14Th/s sounds like a nice big number. I threw it into a mining calculator and even with free electricity and the halving reward put in it would take 200+ days. But that is with a fixed a difficulty.
I feel sorry for the folks that will end up buying one of these at the price they're currently at.
I'm hoping, either, higher hashing power machines come out, or they are made and sold cheaper.
14TH at 1375 watts? At fixed difficulty that will take 110 days... By the way all the s9's are already sold LOL. The miner is 2.5 times more efficient in terms of power to GH as the s7
You are aware that the BTC mining reward is cut in half starting July 10 right? After July 10 the S9 will perform like a 7TH/s machine does today.
If you can't math you should at least work on identifying quality calculators. And folks, never trust someone who 'LOLs' on the forums.
is it happening on july 10? not a little bit later?
this clock is july 11
http://bitcoinblockhalf.com/So if bitmaintech ships on time and you get the s-9 on the 14th of june you get 27 days before the 1/2ing
So you can earn about 500 usd in those 27days if price and diff stays stable.
But 1 good price spike and it goes up a lot. so earning back 700 usd before the ½ ing is possible.
after the ½ ing who knows.
A few points.
1. A single day is not going to make or break profit. Why quibble over July 10th vs. July 11th?
a. When S9s come online it will move up the halving date as the network will grow. Maybe the 7th, 8th, or 9th. Who cares, it's happening.
b. If we really thought a day was important I'd point out that Bitmain ships on the 12th. They START shipping on the 12th. I don't know how many people will be mining on the 14th...
2. The insistence on evaluating ROI in fiat currency is deeply flawed. This thing costs 3.67 BTC + shipping + customs/VAT. It will take ~200 days to earn that same BTC back with 0% network growth and free electricity. In the real world where we pay for electricity and the network grows that means you're looking at approximately 1 year. Who cares what the exchange rate is? You are giving 3.67 BTC (plus more for shipping, etc.) and receiving less than that back from your miner. You are losing BTC.
a. If you rely on exchange rate to ROI, you would have done better to simply hold the 3.67 BTC and sell it back when rates are favorable.
b. An example: I made 15% ROI on my fiat currency with S7. BTC increase by 50% in that same period. Had I held the coin, I would have ROI'd 50% instead of 15%. I could have made triple what I made by not mining. Always evaluate ROI in BTC.
Never evaluate roi in btc if you live in the usa as to do so is exactly the opposite of what usa tax laws say to do.
Never compare roi on gear to roi on buy and hold. if you live in the usa as they are completely different under usa tax laws.
It is difficult to have clear cut discussion on the net for a long list of reasons. Plus we are an international multi language forum.
Please Ignore all of the above if you are not USA based. Since it does not apply to your country laws. Just as VAT has zero meaning to me as I am USA based.
As for when the ½ ing comes you are correct in that July 7 to July 14 won't make roi much of a difference.
Buying s-9s' work for me not buying 20 buying 6 or less makes good money sense for me.
I have enough power for six units. I can run them with zero power
Risk for years.
My risk is diff and coin price. I have no cost for psu's and I have older gear to sell off. If I sell all the s-7's the s-5 the sp20's and the avalon6's
My cost for the s-9 drops.
But if you are GB based with no gear you have VAT to add in and the gear is no longer 2100 it is more like 2600 or more. Plus you will need psus'.
Right now I have the two on order. And I am mining with the older gear.