The funny thing about a lot of people is they usually think that 'this time it's different.'. It's never different because BTC's 4 year halving cycle is always being anticipated and always being played accordingly. And here's the thing, as long as the whole crypto market revolves around BTC then it's also trapped together with BTC's 4 year cycle.
I think in order for the market to break away from said cycle, BTC would have to lose dominance over the rest of the crypto market and have another coin lead the market. Say ETH flippens BTC... Yeah yeah I know but what if. Then I think it would be the only time we could say 'this time it's different.'.
*Mutes thread*
Topic: Bitcoin price with a 4 year cycle? - page 14. (Read 3524 times)
It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
Again, ATH can be reached after the process of block halving, and if I'm not mistaken, it will be in 2024.so it's going to be more than 2 years before we can see that supposedly 6 digit price prediction.I'm not really sold to this 4-year cycle but since I don't really have a detailed technical analysis to somehow counter or argue against it, then we will just wait and see if this pattern will continue the fourth time around.
But if history will indeed happen once more, then it would not only be more than 2 years before a new ATH will be recorded. It will be more than 3 years. The next halving will happen 2 years from now. And since the ATH usually takes place more than a year after the halving, then the ATH will probably come not in 2024 but in 2025. That's a very long time.
Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.
I don't think that we have seen the worst of the bear market yet, if we follow this 4 year cycle, then we still have 2 years (2022-2024) of downturn.It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
Again, ATH can be reached after the process of block halving, and if I'm not mistaken, it will be in 2024.so it's going to be more than 2 years before we can see that supposedly 6 digit price prediction.The truth is, we can't really exactly predict the bitcoin price but sure, we can speculate what may possibly happen based from the previous history, like after halving. But with all the other factors in play today, the trend may change or may not. We can just observe and watch what will happen when this scenario comes up. But before this event happens, you should have your own contingencies to take whatever the opportunity is presented to you.
Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.
I don't think that we have seen the worst of the bear market yet, if we follow this 4 year cycle, then we still have 2 years (2022-2024) of downturn.It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
Again, ATH can be reached after the process of block halving, and if I'm not mistaken, it will be in 2024.so it's going to be more than 2 years before we can see that supposedly 6 digit price prediction. 
I think the 4-year cycle could be broken now. Bitcoin has only gone up throughout history, we all know that very well and you can see it in the annual price chart. But in the history of bitcoin, it has never experienced a global world crisis, which is where we are now. No one knows what will happen to the price when the crisis really happens. But even at $1k, the blockchain will work just as well as at $30k.
I don’t know if I’d say the 4-year cycle is broken, but with the introduction of options and derivatives it has definitely been muted. I still expect we’ll see upward pressure after halvings as a result of the four year cycle, just no massive bubbles (only regular bubbles). I think a $120K price target in 2025 is a reasonable one given the recent market behavior. Might seem underwhelming, but it’s still a x4 from here in 3 years.
I think the 4-year cycle could be broken now. Bitcoin has only gone up throughout history, we all know that very well and you can see it in the annual price chart. But in the history of bitcoin, it has never experienced a global world crisis, which is where we are now. No one knows what will happen to the price when the crisis really happens. But even at $1k, the blockchain will work just as well as at $30k.
Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.
It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
I always think positively about that where now many people have put money in bitcoin and other crypto, I also feel a very different atmosphere from before, bitcoin always has surprisesIt was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Some new form of a cycle will emerge because I don't think bitcoin is done having cycles but it will not be like the previous ones simply because the past 5+ months proved that the previous cycle where price goes up tens of thousands of percentage and dumps 80% are done. We may start seeing smaller rises followed by smaller corrections instead of the 4-year bubble bust duo.Quote
Why do you say you don't have to wait four years do you know one thing about the bitcoin market?
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Some new form of a cycle will emerge because I don't think bitcoin is done having cycles but it will not be like the previous ones simply because the past 5+ months proved that the previous cycle where price goes up tens of thousands of percentage and dumps 80% are done. We may start seeing smaller rises followed by smaller corrections instead of the 4-year bubble bust duo.
Despite the worse bear market that we are in right now, I'm still confident that we won't have to wait for up to four years to reach a new ATH. Bitcoin has proven a number of times that it can surprise everybody and that it can deliver what others may think is impossible.
It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
It was around this current price that Bitcoin had in January of last year. In November of the same year, the $69,000 ATH was reached. So it is very possible also that from this day, it would take less than a year before another ATH will be reached.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Breaking the 4 year cycle doesn't necessarily mean that we'll reach ATHs faster though, it could also mean that it'll take longer for us to reach a new ATH.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Though it's unpredictable as what I've seen in my crystal ball, it says negative though I'm still hoping there will be a next ATH soon. But who knows, every 4 years there's no miss about the All-time high in Bitcoin price, it will usually happen after a year when the next halving will come and the most anticipated moment is that ATH will come.
Just think positive and look around, the awareness of Bitcoin has been kept spreading and the adoption has been still kicking in each country, we saw a lot of news of Bitcoin making legal tender in their country. Possible that makes Bitcoin will go to the next ATH prior than following the every 4 years cycle.
But with the state of the bitcoin market like this, there is nothing wrong with denying that in the next 4 years, they hope that ATH will happen again because even if they expect it now, it is very unlikely to happen.
Why do you say you don't have to wait four years do you know one thing about the bitcoin market?
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
https://coinmarketcap.com/halving/bitcoin/
Can't wait to see it. I fill my bag already ready for the next halving, it can such another opportunity and another market experience. And I guess, everyone is also taking their time to accumulate this time looking forward to getting rewards 3-4 years from now.
Halving is something that we keep on hoping all the time but to be fair I do not think that we need to wait for the halving for the next ATH. I think the next one is 2024 right? Maybe before that happens we are going to reach 68k+ price and break the ATH price. That would be something we need to work for though, it is not going to be something easy and we are not going to be making a ton of money easily by just waiting.
We need to get in, we need to buy more, if not you then the person next to you, without the market buying more bitcoin then how could it go up? So, in the end, someone needs to buy and we need to convince those people to do it now and not a few months later.
We need to get in, we need to buy more, if not you then the person next to you, without the market buying more bitcoin then how could it go up? So, in the end, someone needs to buy and we need to convince those people to do it now and not a few months later.
Keeping in mind and resuming for my thread here , I feel that we no longer need to wait up to 4 years to get ATH on bitcoin price as well as next crypto price
Or we may possibly wait longer. In crypto anything is possible.
this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin
Look at bitcoin today, you know that at this time there are quite a lot of big companies and investors even rich people have invested putting their money into bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies, several heads of state and even famous artists in my country also invest a lot maybe in your country too , so maybe we don't have to worry about the recent bearish news
But we can see that every after Bitcoin halving, Bitcoin never fails to reach its new ATH months after the event. So I think, regardless of the number of people or company adopting Bitcoin, the catalyst for another Bull Trend and triggering a series of ATH is the Bitcoin-halving that happens every 4 years.Look at bitcoin today, you know that at this time there are quite a lot of big companies and investors even rich people have invested putting their money into bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies, several heads of state and even famous artists in my country also invest a lot maybe in your country too , so maybe we don't have to worry about the recent bearish news
I'm happy to open this thread to be able to share my thoughts as well as speculation and analysis from the forum community on the price of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
I think that we will still follow the 4-year cycle.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Breaking the 4 year cycle doesn't necessarily mean that we'll reach ATHs faster though, it could also mean that it'll take longer for us to reach a new ATH.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Though it's unpredictable as what I've seen in my crystal ball, it says negative though I'm still hoping there will be a next ATH soon. But who knows, every 4 years there's no miss about the All-time high in Bitcoin price, it will usually happen after a year when the next halving will come and the most anticipated moment is that ATH will come.
Just think positive and look around, the awareness of Bitcoin has been kept spreading and the adoption has been still kicking in each country, we saw a lot of news of Bitcoin making legal tender in their country. Possible that makes Bitcoin will go to the next ATH prior than following the every 4 years cycle.
as someone who has been here for so long we know the 4 year cycle is the most awaited as the highest profit earning option but this is an option for me personally when buying at high prices while others when the market is greener I will sell it and take profit from the next decrease even though it's only a few percent because until now I prefer to buy in installments up to the lowest price of 70%, only 30% of the funds are devoted to waiting for the next ath
Well we've heard about super cycles, or a new trend that it's going to emerge and not follow the 4 year cycle as bitcoin's narrative has change.
However, I will say that this is not the case, we will just as least for me, will still follow the 4 year cycle. We all know that there is halving, the most important event in our history and the future price movement still is based n this process. Of course, we can argue that bitcoin's historical data is fairly young as compare to traditional financial markets so it's hard to identify cycles. But for now, I will have to agree that there is a 4 year cycle.
However, I will say that this is not the case, we will just as least for me, will still follow the 4 year cycle. We all know that there is halving, the most important event in our history and the future price movement still is based n this process. Of course, we can argue that bitcoin's historical data is fairly young as compare to traditional financial markets so it's hard to identify cycles. But for now, I will have to agree that there is a 4 year cycle.
Keeping in mind and resuming for my thread here , I feel that we no longer need to wait up to 4 years to get ATH on bitcoin price as well as next crypto price
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Bitcoin price is like repeating what happened in 2016 to 2020 again. Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin
Because of this, I was confused and thinking it could be different this times too, but it is like what happened in the past want to happen again. Do not be surprised if you see a massive bull market in 2024/2025. With the look of things, it is becoming what would likely happen again.Look at bitcoin today, you know that at this time there are quite a lot of big companies and investors even rich people have invested putting their money into bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies, several heads of state and even famous artists in my country also invest a lot maybe in your country too , so maybe we don't have to worry about the recent bearish news
Bitcoin all-time-high in 2017 was $19700 or around that price, it decreased to $9000 just like if compared to what happens in the last bull market, bitcoin all-time-high is $69000 and now bitcoin has reduced in price to $30000, while $30000 resistance is very strong. Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Yes.This can change over time, but not this time.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
Though it's unpredictable as what I've seen in my crystal ball, it says negative though I'm still hoping there will be a next ATH soon. But who knows, every 4 years there's no miss about the All-time high in Bitcoin price, it will usually happen after a year when the next halving will come and the most anticipated moment is that ATH will come.
Just think positive and look around, the awareness of Bitcoin has been kept spreading and the adoption has been still kicking in each country, we saw a lot of news of Bitcoin making legal tender in their country. Possible that makes Bitcoin will go to the next ATH prior than following the every 4 years cycle.
Do you think we will follow the 4 year cycle again or we will go to the next ATH?
I wouldn't bet on it, but I think there's a decent chance that we're not.
1. We didn't have a huge blow-off top
2. We already had a big and fast market cleanse (the stock market crash helped significantly imo)
3. The S2F model broke
4. We have far more institutional adoption
5. Fears of a bigger recession/inflation/stagflation
tl;dr we're in an uncharted market situation with all the unconventional things going in, and there's A LOT of market uncertainty.
Breaking the 4 year cycle doesn't necessarily mean that we'll reach ATHs faster though, it could also mean that it'll take longer for us to reach a new ATH.
this is just my speculation as we saw a few years earlier where bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies didn't have many investors, rich people or big companies put their money into bitcoin.
From year to year I have noticed a 4 year cycle keeps happening, but my speculation is only on Bitcoin, that doesn't mean other coins don't have an impact, but that only happened 2 or 5 types that had an impact, a big difference compared to the cycle that occurred in 2009 to 2017, then the situation changed completely. I think waiting for Bitcoin price changes in 4 years is necessary, the problem I see in the analysis that is happening now is the opposite, in the past almost all types of crypto flew, now they don't, My thinking is that investors will only target 1-5 types of Altcoins in a phenomenon that occurs every 4 years, except Bitcoin, the reason is simple: Altcoins are currently listed in the crypto market thousands, compared to 2009 or 2017, most likely investors don't want to take risks, they only focus on certain altcoins plus investors are busy creating their own coins, in the end investors break up, each defending their own home, with events like this that make some Altcoins die, without any other investors coming in, investors who have big vaults, that's the kind of coins that fly.
Bottom line: investors are many, but they are broke and busy defending their own home due to so many reborn cryptos.
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