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Topic: Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000 - page 5. (Read 1583 times)

sr. member
Activity: 1554
Merit: 334
That price is quite feasible to believe than other predictions, although we're still not sure. Another thing to note is that the bubble won't happen immediately after the halving, but rather several months after it happened. As of now, the price steadily hovers around 8k$ and even though it might experience dumps, I'm not that worried and still anticipate for the guaranteed price uptrend.
legendary
Activity: 1473
Merit: 1086
But the $20000 Bitcoins happened 1.5 years after halving. One and half year is a lot of time.If price changed a bit a week latter it was far from $20000.  Problem I see people are making FOMO about halving and dont even mention this fact. Noobs then believe 2019 will be new 2017. I hope there are not that many that believe this will happen in short 6 weeks.
Everyone is looking for a pump and so is the reason everyone is having their charts and prediction but none of these will be far from the truth, every market will rise eventually but you cannot expect that to happen every couple of years, many countries are planning to regulate the market and who know what all restrictions we will be facing in the future, i hope the market will rally once again but i am not expecting the steep rise we had in 2017.

Oh come on, are you basically saying China will ban Bitcoin again ?  Cheesy I'm way more curious how the internet shutdown of Iran might affect all Bitcoin enthusiasts in that country.
full member
Activity: 208
Merit: 103
Relaying a message:

It's just too exaggerated to give a random numbers while the market price today is under $9,000.

McAfee’s Dick Math may be based on point-set topology. Also re-read the lengthy post I made in this thread.

The legacy BTC price is likely going to $1 million in 2020, but I posit the official Bitcoin Core (which is actually an impostor) is going towards ~$0 after the SegWit “anyone can spend” donations to the miners attack at the May 2020 halving event if Craig Wright fulfills his Long-term advance notice. Craig is indeed a fake Satoshi and his BSV is probably a red-herring, but his warning is probably reality. Read the linked threads entirely to learn why.


55k is definitely not too high if you look at the history of Bitcoin. Even 100k is not too high.
In 2017 we went from 900 to 20k in a year. When we broke previous ATH we went times 20! Breaking 20k would take us to 200k if it happens again. I know we can't compare because it takes a lot more money to reach those levels but when we were below 1 k people were talking about the 2013 bull market and saying the same thing that we went from 300 to 1000 in a month but a 3x rise from ATH won't happen because it's a lot of money. Do you even remember today what people were saying when we were going through 3k? No? I don't remember it too because it was so fast.

Everyone forgets, incorrectly thinks Bitcoin’s price is decelerating, and gets lulled to sleep. Here is a mathematical model of what you are referring to:

McAfee’s Dick Math: illuminating Bitcoin’s ACCELERATING price


i believe that the more we move forward as the market size grows, the less drastic the big swings are going to be. meaning both rises and falls are going to happen in a more reasonable percentages. it is about more adoption and more packed order books that makes it so that when a big buy or a sell take place the price wouldn't jump up or down 30%!
so with that logic this upcoming rally price should go up to about $300k since last time price went up from $150 (the bottom) to $19900 which is 13166%. with the current bottom being $3200 that means reaching $424,512 which if it becomes smaller we should reach $300k instead

Everyone seems to think Bitcoin is decelerating, but it’s actually accelerating. My theory as to why is because of the upcoming readoption of legacy Bitcoin and the destruction of the Bitcoin Core imposter soft-fork, thus focusing wealth as most people are kicked off of Bitcoin and their BTC is donated to the miners. Whales never sell, thus the liquid float will decrease. Everyone seems to think Bitcoin needs to scale transaction volume, but I posit that was never the intended purpose of Bitcoin when the global elite created it.

My (and apparently McAfee’s) theory is you are being deceived by mismatching your comparisons of peaks from different topological sets. See the above link to McAfee’s Dick Math.

Your $300k is also my lowest level target for 2020. But $1+ million may be more likely if you believe the (unpublished) math McAfee claims.


in 2012 and 2016 halving, people still put a lot of doubts in bitcoin saying bitcoin will have zero value, majority did not believe that bitcoin will be worthy in the future and then the price skyrocketed, proven they all wrong.
nowadays majority so over confident about the upcoming bitcoin halving making speculation it will worth 5 to 20times from the current price , guess what should happen? the price fall down , prove the majority wrong?

Instead I posit that everyone will be destroyed by the SegWit attack at the halving and then the price will go much, much higher than anyone expects. But this attack is going to hoist huge income taxes on everyone due to the free airdrop of the Core tokens when it is forced to hard fork-off.

The majority is always wrong, but never in exactly the same way. New tricks are the up the sleeves of our slave masters who created the 666 Bitcoin.

hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 532
But the $20000 Bitcoins happened 1.5 years after halving. One and half year is a lot of time.If price changed a bit a week latter it was far from $20000.  Problem I see people are making FOMO about halving and dont even mention this fact. Noobs then believe 2019 will be new 2017. I hope there are not that many that believe this will happen in short 6 weeks.
Everyone is looking for a pump and so is the reason everyone is having their charts and prediction but none of these will be far from the truth, every market will rise eventually but you cannot expect that to happen every couple of years, many countries are planning to regulate the market and who know what all restrictions we will be facing in the future, i hope the market will rally once again but i am not expecting the steep rise we had in 2017.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1107
I wonder if the price increase will occur after halving or before? So far, the price increase has always after, but it would not be a surprise to me if this time whales did something different and pump the price before and later dropped it. What do you think guys?
About the level that can rise, for sure between $50k - $100k

the increase everybody is lookinb for , the one with hundreds percents in it usually happens after the halving
but it could as well start rising before the halving too , just not as much
there is no guarantee , historical data is a good source of information , but things could go very differently
any scenario could happen , for example big news before the halvening and the price goes through the roof and then corrected and goes down and so on
sr. member
Activity: 1112
Merit: 256
I wonder if the price increase will occur after halving or before? So far, the price increase has always after, but it would not be a surprise to me if this time whales did something different and pump the price before and later dropped it. What do you think guys?
About the level that can rise, for sure between $50k - $100k
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1408
You guys make some count looking the past and you think 1 to 10 is equal to 10 to 100, but it's not

After halvings, BTC done a good job and got pumped, but in the past, this is not a guaratee of future
And it's not that easy to jump to this price you're saying, 55k or 130k looks impossible in a near future, it needs a lot of money, not only charts from the past
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
Right after the first halving in 2012, the Bitcoin price rose from $12 to $140. Weeks after the second halving in 2016, Bitcoin started a rally that propelled its price from $582 to $20,000.

But the $20000 Bitcoins happened 1.5 years after halving. One and half year is a lot of time.If price changed a bit a week latter it was far from $20000.  Problem I see people are making FOMO about halving and dont even mention this fact. Noobs then believe 2019 will be new 2017. I hope there are not that many that believe this will happen in short 6 weeks.
legendary
Activity: 3528
Merit: 7005
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The count down of the next halving scalability was almost there, https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/ link shows, 182 days more to go.
I happened to look up when exactly the next halving is taking place before seeing your post, but thanks for posting the info.  People are talking about it a lot here, but they usually don't mention the exact date.

Can't argue that price increases have happened after the last two halvenings, but I'm skeptical as to whether we're going to see another huge bull run come next May.  I've always thought that these should be priced in well beforehand, and I'm not sure that they aren't.  I remember writing that in quite a few threads back in 2016, and noticing that nothing really extraordinary happened immediately after the halving.  The huge run-up in price only started to happen at the start of 2017, and in my mind it's questionable as to whether this was due to the halving, which was in July 2016.

I'm not trying to downplay the importance of this, and I do hope bitcoin sees some upward momentum next year--but I'm not hoping for a repeat of 2017 which saw bitcoin get to levels that weren't sustainable.  If the halving produces that kind of bubble, I could do without it.  Slow and steady gains are much, much better.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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I got a bit lost to be honest after readoption and reacceleration. Probably true to some extent in past halvings but surely by now, anyone remotely interested in investment, money, bitcoin or gold, would already have known about May 2020 a long time ago. Unlike past halvings, this one is probably the most talked about, most anticipated, and most hyped.

It seems to be expectations will fail to deliver when it comes to Bitcoin price! Not to say there won't be an effect, but to me, that's come into play already.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1107
halving does impact the price growth , but it is not a switch-like increase
i.e. the price growth is usually delayed and you can't really say that 500 to 20.000$ growth was due to halving since the events were very far away on the time scale , over 7 months in total
I think that 10-20x increase potential is very real , although the figures could be way less due to the high base value this time
if we start from 7-8.000$ price , we could get to 25-30.000$ after the halving, but the figures like 55-130.000$ while possible
are not too realistic at the moment , but if BAKKT increases volumes and there are more positive contributing factors and faster adoption ,  we could see 100.000$ easily
the problem how sustainable that  level would be and I don't want to see the 10-20k dollars daily price swings if it happens

legendary
Activity: 1473
Merit: 1086
It's hard to predict numbers, which is clear there will always be interesting surprises after halving occurs.
It takes 4-8 months after halving the surprise will be seen. The current price I think is still very reasonable to buy.
The predicted price above is really high, and indeed we cannot foretell and difficult to judge this early if what price could reach when there is halving to happen. The good thing to do for some is to accumulate btc who knows price possibly could pump again. It is good for us who truly waits for bitcoin predicted price above to reach of course many users could benefit this skyrocket in the market.
I'm not do sure if after the halving there would be a price hike after that because if you look at the previous halving it takes more than a month or a year before the bitcoin skyrocketed. So that being said, the price that OP predicted was way too much if he only think it would happen in just a single day. The price of bitcoin need to walk a thousand miles first before it could actually grow to what others have expected.

Is anyone still doubting that the 7.5 to 10k spike was a wrong direction squeeze?

Short and long squeezes happen simply as a result of an over-leveraged market. Both right-direction (short squeeze in bull market / long squeeze in bear market) and wrong-direction (short squeeze in bear marke / long squeeze in bull market) are probably about equally likely to occur.

Most people get caught up in the direction of the squeeze as an indicator: "It's going up because the shorts are being punished for being wrong". This leads them to believe the correct direction going forward must be whatever direction the squeeze was in, as if the truth finally came out. But the squeeze itself holds little truth to it.
sr. member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 338
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It's hard to predict numbers, which is clear there will always be interesting surprises after halving occurs.
It takes 4-8 months after halving the surprise will be seen. The current price I think is still very reasonable to buy.
The predicted price above is really high, and indeed we cannot foretell and difficult to judge this early if what price could reach when there is halving to happen. The good thing to do for some is to accumulate btc who knows price possibly could pump again. It is good for us who truly waits for bitcoin predicted price above to reach of course many users could benefit this skyrocket in the market.
I'm not do sure if after the halving there would be a price hike after that because if you look at the previous halving it takes more than a month or a year before the bitcoin skyrocketed. So that being said, the price that OP predicted was way too much if he only think it would happen in just a single day. The price of bitcoin need to walk a thousand miles first before it could actually grow to what others have expected.
hero member
Activity: 2184
Merit: 531

Right after the first halving in 2012, the Bitcoin price rose from $12 to $140. Weeks after the second halving in 2016, Bitcoin started a rally that propelled its price from $582 to $20,000.
the problem is :

in 2012 and 2016 halving, people still put a lot of doubts in bitcoin saying bitcoin will have zero value, majority did not believe that bitcoin will be worthy in the future and then the price skyrocketed, proven they all wrong.
nowadays majority so over confident about the upcoming bitcoin halving making speculation it will worth 5 to 20times from the current price , guess what should happen? the price fall down , prove the majority wrong?

a little bit confusing , i just don't want to act over confidently , it was never safe for your health  Wink

The price has no mind of its own and it doesn't want to do anything or prove anyone wrong. People see the halving as a catalyst for growth because of math.
If the reward gets halved the value of new coins will have to double.

Even if the price of the existing coins will not miners won't sell new coins for 8k USD but will want to make some money mining them and wait until the price is at least 16k. This will create a shortage of supply and those who decide to buy will have to buy from holders not from miners.
hero member
Activity: 1582
Merit: 523
It's hard to predict numbers, which is clear there will always be interesting surprises after halving occurs.
It takes 4-8 months after halving the surprise will be seen. The current price I think is still very reasonable to buy.
The predicted price above is really high, and indeed we cannot foretell and difficult to judge this early if what price could reach when there is halving to happen. The good thing to do for some is to accumulate btc who knows price possibly could pump again. It is good for us who truly waits for bitcoin predicted price above to reach of course many users could benefit this skyrocket in the market.
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 5637
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so with that logic this upcoming rally price should go up to about $300k since last time price went up from $150 (the bottom) to $19900 which is 13166%. with the current bottom being $3200 that means reaching $424,512 which if it becomes smaller we should reach $300k instead

Personally, I'm also thinking in that direction, some things have to change, but it will take time to reach price stability. We can see how easy it is to pump or bring down the price, the market is still very small, and the total MC is just some $150 billion, which is a very insignificant figure compared to the gold or the stock market.

I have nothing against your logic, $300k would be impressive, and even half of it would be an incredible amount. But I always ask myself who or what will drive the next big pump, where the money will come from, will ordinary small investors get caught up in the FOMO trap again?
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1034

Right after the first halving in 2012, the Bitcoin price rose from $12 to $140. Weeks after the second halving in 2016, Bitcoin started a rally that propelled its price from $582 to $20,000.
the problem is :

in 2012 and 2016 halving, people still put a lot of doubts in bitcoin saying bitcoin will have zero value, majority did not believe that bitcoin will be worthy in the future and then the price skyrocketed, proven they all wrong.
nowadays majority so over confident about the upcoming bitcoin halving making speculation it will worth 5 to 20times from the current price , guess what should happen? the price fall down , prove the majority wrong?

a little bit confusing , i just don't want to act over confidently , it was never safe for your health  Wink
hero member
Activity: 1036
Merit: 514
There is no doubt about bitcoin price will be skyrocket once again after the halving, and seeing some prediction where the price might be headed makes people excited about it.
Even the last ATH is a big number for a digital currency, we have witnessed a miracle but it will be repeated again in 2020.
There is nothing rational to do except stockpiling more bitcoin into your wallet before it gets too expensive for us and people will complain and regret didn't buy it when it below $10K.
sr. member
Activity: 1834
Merit: 261
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The count down of the next halving scalability was almost there, https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/ link shows, 182 days more to go.

Everyone waiting for the best result on this becoming promising event in bitcoin price, the next halving. But the real fact is no one knows the market situation is and it is an unpredictable price movement. Let's time can tell and will reveal the truth.

Thank you for sharing.

180 days from now let big investors catch a lot of small traders who sell cheap bitcoin at this time, I think they are still playing until now to catch cheap bitcoin before halving happens, so I just sit smoking cigarettes to see price movements at the end of this year too , will they continue to play with current prices pushing lower or vice versa? all waiting for that
sr. member
Activity: 868
Merit: 267
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It's hard to predict numbers, which is clear there will always be interesting surprises after halving occurs.
It takes 4-8 months after halving the surprise will be seen. The current price I think is still very reasonable to buy.
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