06:56:46 PM

Although Halving made new history with ATH in the past, it is not a guarantee that Halving will deliver the same cycle.
It may take longer or faster to reach ATH.

There are all sorts of factors that can affect the upcoming ATH cycle.
Past history may play a role, but it does not necessarily mean that the cycle will be the same.
There will be differences, of course.
Seeing how regulations, economic conditions, market sentiment, and other factors are enough to make the cycle change.

Out of mind

sr. member

Activity: 672

Merit: 321

I like to treat everyone as a friend 🔹

It is true that the value of Bitcoin halves every four years and the price increases during that time. We have seen how the Bitcoin chart has grown since the past and how Bitcoin has come up to date according to its halving is really interesting.

As we have seen in past charts, Bitcoin had its first halving in 2012, the very next year in 2013 when the Bitcoin market peaked in ATH.
Then the bear market began in 2016 when Bitcoin halved for the second time, and the bull market began the following year in 2017 when ATH peaked.
A bull market followed by a bear market followed by a third halving in 2020, followed by Bitcoin's all-time high in 2021 and a bull market that saw the highest ATH.
According to the past, the predictions we have seen now are Bitcoin halving in 2024 and a Bitcoin bull market in 2025. And we are looking forward to that. We believe that the future will happen in the Bitcoin market as it has in the past, so we believe that Bitcoin will be the highest ATH in 2025.

taufik123

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 1888

Rollbit.com | #1 Solana Casino

Quote from: arabspaceship123 on November 11, 2023, 05:46:12 PM

That's the scene ppl don't understand the dangers of. It doesn't take a long time for dreams to slip in to nightmares. There isn't a thing called guaranteed profit because of halving because it's based on how long you're going to hold on to with patience. If halving gave ATH in the past it doesn't mean history's going to repeat.

Only those who do not understand how the crypto market works expect a guarantee that the Halving to happen.
Investors who have been in the crypto market for a long time know how cycles work.
Each cycle will be different but the signs will probably be the same.

Although Halving made new history with ATH in the past, it is not a guarantee that Halving will deliver the same cycle.
It may take longer or faster to reach ATH.

There are all sorts of factors that can affect the upcoming ATH cycle.
Past history may play a role, but it does not necessarily mean that the cycle will be the same.
There will be differences, of course.
Seeing how regulations, economic conditions, market sentiment, and other factors are enough to make the cycle change.

Solokan

sr. member

Activity: 686

Merit: 334

Rollbit.com

The graph you display is very good, and by displaying the graph we can see the history of BTC which is very good, and always creates new ATH but there is always a phase of price decline before creating a new ATH. but of course we won't know what will happen 2025, whether BTC will create a new ath or not, because as we know the world of crypto is always full of drama and in this case of course only time will provide the answer. but technical analysis is of course very good and of course always plays an important role in the world of crypto and always has the potential to create fundamentals.

This 4 year cycle is of course always eagerly awaited and is always a sign for us to know when the price of BTC will be expected to rise.
But I think BTC in 2025 has the potential to rise high because it's time for bull run after the halving in 2024.

arabspaceship123

full member

Activity: 896

Merit: 193

web developer for hire

That's the scene ppl don't understand the dangers of. It doesn't take a long time for dreams to slip in to nightmares. There isn't a thing called guaranteed profit because of halving because it's based on how long you're going to hold on to with patience. If halving gave ATH in the past it doesn't mean history's going to repeat.

Quote from: Iranus on November 10, 2023, 10:47:14 PM

Not only do people seem optimistic, but I also get the feeling people are becoming more subjective than optimistic. Everyone is thinking about a dreamlike scenario where the past will repeat everything exactly and will make us rich easily. Everyone was caught off guard and no one seemed to think about the bad situation that could happen.

For me, when it comes to money and profits, it's a game and the game is never easy. Therefore, it is necessary to have backup plans for bad situations that occur, do not be too subjective because the future is unpredictable.

348Judah

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 521

DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook

Quote from: DapanasFruit on November 08, 2023, 05:45:27 AM

Good to know of this 4-year cycle which can confirm of how history's going to be repeating itself. However, aside from the halving happening in April 2024 we are also expecting of another new thing to come to the market which is the approval of ETF and this factor might slightly alter the cycle maybe that can shorten the new ATH. Anyway, the big lesson here is for anyone interested with Bitcoin to increase what they are holding as avalanche of blessings can be coming to those with diamond hands.

The market circle is one of the reasons why we choose a specific target on when the market pumps or dumps for the investors to know when to enter the market base on its seasonal period otherwise known as circle, this is also part of what constitute the even of Halving after which the market rises base on the release of new coins mined and influx changes in demand and supply causing the market to be highly volatile, i don't think the ETF approval could go to this extent in taking the market on a bullrun as expected with halving event, though it may cause a pump in price but not on a long run or as expected with bullrun.

michellee

hero member

Activity: 2604

Merit: 816

🐺Spinarium.com🐺 - iGaming casino

Quote from: TravelMug on November 11, 2023, 01:19:19 AM

Quote from: thecodebear on November 11, 2023, 12:27:15 AM

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

I think that's the most important thing, if I'm not mistaken, I have spoke to someone way before the pandemic and the halving. I still remember it was 2019, and he was asking me all about Bitcoin. And I say to him that he should just continue to buy and don't sell for small profits. But as things turn out, there is the pandemic, lost touch of him because of the lockdown as he did go back to his province. But the last thing I heard about him is that he is doing good because he just hold on his Bitcoin and wait till the halving in 2020.

And it looks like he benefited from the rise in Bitcoin prices after 2020. We still hope to witness a high rise after this four-year cycle. Moreover, next year, there will be a halving moment and that could be an impetus for prices to increase again.

And if that high increase will occur in 2025, that's okay because we can still buy Bitcoin and store it. And for now, we can accumulate more Bitcoins before the price really increases and reaches its final ATH. That would be a high price to buy Bitcoin. And if there are still people trying to accumulate Bitcoin at that price, that's okay because they definitely have considerations.

This four-year cycle can be a sign for us to know when the Bitcoin price is expected to increase. Although it cannot be a definite sign, at least we can hope to see Bitcoin prices increase again. And at that moment, we can sell the Bitcoin that we have collected at the new ATH.

legendbtc

hero member

Activity: 1302

Merit: 508

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Quote from: TravelMug on November 11, 2023, 01:19:19 AM

Quote from: thecodebear on November 11, 2023, 12:27:15 AM

Quote from: ImThour on November 08, 2023, 02:56:52 AM

BTC and It's Cycles

I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle.

Are there really people who don't believe in the four year cycle?? lol. Cuz like, that's the most obvious thing that everyone knows about.

I understand that people brand new to Bitcoin may not know about it, and there'll always be some people who just like to be contrarian and act like everyone is wrong and the four year cycles are actually part of some longer different cycle but that's silly. I would hope that like 99% of people who actually pay attention to Bitcoin and aren't complete newcomers understand the four year market cycle, otherwise they are gonna be much worse off in getting good deals in this space.

Perhaps there could still be non bitcoiners questioning the 4 year cycle. But for those who have seen it, at least in my case, I have witnessed it already, it's like a clockwork. Block halving -> next couple of months the price goes up -> bull run in the next 2 years - > new ATH.

We won't mention the newbies and we can't blame them as they haven't gone through any bull cycles before. But for the rest of us, I don't think they don't believe in the 4-year cycle but they are presenting a scenario that maybe history will not repeat itself and this is entirely possible. What we can do is hope that history will repeat itself, we have no solid evidence that history will repeat itself.

Quote from: TravelMug on November 11, 2023, 01:19:19 AM

Quote from: thecodebear on November 11, 2023, 12:27:15 AM

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

I think that's the most important thing, if I'm not mistaken, I have spoke to someone way before the pandemic and the halving. I still remember it was 2019, and he was asking me all about Bitcoin. And I say to him that he should just continue to buy and don't sell for small profits. But as things turn out, there is the pandemic, lost touch of him because of the lockdown as he did go back to his province. But the last thing I heard about him is that he is doing good because he just hold on his Bitcoin and wait till the halving in 2020.

The 4-year cycle is something we need to mention when giving bitcoin investment advice to someone, but let's not focus too much on that because what if there is no bull season after the halving?

TravelMug

hero member

Activity: 2632

Merit: 833

Quote from: thecodebear on November 11, 2023, 12:27:15 AM

Quote from: ImThour on November 08, 2023, 02:56:52 AM

BTC and It's Cycles

I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle.

Are there really people who don't believe in the four year cycle?? lol. Cuz like, that's the most obvious thing that everyone knows about.

I understand that people brand new to Bitcoin may not know about it, and there'll always be some people who just like to be contrarian and act like everyone is wrong and the four year cycles are actually part of some longer different cycle but that's silly. I would hope that like 99% of people who actually pay attention to Bitcoin and aren't complete newcomers understand the four year market cycle, otherwise they are gonna be much worse off in getting good deals in this space.

Perhaps there could still be non bitcoiners questioning the 4 year cycle. But for those who have seen it, at least in my case, I have witnessed it already, it's like a clockwork. Block halving -> next couple of months the price goes up -> bull run in the next 2 years - > new ATH.

Quote from: thecodebear on November 11, 2023, 12:27:15 AM

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

I think that's the most important thing, if I'm not mistaken, I have spoke to someone way before the pandemic and the halving. I still remember it was 2019, and he was asking me all about Bitcoin. And I say to him that he should just continue to buy and don't sell for small profits. But as things turn out, there is the pandemic, lost touch of him because of the lockdown as he did go back to his province. But the last thing I heard about him is that he is doing good because he just hold on his Bitcoin and wait till the halving in 2020.

thecodebear

hero member

Activity: 2240

Merit: 853

Quote from: ImThour on November 08, 2023, 02:56:52 AM

BTC and It's Cycles

I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle.

Are there really people who don't believe in the four year cycle?? lol. Cuz like, that's the most obvious thing that everyone knows about.

I understand that people brand new to Bitcoin may not know about it, and there'll always be some people who just like to be contrarian and act like everyone is wrong and the four year cycles are actually part of some longer different cycle but that's silly. I would hope that like 99% of people who actually pay attention to Bitcoin and aren't complete newcomers understand the four year market cycle, otherwise they are gonna be much worse off in getting good deals in this space.

Anytime someone asks me about buying Bitcoin the very first thing I tell them is about the four year cycle, cuz if you don't even know about that you don't have a clue what you're doing. That's THE single most important thing to know about the bitcoin market.

AprilioMP

sr. member

Activity: 616

Merit: 442

Forum Only For Fun

In terms of experience, I am not an expert in viewing and analyzing charts to create speculation on Bitcoin. Circumstances that make changes due to the desire to try to learn something from not knowing to knowing.

This graph is good which makes it easier for me to get the meaning of what happened during a certain period each year. There was a tremendous spike during the year after being in a very difficult situation.
Over the past year, when the Bitcoin price level reached $37k from $15k, it surged by around 120+%.

Quote from: ImThour on November 08, 2023, 02:56:52 AM

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.

Maybe the next cycle High is close to that year based on this chart.

Yaunfitda

hero member

Activity: 2870

Merit: 594

Quote from: bluebit25 on November 10, 2023, 10:34:05 PM

In the immediate future, we can completely trust the speculation about this cycle until it breaks. Although I also agree with this speculation, I do not believe that this can remain like this forever because it will become easy to predict and those who know about it will take full advantage of this opportunity.
Because I'm becoming more and more friendly with bitcoin, I think I will always accumulate more bitcoin because after the next 10 years, or even the next 20 years, what I have will simply be bitcoin with no tie to fiat.

And that's what make this market very attractive to speculators, and so far the 4 year cycle hasn't been broken yet. After the block halving, give it a year or two we will see that it will have a big growth, which we call bull run and then we will reach ATH.

So yeah, those smart investors are taking full advantage of that cycle and I haven't heard investors questioning the 4 year cycle as well.

I guess it will have to continue, or it will continue unless the cycle broken. And I doubt that it will be broken though as the halving is scheduled every 4 years and making the supply more scarce and this where the brilliance of the design of Satoshi is revealed and that's why many investors are into bitcoin ecosystem.

Iranus

hero member

Activity: 1792

Merit: 534

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Quote from: arabspaceship123 on November 10, 2023, 07:41:14 PM

It's going to vary how much halving's going to affect the price of Bitcoin because there isn't a reason to rely on past trending so we don't know. If we know what's going to happen to the price we'd already have made investment plans in prep for the profits.

What's going to happen if the halving this time makes the market turn bad. Miners with equipment lose out so will ppl who've jumped in because of FOMO.

Quote from: Smartprofit on November 08, 2023, 04:30:28 PM

Halving reduces the supply of coins from miners. However, how much could this affect the price of Bitcoin?

Not only do people seem optimistic, but I also get the feeling people are becoming more subjective than optimistic. Everyone is thinking about a dreamlike scenario where the past will repeat everything exactly and will make us rich easily. Everyone was caught off guard and no one seemed to think about the bad situation that could happen.

For me, when it comes to money and profits, it's a game and the game is never easy. Therefore, it is necessary to have backup plans for bad situations that occur, do not be too subjective because the future is unpredictable.

famososMuertos

legendary

Activity: 1974

Merit: 3152

LE ☮︎ Halving es la purga

First of all, you don't have to buy ideas, you have to see projections, and for that, any graph works, the data is the same and the point here is that some colors make you see emotions and not TA, that's what you have to do and then proceed in the purchase and sale action, as appropriate.

Currently we have a cycle of more than a year for the value of $37k, we are just in recovery for many and profits at the lowest price in that period.

With the above, the point is that the reference works in the interest of each person, but you cannot sell a graph with colors with the certainty that it will happen again.

bluebit25

sr. member

Activity: 1708

Merit: 295

https://bitlist.co

In the immediate future, we can completely trust the speculation about this cycle until it breaks. Although I also agree with this speculation, I do not believe that this can remain like this forever because it will become easy to predict and those who know about it will take full advantage of this opportunity.
Because I'm becoming more and more friendly with bitcoin, I think I will always accumulate more bitcoin because after the next 10 years, or even the next 20 years, what I have will simply be bitcoin with no tie to fiat.

Topic: Bitcoin and it's 4 Year-Cycle - page 3. (Read 1106 times)