Topic: Boxing Speculation, Odds and Predictions - page 46. (Read 31627 times)

It's a good attitude on Inoue's part to show this humble side, but the numbers are showing great favoritism, with odds of 1.05 in his favor, and with odds of 8.60 if Tapales wins, I highly doubt that Tapales will look at these words from Inoue with some optimism, on the contrary, I could even think that Inoue would be feeling sorry for him and would increase his anger, I also highly doubt that the Tapales team does not follow the difference in skills between their fighter and Inoue, unfortunately in boxing in fights where there is a very large difference in odds between the favorite and the unlucky one, it is difficult to see any comeback with an unexpected result in which the unlucky player manages to win the fight

I believe that if there was a way to see in casinos how many people bet on Inoue to win this fight and how many people bet on Tapales to win this fight, we would see that most people must have bet on Inoue even with the very low odds, I'm wondering how many people must have taken the risk of betting on Tapales' victory, with this odds of 8.60 for him to win, it must be becoming a temptation for those people who are dedicated to only placing bets on the unlucky ones. Whatever the case, in my opinion he will come out victorious in this fight, I see the difference between these two fights being huge.

Bivol is one of the top fighters in the world. The one thing he lacks is a killer instinct. He should not be going the distance with somebody like Lyndon Arthur. 

I would rather see him fight Beterbiev instead of Canelo. Beterbiev might not have much time left in the sport. It is best to make that fight now before Beterbiev gets even older or has another setback due to injury or health issues.

^^ Whoever organizes that "Day of Reckoning" event must be so rich, i mean that is like an All-Star event in basketball.

Yeah, Joshua's confidence is back with that TKO win, there are rumors that he will be fighting Filip Hrgovic next, must be a good one also and he is successful on that hurdle, "The Battle of Britain" should be next. I'm confident that Fury will be successful in unifying the belts against a smaller Usyk.

Bivol also have a fantastic performance, looking sharp as ever. Hope he will meet Canelo at 168 without that rehydration clause.

Did you enjoy the stacked event today? Here are the results of The Day of Reckoning from the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

In the main event, Otto Wallin was stopped by Anthony Joshua after five rounds. The self confidence of Joshua is back, and he was there to seek and destroy.

In a shocker, Joseph Parker subjugates Deontay Wilder by winning a twelve round decision. Parker was consistent in keeping Wilder under control. Wilder tried to fight back in the final rounds, but it was Parker with the upper hand.

Dmitry Bivol, Daniel Dubois, Agit Kabayel, Jai Opetaia, Filip Hrgovic, and Frank Sanchez also won their matches. The Day of Reckoning was a special occasion, and we anticipate more occasions like this.

I don't think that Inoue can go as high as welterweight, he did admit that if I'm not mistaken. There's only one boxer, the legendary Manny Pacquaio who was able to climb 8 divisions and become a champion.

Inoue said, maybe 126 lbs or even 130 lbs will be enough for him.

And that's why there were talks of him and Tank Davis, not Crawford. But maybe he could accomplished it at 126 lbs and make him a 3x unified champion and make history but we will see. We all know that the higher the weight class, the harder the competition.

Yes and you cannot deny the great power that Inopue has in this fight, in fact with respect to Tapalesm, it is not that I am a dissective person, but that will be something that Inoue has to show off, because this is the moment to give us the Christmas gift for us who are Inoue's fans without a doubt, for me Inoue represents what a boxer should be, he is a respectful person, he only dedicates himself to his sports, he is the best at it and has a lot to show, of course In fact, I think that his success has always been because he does not leave a single day to rest, he is always working his body and has a lot to show, in this order of ideas things can be very good when they try to do things well, for That's when something like this fight is done, the bets can be very much in his favor, I'm not saying that Tapales is easy, because he is a very good boxer, with great abilities, but to be at the level of an Inoue it is difficult, Noya has always shown that this sport makes it look easy, but that's how he is, he has the talent.

Furthermore, not only is it all there in the talent, it is also in the work he has for this, he always shows that he can do things well even as things are, be it in Japan or in any other country, he always shows that he is the best, I think his success is also because his training is getting harder and harder, and since that is what keeps him in shape, I would like Inoue to reach the heavyweight category, so that he can crown himself with everything, because he is a boxer who has the capabilities to do it and this can cause a lot of commotion, a Japanese being heavyweight champion, uff is a great achievement, of course I'm speculating, I don't know what the goals and expectations of the Japanese are, but I think it's going on a very good path, so far he has gained many fans and many use Inoue as a great motivation in boxing, I would like to see him become much bigger than he is now.

BoxingScene.com's Television Pick of The Week - December 23




Source: https://www.boxingscene.com/boxingscene-television-pick-week-december-23--180214

Inoue will likely go up and in time, if Bud is still there, Inoue will challenge him. It is a climb for Inoue but i think he will slow down when he reaches 135, this is where the exciting matches happen and he could probably fight at least 2-3 times a year if those on top are not going to duck him.

a 30-year-old crawford vs Inoue would have been one of the fights that would sell and i think i will still put my money on Inoue.

Don't forget about Dmitry Bivol in the past he was consecutively knocking his opponent and there were no decision wins back then but in recent fights, he somehow managed to be more technical with his technique and movement he just needs to be safe and sure and that is to just win a fight for sure Dmitry Bivol still is undefeated making him a great fighter aswell, for me I think this is a very juicy event and the last 3 fights will be a great watch for the boxing fans that is for sure,

The event is already starting 3 fights have already started, 1st fight was a KO win for Frank Sanchez, 2nd win was for Filip Hrgovic and his opponent didn't want to fight any more that have led to a KO/TKO win for Filip Hrgovic, and the 3rd fight was a win for Jai Opetaia with an Overhand left,


An example of an underdog fight that I bet on was the fight between Zhilei Zhang and Joe Joyce where Joe Joyce was the favorite because Zhang was picked by Joe Joyce, so many are speculating how Joe Joyce would beat up Zhilei Zhang but the fight was a big upset for Joe Joyce as Zhilei Zhang is faster and more technical than Joe Joyce so instead of a win for Joe Joyce it was an upset and Zhilei Zhang was now more popular on their 2nd match that now Zhilei Zhang was now the favorite to win, it was a big win for me in taking the underdog Zhilei Zhang and in that time I am risking my bet on Zhang for sure,

True, Japanese have that discipline that's why they don't talk trash against their opponents, and on the contrary are very respectful. I think if Inoue wins here then it's going to be a tough call as to who will be the pound for pound or even fighter of the year.

Crawford already did it, at 140 and 147 lbs and Inoue will be the second at 118 and 122 lbs to accomplished and unify belts in 2 divisions.

So that is a huge accomplishment for the Japanese and I think he will set the record in Asia (same with Inoue if he wins).

But can Tapales become aggressive in this match? Inoue almost knocked out all he had fought before and his quickness is the main asset to hitting them. Tapales has to endure the pain so he can maintain his aggressiveness and release his counter punches every time Inoue throws a punch.

I am almost certain to place bets on an Inoue by knockout in each round starting from round four until round nine. Inoue is not taking Tapales lightly and he will only make a limited attack in the early round. I am placing 6 bets in half of the match so big chance of hitting the round Inoue wins. With the odds of 10x to 13.5x each round, I have a clean 4x to 7.5x take home if I am lucky to win.

Indeed, Japanese in general aren't trash-talkers and are polite. Of the countless Japanese world champions in this sport, I can only remember one who is arrogant and that is the eldest of the Kameda brothers.

If Inoue schools Tapales and then knocks him out. Will he replace Crawford becomes again the pound-for-pound king? Tapales could be out of Spence's level although the guy is a 2 division champion. But it's a great achievement if Inoue wins, only the second to become a 2-division undisputed champion in the 4-belt era. And then by early next year, we have Oleksandr Usyk also trying to become a 2-division undisputed champion as well and also has a serious case to become the new pound-for-pound king.

I agree to that, if Tapales will use that as also for me his only chance to win it might ended up in this early rounds, he doesn't have that quickness and that killing punches as per his previous fights, though with that long preparation he might study all the fights of Inoue and maybe he will take that chance.

I respect your position and the potential is good, more on how both fighters will throw their strategy and execute from one another.

Japanese fighters are known for always being polite and respectful. Inoue isn't going to downplay or trash talk his opponent. Even if he won't admit it publicly, Inoue is well aware of his superior abilities. Tapales isn't a bad fighter by any means but Inoue is a generational talent and anything short of a dominant victory will be considered a disappointment. I am sure that Crawford beating him in becoming undisputed twice will motivate him to try and get a spectacular finish so that he can be considered the pound for pound king.

Tapales doesn't have the quickness to hit Inoue and score consistently, so his best chance here is to counter punch Inoue and be more aggressive in the fight so he will not feel inferior against the beast.

And with that to happen, I'm expecting that the fight will end early, either Inoue or Tapales will be KO, as long as it will fall within the first to fifth rounds, that's money. This is just my personal perception on the fight though, anything could happen, but I studied all the fights of Inoue, it ends up mostly in KO. In case Inoue will dictate the fight and Tapales will refuse to engage once he felt the power of Inoue, then there's a chance that the under 5.5 rounds will lose.

So while we are thinking that this is an easy fight for Inoue, his camp doesn't think that way.

From this article publish by philstar global, this is what Inoue has said during an interview.
https://www.philstar.com/sports/2023/12/21/2320508/inoue-admits-feeling-scared-tapales-showdown-nears

Inoue showed respet to the ability of his fellow champion, and that's the kind of attitude I like on a boxer as it will reflect on his work ethic. Now, with this humble words from him, it's hard not to think that he'll beat Tapales easily.

With that odds, seems decent though it can be fulfil if Tapales will try to exchange punches in early rounds but if Tapales will use hi tactics which he's more on trying to outscored is opponents, he may exceed with that rounds and maybe survive up to the end of 12 rounds, just speculating though, as we don't know if what preparation and how he will esecute his strategy.

Maybe waiting for more option, it may be provided during the live event, let see if what will going to come up from most bookies.

They can just stick with the Moneyline. I'm using a different bookie than what was posted, Tapales to win has a 8.60 ML, so that's really attractive.

Actually I haven't place my bet yet but I like to play around with the markets that are already available.
Based on what I see upon checking, looks like the range per rounds aren't available yet. I'm waiting for that one as it's where I can see some very attractive odds.

Currently, this is the only odds that I'm quite attracted.

Asian total - under 5.5 with 2.30 odds

You're welcome. The over and under are the safest because it does not matter who wins the match. The under 9.5 is the most attractive to me but I have to bet higher because it is only 1.34. My other plan is to place bets on Inoue, W1 from round 4 until round 9.

There are still several days for us to decide on our final picks. We can also wait until both protagonists are on the weighing scale. Witnessing how their bodies look like and their conditions.

But for the supporters of Tapales, the ML is already juicy to them. Tapales pulling an upset will be the biggest shock in boxing to happen this year.

That's true. Whales would take this kind of bet but as a small bettor, I will take my chances with Tapales on his moneyline. I know he is tough and it was proven during his fight with Murodjon Akhmadaliev. I mean, that dude just knocked out his last opponent Kevin Gonzalez which means he is also strong, and yet Tapales made it to the 12th round against him.

Naoya Inoue is truly a monster but if Tapales could create something that would exhaust the Monster and use technical fighting while also avoiding the haymakers of Inoue then he might win this fight.
I just hope it won't end quickly because honestly, those fists of Inoue are scary and one solid punch could end the fight or near it. Well, Tapales also trained hard for this and I bet there's a planned strategy from his camp. It's not like they will just enter the war without analysis of their opponent. It's now or never, if Tapales wins it will be a joyful day for Filipino boxing fans, or the whole country.

^ Thanks for posting the odds, maybe the over and under could be attractive for some of us. And yeah, definitely this could be the best bet for us boxing fans, or at last regular gamblers because that ML is not going to appeal to us, very low odds.

But we still have some time before we can decide which one to bet.

Maybe also the round range could be a good one. But for Tapales supporters, obviously, ML for him is already juicy and if he can pull the upset win, many are going to be very very happy win it.