@mikeywith:
thank you so much for the effort you put in to explain this in such detail. You have really helped me with this. It helped a lot in understanding after reading through this several times and reading and delving into various sites around bitcoin. I am quoting the key points you mentioned.
there is no such thing as "reset", you are not competing against any other miners, you are competing against the difficulty and your only weapon is the number of hashes, your luck doesn't reset with every block, it resets with every hash, every hash has the same exact chance of hitting a block regardless of the status of the network, other miners when was the last block found, who found it, or anything else
[...]
Saying that you are competing against other miners suggests that if other miners pull out and stop hashing, your chances of hitting a block will increase, which is false, even if everyone else stops mining and you are left alone, your chances will change by 0%, if your initial chances were to hit a block in 10 days, it will still be the same.
[...]
every single share submitted to the network has exactly the same chance of hitting a block.
[...]
every share CAN find a block at any given time, and the chances of your hashes hitting a block are 100% independent from every other hash anyone else has
Very important and accurate points. I have now understood that only the current Difficulty plays a role in the probability calculation for a block find and is used as the basis of the calculation. The
Bitcoin Wiki page has further assisted in understanding this.
You need to ditch the idea that tells you that miners are mining the same exact same block, and you can only start mining a block when one is done, you need to understand that every hash is trying to mine its own block if it manages to do so, it simply tells the other miners "hey guys, I am going to name my block 1011, so please if any of you manages to find a block, use a different name "1012", don't let this give you the illusion that everyone is now mining block "1012" , NO! NO!, everyone is mining their own random block, and IF they hit one, they will name it "1012".
this was also a very helpful information, thanks!
I think this topic belongs in the "technical section" of the forum. I had already asked the moderators to do this, but unfortunately it hasn't been implemented yet. I have meanwhile manually
opened a new thread and the relevant posts here #46 to #56 from this topic were moved (quoted) in the new thread as takeover. Let's discuss this matter further there, so that this thread here of the project "Block Solvers" remains clear and does not run further into off-topic.
For your information: I have undone the change in the info page #1 and reset it to the original state.
For all other questions or comments about "probability calculation" please have a look at the
linked thread.
@mod: You can safely delete #46 to #56 as I have successfully moved them to the
new thread #2 in the technical sub-forumThanks for the attention and support.
Now back to the topic.
Run #10 still has
3 open slots. Stake is 0.001 BTC as usual
And for those who are interested in more power, take a closer look at the Power Run #20
C'mon Block Solvers . . .
Hi Mate ...
I'm happy to fill those slots.