that is insane...
Math fail. It's 320,000 btc, or about 3.2m USD. This puts it at 10x p/e based on current earnings and assuming zero growth.
I agree sorry for the quick mistake, but still. The numbers are way out of line to anything in the industry other than that odd exchange itself. No you guys are not apple.
Do not get my wrong, I hope you guys sell out, it would be nice to know people are willing to wait 15 years to break even. I just sadly do not think that is realistic right now. We will see.
Wait 15 years to break even... what are you talking about?
If SatoshiDICE didn't grow at all (which it will) and you were never able to sell the share (which you can), then it would take about 10 years to break even.
Since the site will grow, and since you can sell your share whenever, the equation changes substantially. A conservative estimate with a doubling of site revenue within 2-3 years means you'd have made 100% within 1-2 years because the stock price would double to maintain the same 10x p/e valuation. The attractiveness of such an investment to professional investors should be apparent.
That is a very optimistic view. I hope you are correct but I highly doubt it.
Would you be willing to let me short your stock? Thanks.
It is a very optimistic view that the site will double usage over 2-3 years? The site doubled usage just in the last month
Even if SatoshiDICE doesn't grow relative to the bitcoin economy (possible, since it's already so large), the bitcoin economy will FAR more than double over the next 2-3 years. I'm curious what your basis for analysis is?