Topic: Boxing Speculation, Odds and Predictions - page 47. (Read 32123 times)

This is the wishlist of most fans right now because all of a sudden they give him another chance but this will not be possible unless Casimero shows some good fights that could make his chance to fight Inoue increase drastically because of that and he needs to be back as the brawler who easily knocks out his opponent and not to be like his last fight where he always ends it controversially or in a draw. That won't attract any promoters to give him a chance because other boxers have more chances to bring huge money for them and it would be another heartbreak for Casimero because he is getting older and the dream fight is still not approved.

Inoue isn't that much of a talkative guy so a lot of the media are trying to reach out to his Japanese promoter Hideyuki Ohashi. So the plan is for the undisputed champion to defend all the belts 3-times in 2024. Bigger venues like the Tokyo Dome that could seat 40,000 fans are considered. Las Vegas and Saudi Arabia are also mentioned.

The first title defense is targeted against former 2-division world champion Luis Nery of Mexico. Nery is banned in Japan so it's most likely happening in the US unless the Saudis can offer bigger.

The second title defense will be against former unified champion Murodjon Akhmadaliev who lost a highly disputed decision to Marlon Tapales. Akhmadaliev also won the WBA eliminator in his last fight which means Inoue has to fight him or get stripped of his WBA belt.

The planned third title defense will be against Johnreil Casimero, a 3-division world champion. Inoue and Casimero were scheduled already to unify their belts when the pandemic of COVID-19 happened. It was canceled but it seems like they are destined to really face each other.

We have seen boxers moving up having trouble to either carry their power or making the weight. But Inoue is still hitting his prime and I think he can make it at 126 lbs but as you have said it going to be very difficult.

But I think he can get at least one belt at featherweight, I'm not saying that it's a week division. But his chances are high as the champion here are beatable. Rey Vargas is tall obviously, but when he tries to go up in weight he lost his fight and I think it will be a great match for Inoue on how to conquer a taller fighter like Vargas. Or the likes of Luis Lopez who loves to bang inside. But he has a fight scheduled in March against Reiya Abe, number 1 in IBF and his mandatory.

They have their own strategies inside the ring and I still think that Tapales is a good one after receiving all of those hooks that are like bombs. He's still managed to stand long for 10 rounds. That's already a long round but it would give him more applaud if he'll be able to finish all of the rounds and it will have a unanimous decision

I don't think that Inoue will agree to fight outside Japan. He's the champion and he's the one to dictate where he wants to fight but if he's okay with that then that's going to give him more credibility. What I am saying, many fans will look up higher on him if he allows his next fight to happen outside his country. Going away from home and you'll have to defend your title, that's something else and not all boxers are like him because they just give the demand of the fans or wherever they are confident to defend their belts.

And we can say that this is where things becomes more tougher on which climbing up on higher weigh division would really be needing up on beefing up more and on the recent match that we have seen of Inoue, yes his body composure is noticeable in Inoue on which he looks big and wide. Still has the power but the speed has been lower comparing into those less weight class on which its understandable. If he would be planning to step up again on other division then he should make himself prepared to those champions who had been sitting or holding the belt.
It wont really be something that easy that he could get those belts. Im not underestimating Inoue but i could say that it would be tough.

my opinion on this is that Inoue is already far far above than the level of casimero right now. so before casimero, even with japanese manager can get a deal with inoue's camp, there will be several big fights before he can get a fight with inoue. i would say casimero wasted his chances before. it was already too close for him to get a fight with inoue, but fight after fight, either he failed to reached the weight requirements, or the fight was suspended.

but sure, the chances are always there as long as casimero keeps on fighting and winning his fights. and also, so long they are on the same weight division. if one of them go in the upper division, that's when the chances will get lower.

though inoue has record of 26-0, and casimero as 33-4-1. inoue has bigger name in the boxing world right now over casimero. but i guess, if casimero will work out again to win fight after fight, he has good chance to face inoue in the future but should not wait another 6 years to happen as casimero is already 40 by that time.

That's the burden of being a unified champion, once you got all the belts, there could be mandatory fight for you and of course you can't give everyone their mandatory. Maybe vacated some belts and defend 1 or 2 next year and that's it, go to the next weight class at 126 and continue to chase greatness.

Maybe Neri next fight for him in the US, and Akhmadaliev.

He can target all the champion at 126 lbs in his first fight at that division for sure the governing body is willing to do it for him and definitely, the champions are willing and going to welcome him like Rey Vargas or Luis Lopez.

I'm not sure if he can get a chance to fight Inoue even after he took a Japanese manager because Inoue now is a living legend in boxing history and he is making a name for himself right now and in that case, all eyes are on him and there are many fighters in their weight division wanted to fight him and get themselves the chance to prove their capability. As of now, Casimero's only chance is to raise his rank and knock out all his opponents to be acknowledged and get his ticket to fight Inoue but if he cannot do that and always shows a sluggish fight like last time, then there will be no other chance at all.

Sooner or later, he will relinquish one of those belts because of mandatory but they will never mind that as the record has already been etched in history. Team Inoue said that they will stay at the super bantamweight division but I doubt that as there is not much money fight or records that needs to be broken if he stays in the 122 lbs division. One or two fights in this division then fight for the title in the 126, that might be the scenario for Inoue in the next few months or years.

Yeah, he is known for putting up hard and grind fights like the one he did against Akhmadaliev, if only Tapales has the power in this fight, he could have hurt Inoue with those upper cut of his.


I can speculate that maybe his team wanted him to become comfortable at super bantam. It's not like he has problems making the weight here, on the contrary, both Tapales and Inoue weigh less than the required 122 lbs. So he might stay here for a while, defend some of the belts, clean up the division by facing the likes of Akhmadaliev, Neri and then John Riel Casimero.

Ok, now I know why Nery is the next line as he is the WBC mandatory. And that is the problem though with having all the belts now, different body are now going to setup you up with their mandatory that if Inoue can't fulfill it, he might be strip of the belt. WBA is Murodjon Akhmadaliev and then IBF/WBO is Sam Goodman rated as number 1. So he will have everything full in the next 12 months as they are talking about Nery and Inoue fighting in May. I think Quadro Alas will have to wait his turn, his only rating is IBF and WBO and he needs to get a impressive win before they can talk him as the next potential opponent.

Yes, I think Nery will be a good challenge for Inoue, but I don't think that he can also pull a upset against the Monster. And it's going to be outside of his native country of Japan if Inoue wanted Nery next. Las Vegas could be a good venue for Inoue.


Not sure if Casimero will be back at MP, things have been said between him and MP's management, not directly to Manny though but against Sean Gibbons. He took a Japanese manager that might help him getting a fight with Japanese Inoue, but we will see.

That's right. Marlon Tapales lacks the firepower which is the truth even when he is up against Murodjon Akhmadaliev. He ain't the type to knockdown a boxer which is why he is trying to end it in technical style. Well, he ain't Manny Pacquiao or The Flash Nonito Donaire who have that punching power to knock their opponents out but I believe he will come back stronger.

Regarding Akhmadaliev, I am sure he will face Inoue at some point because Inoue told that he will stay in the super bantamweight for a while.
Why do you guys think he made that decision? I think his camp knows that climbing one more weight class will mean stronger boxers who are a good match for him. He needs to first increase his weight and see to it that his speed won't be affected. I have no doubts about his punching strength but when you climb, it means heavier fists too. I think they want to dominate this weight class first before they move on to another. A part of their preparation before deciding to go up the ladder.

That's a good new if Inoue would really think of fighting outside Japan. I believe Nery is also a decent opponent, was once a champion and I believe he is better than Tapales. Time for Inoue to bring a championship fight in Las Vegas, the gambling capital of the world, "am i right?".

Anyway, speaking of Casimero, I think there's no scheduled fight for him, probably his promoter is lazy to find good matches, or he is just in a bad promotion company. I suggest him to come back to MP promotion, so he'll not waste his remaining time in boxing.

Boxing politics often deprives us of seeing great matchups but if these Saudi events have shown us anything it's that promoters are capable of putting their differences aside. Bivol and Beterbiev are not very popular fighters. Maybe it's because of their nationality or because of their personality but they just don't sell. This has made it hard for them to reach an agreement because promoters don't want to lose money. It might come down to whether the Saudis or another rich Middle Eastern country is willing to bankroll this fight. I think this would be the prefect co-main event for something like Joshua vs Ngannou in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

I want to see Inoue climbing in weight again while he is still in his best form. But Inoue is an exciting boxer and whoever he and the associations choose to match, fans will expect a knockout. Nery is banned in Japan for cheating, and he won a championship versus a Japanese. This is enough to make a good storyline, Inoue will get payback and the Japanese public will watch live from their homes. Perhaps some will head out to Las Vegas too very much like when Ricky Hatton battled in the USA. Nery is supported by many Mexicans and Mexican Americans who live nearby, and Mexico is not far from Las Vegas.

But they are now discussing a Nery fight to be held in Las Vegas as Luis Nery was banned from fighting in Japan. Casimero needs to be impressive on his next fight to lure Inoue to fight him but if his performance is just the same like the last one then expect Inoue to avoid him as Team Inoue will think that Quadro Alas is just after the money.

IMO, that story line might not be interesting. I'd rather want to see Inoue vs Casimero as these two have been hype even before so they have a chance to attract more viewers. However, if Inoue would choose to fight a mandatory challenger, then there's nothing we can do with that, and for sure the outcome would not be different, Inoue will still end up winning an easy fight, and most likely another KO win for him.

Yes, it was survival mode for Tapales, but it's more of the body shot that maybe hurt him more than the shot in the head or face as he has a high block defense everytime Inoue will go and try to bust him.

He did shows that he has the uppercut, but it doesn't have the power to stop Inoue. I see him with his good lead right jab, but Inoue eat those at if nothing to him.

Murodjon Akhmadaliev is the mandatory for the IBF if I'm not mistaken, and it was him who own the belt before Tapales took it from him. So they can make that storyline of Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev next.

Yup I agree, they can pay a soccer player 10 times the salary of an NBA player (I think I was exaggerated about that) but they can surely pay millions for a talented soccer player, so this big event is just a small amount of money for them I think they don't know where they can put their money in but in having this kind of event they surely want entertainment for them and their country,

I also want to see Dmitry Bivol VS Artur Beterbiev but it needs a lot of talks and there are promotional companies that are  involved so it will be a hard thing to happen, all we can do is hope, but the Dmitry Bivol fight here against Lyndon Arthur is a great event even though it was a decision win for him Dmitry Bivol have shown that he is still ready for any fight given to him,


Yup! They have some issues with their promotional companies so this fight is really hard to make if there is no big money involved but if the Saudi Arabian wants a Bivol VS Beterbiev fight to happen I think they can get through with money,

For sure Dmitry will not allow that kind of rehydration clause, and why would Bivol the one that has to make a rehydration clause if Canelo Alvarez was the one that is challenging him to a rematch I think that Canelo Alvarez doesn't have the authority give any deal like that, as he lost to their 1st fight and he is the one that is challenging and wants the fight,