Topic: Boxing Speculation, Odds and Predictions - page 47. (Read 31707 times)

But can Tapales become aggressive in this match? Inoue almost knocked out all he had fought before and his quickness is the main asset to hitting them. Tapales has to endure the pain so he can maintain his aggressiveness and release his counter punches every time Inoue throws a punch.

I am almost certain to place bets on an Inoue by knockout in each round starting from round four until round nine. Inoue is not taking Tapales lightly and he will only make a limited attack in the early round. I am placing 6 bets in half of the match so big chance of hitting the round Inoue wins. With the odds of 10x to 13.5x each round, I have a clean 4x to 7.5x take home if I am lucky to win.

Indeed, Japanese in general aren't trash-talkers and are polite. Of the countless Japanese world champions in this sport, I can only remember one who is arrogant and that is the eldest of the Kameda brothers.

If Inoue schools Tapales and then knocks him out. Will he replace Crawford becomes again the pound-for-pound king? Tapales could be out of Spence's level although the guy is a 2 division champion. But it's a great achievement if Inoue wins, only the second to become a 2-division undisputed champion in the 4-belt era. And then by early next year, we have Oleksandr Usyk also trying to become a 2-division undisputed champion as well and also has a serious case to become the new pound-for-pound king.

I agree to that, if Tapales will use that as also for me his only chance to win it might ended up in this early rounds, he doesn't have that quickness and that killing punches as per his previous fights, though with that long preparation he might study all the fights of Inoue and maybe he will take that chance.

I respect your position and the potential is good, more on how both fighters will throw their strategy and execute from one another.

Japanese fighters are known for always being polite and respectful. Inoue isn't going to downplay or trash talk his opponent. Even if he won't admit it publicly, Inoue is well aware of his superior abilities. Tapales isn't a bad fighter by any means but Inoue is a generational talent and anything short of a dominant victory will be considered a disappointment. I am sure that Crawford beating him in becoming undisputed twice will motivate him to try and get a spectacular finish so that he can be considered the pound for pound king.

Tapales doesn't have the quickness to hit Inoue and score consistently, so his best chance here is to counter punch Inoue and be more aggressive in the fight so he will not feel inferior against the beast.

And with that to happen, I'm expecting that the fight will end early, either Inoue or Tapales will be KO, as long as it will fall within the first to fifth rounds, that's money. This is just my personal perception on the fight though, anything could happen, but I studied all the fights of Inoue, it ends up mostly in KO. In case Inoue will dictate the fight and Tapales will refuse to engage once he felt the power of Inoue, then there's a chance that the under 5.5 rounds will lose.

So while we are thinking that this is an easy fight for Inoue, his camp doesn't think that way.

From this article publish by philstar global, this is what Inoue has said during an interview.
https://www.philstar.com/sports/2023/12/21/2320508/inoue-admits-feeling-scared-tapales-showdown-nears

Inoue showed respet to the ability of his fellow champion, and that's the kind of attitude I like on a boxer as it will reflect on his work ethic. Now, with this humble words from him, it's hard not to think that he'll beat Tapales easily.

With that odds, seems decent though it can be fulfil if Tapales will try to exchange punches in early rounds but if Tapales will use hi tactics which he's more on trying to outscored is opponents, he may exceed with that rounds and maybe survive up to the end of 12 rounds, just speculating though, as we don't know if what preparation and how he will esecute his strategy.

Maybe waiting for more option, it may be provided during the live event, let see if what will going to come up from most bookies.

They can just stick with the Moneyline. I'm using a different bookie than what was posted, Tapales to win has a 8.60 ML, so that's really attractive.

Actually I haven't place my bet yet but I like to play around with the markets that are already available.
Based on what I see upon checking, looks like the range per rounds aren't available yet. I'm waiting for that one as it's where I can see some very attractive odds.

Currently, this is the only odds that I'm quite attracted.

Asian total - under 5.5 with 2.30 odds

You're welcome. The over and under are the safest because it does not matter who wins the match. The under 9.5 is the most attractive to me but I have to bet higher because it is only 1.34. My other plan is to place bets on Inoue, W1 from round 4 until round 9.

There are still several days for us to decide on our final picks. We can also wait until both protagonists are on the weighing scale. Witnessing how their bodies look like and their conditions.

But for the supporters of Tapales, the ML is already juicy to them. Tapales pulling an upset will be the biggest shock in boxing to happen this year.

That's true. Whales would take this kind of bet but as a small bettor, I will take my chances with Tapales on his moneyline. I know he is tough and it was proven during his fight with Murodjon Akhmadaliev. I mean, that dude just knocked out his last opponent Kevin Gonzalez which means he is also strong, and yet Tapales made it to the 12th round against him.

Naoya Inoue is truly a monster but if Tapales could create something that would exhaust the Monster and use technical fighting while also avoiding the haymakers of Inoue then he might win this fight.
I just hope it won't end quickly because honestly, those fists of Inoue are scary and one solid punch could end the fight or near it. Well, Tapales also trained hard for this and I bet there's a planned strategy from his camp. It's not like they will just enter the war without analysis of their opponent. It's now or never, if Tapales wins it will be a joyful day for Filipino boxing fans, or the whole country.

^ Thanks for posting the odds, maybe the over and under could be attractive for some of us. And yeah, definitely this could be the best bet for us boxing fans, or at last regular gamblers because that ML is not going to appeal to us, very low odds.

But we still have some time before we can decide which one to bet.

Maybe also the round range could be a good one. But for Tapales supporters, obviously, ML for him is already juicy and if he can pull the upset win, many are going to be very very happy win it.

It appears that everyone is waiting for the undisputed match between Naoya Inoue and Marlon Tapales. An Inoue win makes him second only to Terrence Crawford having won all four championship belts in two separate divisions.



Looking for a juicy market in this match? ML gives nothing in value because Inoue is preferred by almost all experts to win by KO. But the rounds over and under are appealing. 

Placing bets on the round W1 or Inoue wins is also juicy. Anyhow, if Inoue wins by KO, placing a maximum of nine bets on different rounds is almost guaranteed.

Naoya Inoue is now a well-known figure in the sport of boxing and surely if you look at what Naoya Inoue has accomplished against what Marlon Tapales has now Naoya Inoue has a bigger accomplishment, Unification of the Bantamweight belt and this time against Marlon Tapales and he is unifying the WBO super bantamweight this time, clearly, Naoya Inoue is a real monster if he accomplished this kind of feat in a short amount of time and that is without any losses in his record,


That unification of the Bantamweight was a big plus for Naoya Inoue I think no one ever has pulled such a win and a unification in the Bantamweight Division and for sure the many belts he attained is a remarkable feat for Naoya Inoue was the one that pulled such feat but for sure Marlon Tapales was the underdog for this match,


It is a good value for people who want to bet for the Underdog, but it is really riskier because the Monster Naoya Inoue is really that good as Marlon Tapales needs to pull an upset to win, if you have courage in betting for Marlon Tapales then go with the Underdog high-risk high rewards for sure,

But not for us though regular gamblers. However, for whales and high rollers, maybe they can take that risk and bet at least a million to be able to get a big return on their bet. There were even a thread if I"m not mistaken, putting $1 million at 1.01 but lost. So that is a big gamble for them and they know what the risk are. But then again for us, we will look for value in our bet just to make a good money in this match. So it's really up to us, our analysis and how Inoue or what could be the rounds that Inoue will knockout Tapales.

And there are gamblers who can take that huge risk knowing that the chance of winning is really high, though an upset can take place, and we can't remove that, as even how great the fighter was but with a single lucky solid punch that throws by the opposing fighter and landed to a critical part of heavy favorite, that can be an upset to the bettor and to the fighter itself.

It's a decision that only a gambler can take, taking a big risk on the underdog or place huge amount of money on the heavy favorite with lesser odds. It will go to depend on how you take as a gambler.

That odds exist for a reason, for a boxer to be give a 1.07 betting odds, that means he'll likely win the fight, 99% of the time, I guess. Inoue is just too quick and powerful for Tapales, so I think 1.07 is quite attractive especially for bettors who could wager a huge amount of money. Using some figures to fully make it attractive, let's say you bet on Inoue to win straight up for $100k, with 1.07, if that bet wins, that's instant $7,000 in just less than a day, who would not take that?

Deontay Wilder vs Joseph Parker.
This is fight that interests me and of course this fight will bring together the knockout artist Wilder and Joseph Parker, both of these fighters are former world champions and in their weight classes both had quite high hype in the past few years.
And Wilder has been absent from fighting since losing the WBC title because he was defeated by Tyson Fury.
But before he was absent, Wilder had fought and won, after that he trained harder and really wanted to return to the ring to be able to fight for the championship title.
In this fight, Wilder also stated that he was confident that he could finish the fight before 12th round because he would knock Parker out, this confidence really made everyone interested in him and he was still seen as fighter with winning mentality.

There is one thing that Wilder really wants, namely to be in the ring against Francis Ngannou and there have been many rumors about this fight since last month.
Maybe Wilder also wants to fight Fury again to be able to take back the WBC title he lost from his hands.

If we are talking about belts at super bantamweight, the weight class that they are fighting, but have 2 belts. But if we talk about the totally, obviously, Inoue has more has he unified the belt as bantamweight .


Yes, as gamblers, 1.07 has no value at all, in terms of ML, we should be looking at other betting line, maybe per round will be good but the risk is high. But this is what we are after all, all that juicy odds that we can get that is so appealing and we think that it's a good chance to happen then we will go for it. But not the ML, who knows, if there is an upset here and someone bet big on that, for sure they will have regrets later.

it is maybe because inoue's name rings a bell more than tapales. he's more popular as well. also, inoue has a lot more belts than tapales. actually, if you are rooting for tapales, as being a heavy underdog. this is good, right? for the bettors who want to place a bet on him.

because it is not worth putting your money on inoue with 1.07 odds. otherwise, look for other betting lines like which round it will end, the method, over/under and others.

upset can happen if the underdog really prepared for the fight and consider all angles that he can think he has advantage of. but we can understand if bookies will give the cards to inoue here.

Surely there will be many who are in favor of Naoya Inoue in this match and I am one of them but how I really wish I had seen a much more over-the-top Marlon Tapales in this situation because I am also a doubter about his caliber and what he can do against Naoya Inoue, as I am really doubting him aswell, for this fight, I like to go with a safer bet then Naoya Inoue will be safer and a riskier but high rewards is Marlon Tapales, because I can not say that Naoya Inoue could win this easily, because Marlon Tapales could surprise us,


How I wish Marlon Tapales was reading this as this could surely give him motivation for the fight that even if Naoya Inoue has a more favorable chance of winning, Marlon Tapales still got that percentage of winning so it is not going to be a one-sided fight hopefully, and Tapales  could unlock his full potential for this game because many are doubting him that he can not show a great fight against Naoya Inoue, I just wish I am wrong in picking Naoya Inoue,

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As we are discussing the Naoya Inoue VS Marlon Tapales fight we are having an event where well-known boxers will share a single fight and this is The Day Of Reckoning where even though I think most of the fights are picked fights, we can still see Anthony Joshua, Deontay Wilder, and Dmitry Bivol in one juicy event,