Topic: CONMEBOL 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification (South America) - page 2. (Read 544 times)

I would be very confident to say most of people who betted on the Venezuela v Brazil match and the Chile v Venezuela match end up losing money. Because, historically the Venezuelan football team has been showed little disciple and small chances when going against more experienced teams like Brazil and Argentina.

I was myself considering whether I should have betted on those matches, but in the end I decided not to, because I was not sure on where to put my money. Still I am happy to see our national team scoring some points and getting closer to the World Cup, it is still very early to celebrate, obviously, there is a long path ahead before we can stand up proud of this new generator of players.
Brazil and Chile could have understimated us during those matches, but they will certainly not do so in the future.

+1
The short answer, that is why it is the confederation that grants the most places vs the number of national teams that play in it.

Now, that surprise loses strength when you see that the team is Venezuela, because the possible "surprise" candidates to beat Brazil are any of the other 8 teams except Venezuela and Bolivia, but then given what happened with Chile, another great always Conmebol, it's simple, it wasn't even "Luck".

The matches in Conmebol for World Cup qualification are always somewhat unpredictable, I think many of us lost money in these match.

In fact, the current situation is not at all pleasant for Brazilians who follow the Brazilian football team.
With this defeat to Uruguay, Brazil lost its unbeaten run of 37 matches in World Cup qualifiers.
Worse than that, I'm worried about the injury to Neymar, our main player, who if it's really serious with his knee, he could be unable to play for up to 6 months.

But... Brazil still occupies third place on the leaderboard and I don't believe that its classification for the World Cup is at risk.
Brazil urgently needs to define whether Ancelotti will come as coach or whether we will continue with Fernando Diniz, the team needs a technical definition for the direction of the selection.

I couldn't be more proud of Venezuela, they really did very well, it's incredible how they can play at that level, they didn't believe it before, at one point in the BRAZIL game I thought they were going to beat Venezuela At least 5 gfoles were going to put them in, because Brazil beat Bolivia in La Paz (Bolivia where the altitude is impressive and there is a lack of oxygen) and they were able to beat them there, then in Brazil and while at home, well it's something I thought it was almost impossible, but getting a draw in Brazil is considered here as a win, a victory, after that performance they make people have a lot of faith and that same faith was what made them win against Chile, so that's what we We must see, first of all, Venezuela's performance is impressive. Chile has never been beaten like this in the playoffs, because Chile is a very strong country in soccer, so we know that Venezuela did this, because the only rival that looks stronger of everything and that they have come out undefeated, it is Argentina, and that because of the way Messi is playing, it is imporinoanste what the Argentinian has done.

All this is the Exciting thing about the playoffs,  now looking at the sense of things, it seems very strange to me how Brazil has been because Brazil is a team that now has Neymar injured and that is a tolerable loss, he will not be able to be in the elimnatiroias for the November date and basically things when it comes to Basil are strong, because they lost in Uruguay and they have not been able to match Argentina, and I don't understand it well, Brazil has Vinicius, it has Rodrygo, it has many players that they can make a difference and that is something that can be established as something that can practically make a difference, as far as I am concerned I think that things when they are about how to do so that they can equalize them, well it has to be done in the next few Dates , Brazil is not Playing well, I dare say that the technical team is to blame.

I wouldn't say Brazil is in crisis, and I cannot pick out any player to a portion blame for the defeat, it was a team's performance and Uruguay was the better side. Every record at some point is going to be broken and their 37 matches unbeaten run in the CONMEBOL qualifiers since 2015 has come to an end. Though, the game was one of their worst performance as they failed to register a shot on target but there's still 14 more matches to be played. I think they can turn things around and make the cut for the 2026 Fifa world cup as they have never fail to qualify for the Fifa world cup since inception.

What happened to Brazil?  
I'm still trying to figure it out hehehe
Can we officially declare the Brazilian national team in crisis?
What do you think of this situation? Can you find a culprit?

This round was very interesting

• Brazil lost
• Messi played another excelent game
• Venezuela got a win and are starting to believe that qualification for the World Cup is possible
• Argentina and Colombia are the only ones who haven't lost so far
  

and of course, I lost 2 bets in this round 

In a few hours the games will start. Currently, Venezuela, which is playing against Chile, is winning. Venezuela's performance in the last few games has been quite incredible, they had a victory and an important draw because it was achieved in the game against Brazil, and if Venezuela comes away with victory in this game then they will be doing well in terms of points. Now Chile cannot be underestimated either, it will probably be a game in which Venezuela will have to work hard in defense, because the risk of a draw is very high. In any case, may the best team win.

Brazil will play against Uruguay, based on odds, it appears that despite Brazil having a team made up of players who currently play for the best teams in the world, Brazil's performance is inconsistent for the good level of the players they have. They were supposed to at least be able to beat certain opponents easily, but while on paper they are strong, on the field they are weak. It's funny that they play well to the point of putting pressure on their opponents, but they spend a lot of time wasting the many opportunities they have to score a goal and when the opponent has few opportunities, they score a goal.

in the case of this game between Brazil and Uruguay. brazil is lucky because urugay's performance wasn't good in the last 2 games, but because of the past record that urugay is a good team and because brazil's performance in the last 2 games wasn't good, then i wouldn't be surprised if To see another draw in this game, Brazil does not inspire confidence. I'm glad I'm not going to bet on them anymore, after I bet on them in a game with odds of 1.09 and they tied, I started not betting on them anymore

Argentina will play against Peru, which in the last 3 games has not managed to win any game, I see Argentina coming out victorious in this game and they could increase the advantage they have in the table if Brazil loses or draws, but it is strange that even though Peru is in a very bad situation and Argentina with an acceptable performance, even so the odds for Argentina to win are at 1.39, perhaps when they announce the squad that will play the odds value will decrease a lot

Uruguay, who earned a critical point against Colombia, will not have any new absentees due to injury or suspension, while Cristian and Mathias Olivera are expected to return to the starting eleven. While Brazil's unexpected point loss against Venezuela brought criticism, the uncertainty of Casemiro's condition after he left the game with an injury and Gerson may get a chance to play. In addition, Couta may find time at full back in place of Danilo, who is out of the national team camp due to injury. We know that Uruguay always plays differently in the Centenario but Brazil is a team with a higher skill level when Rodrygo, Neymar and Vinicius are on the pitch. My favorite is Brazil and i am sure we'll see more than one goal.

In Brazil it's common to have excellent players but a team that isn't very united and the result is what we see, with irregular games most of the time
Brazil is still very dependent on Neymar and that's a problem when he doesn't play well or is injured


The format of the South American qualifiers is very fair indeed, 2 matches against each team, 1 at home, 1 away, the bests qualify, no difficult or unfair groups


To be fair to Brazil, it's only the beginning of Fernando Diniz's work, but it's still pretty confusing, as Ancelotti is expected to be coach for next season
This could cost Brazil a higher price as they won't be able to have a good preparation time

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These are today's matches
In bold my favorites to win

Venezuela x Chile
Paraguay x Bolivia
Ecuador x Colombia
Uruguay x Brazil
Peru x Argentina

You simply cannot compare the quality of Asian teams with that of South American teams which have quite some World Cup trophies collected while Asian teams have none.Based on this simple fact it is only natural that most slots will be reserved for the South American teams and fewer slots will be reserved for the Asian teams.

This can change of course with the time passing and Asian teams performing better than South American ones but before such thing happens nothing will change with the format for the World Cup qualifiers.

Format qualifier with CONMEBOL zone difference not only with UEFA but also Asian, there are not separated in several group stage with CONMEBOL zone although they have ten national teams participants who will qualify to FIFA World Cup with 6 national team automatically play in World Cup and 7th standings position will get play-off with other continent national teams. Comparison with how many national teams in CONMEBOL zone is not fair with Asian have many national teams but have little slot for qualifying in FIFA World Cup 2026. Not really excited with CONMEBOL round qualifier because finish on 6th standings position has the same valuable with finish on 1st standing who will get the same position qualify to World Cup, maybe FIFA or CONMEBOL confederation should change format of qualifier round to make it more excited.

Yes, currently Brazil's performance is very poor, if their performance continues, they will not be able to get a good place in the World Cup. Brazil has had many experienced players in the past who have strengthened their team a lot and brought their team to a good level. But currently this Brazil is so weak that they are drawing matches against many weaker teams. Brazil scored only one goal in the second half when the World Cup qualifying match between Brazil and Venezuela was held that day. After not being able to score any more goals, Venezuela counter-attacked to equalize 1-1. After that the match was a draw as no more goals were scored. From here it can be estimated how weak Brazil has become. If Brazil's performance does not improve, Brazil will not be able to stand strong in the future.

I really like the fact that CONMEBOL preferring league format in South America instead of unfair group structure in UEFA. Even if there are much less teams that make it more viable/easy to apply league format I think uefa could try it as well (uefa nations league is a joke). I am not expecting big surprise here with Peru and Bolivia here as they are always weakest links in south America. Although Ecuador has rather better squad and can go directly to World cup.

Actually I can say that Brazil has a pretty bad squad at the moment. In the past, Brazil was the favorite to win either the World Cup or Conmebol. But currently, maybe Brazil is still quite strong in South America, but believe me, they are no longer the favorites to win the 2026 World Cup. Seriously, Brazilian football is very bad. I admit they will not run out of unique and talented talents but I am also confused about what problems they have that they perform quite poorly for Brazil's level.

I don't know the exact reason for Messi not starting the game, it could be that the coach wants to start finding options without Messi, since the game was supposed to be relatively easy
In more difficult games, the coach has to rely on Messi in the starting line-up


It's a good explanation, that could be the reason too


I don't think anyone expected this result. For Venezuela it was historic. Brazil are not in a good phase, and recently the starting striker, Richarlison, has been in a very bad shape, and is already psychologically affected by not being able to score goals for the national team
Neymar was booed a lot yesterday, and rightly so

I even lost my bet on the Brazil game yesterday, I had bet on Brazil winning with goals under 3.5
I'm happy for Venezuela too, as the country is in a lot of trouble.
But a team with the players that Brazil has, it's very hard to see them playing so badly and not being able to score goals.

When I made my multibet bet and placed Brazil, even though I saw that the odds were 1.09, I thought it wouldn't affect anything, but then I remembered how Brazil has become a shitty team since the world cup, so I decided to cancel my bet and change my comment about them after their game ended, but it was already too late to cancel my bet, Brazil's time zone with my country is very complicated and the game ended at a time when I went to sleep, when I woke up to go cancel my bet, I saw that they had already played and unfortunately for me, they drew and with that I also lost my multibet bet. Looking at the game itself, it clearly showed the inefficiency of Brazil's attackers

It's funny that Brazil put pressure on Venezuela's defense many more times, but couldn't score a goal, it was as if Brazil were playing a friendly game, it didn't even seem like they were taking it seriously. while the few times Venezuela created danger, they managed to score a goal. In my opinion, this Brazilian team with this current coach, they won't win anything big, they will hardly be able to become world cup champions with a mediocre performance like that. Even though I bet on Brazil to win and lost my bet, I congratulate Venezuela on the draw, they deserved to win this game because they were playing seriously, unfortunately Venezuela has a shitty government, that's why they don't grow

The team led by Lionel Scaloni who had a reason for not starting Lionel Messi. It's okay to give Messi limited playtime after his recent injury. The other combinations in the team are working well too. The most important thing is that Argentina won! Nicolas Otamendi scored the only goal, and the World champions have now won three out of three matches. It was a bit unfortunate that they only scored one goal. Leo Messi hit the post twice, and De Paul once. Overall, it was a very solid performance by everyone!

Why was Lionel Messi not included in the starting XI? He was called up only in the 53rd minute, as a substitute for Julián Álvarez. I believe that the message from Argentina management is quite clear. Messi is no longer an irreplaceable player, that he used to be. For them, the combination of Álvarez-Martínez-González is working pretty well. Still, I expected a bit more from Argentina during yesterday's match. They won with a margin of 1-0, and that too against one of the weakest teams form the CONMEBOL confederation.

If you place a multiple bet on the two victories, the odds are only 1.35 (although the chances of Argentina and Brazil winning are enormous).
It's not my style of betting, but it might be worth placing a goals bet

I've done a simulation here and a multiple bet with Argentina winning + Brazil over 2.5 goals, gives 1.82 odds, which is quite an improvement.



The Argentina match has a chance of not scoring many goals, as Paraguay defend well, but the Brazil match has a high chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals, especially as Brazil are playing at home, with a great attack and coach Fernando Diniz likes to play a lot in attack

In 3 days we will have games, I'm still thinking about which games I'm going to bet on, but so far I'm looking at these games for a possible multi bet:

Argentina - Paraguay

For this game, Argentina arrives as the big favorite, and it makes perfect sense since they have a better squad compared to their opponent, they have two wins so far and have not had any defeats, they have scored 4 goals in two games and have not conceded any goal in the two games they have played so far, Messi is already cured of the injury, I saw him playing for his US team, the other good Argentine players such as Lautara are also doing well, so on the side of the Argentina squad Argentina is fine. I still don't know anything about Paraguay's squad, but looking at Paraguay's performance, which in 2 games, they had 1 defeat, 1 draw and didn't score a goal in the two games they played, then I see that their attacking power is non-existent , but they have only conceded 1 goal in the last 2 games

Still, it's not right for me to say that they have a good defense because they only played against weak teams like Peru and Venezuela, so I see that in this game Argentina have a better chance of winning the game. but strange that the bookmakers are giving odds of 1.27 if Argentina wins, I expected to see an odds lower than 1.27. That's why I want to take advantage of this chance and make a multibet bet with Argentina included

Brazil - Venezuela

For this game, Brazil also arrives as the favorite, and with the great quality of Brazil's squad, this favoritism makes perfect sense, in the 2 games that Brazil played they scored 6 goals and conceded only 1 goal, showing that they have good attack and good defense. but in the last game against peru, they didn't have viniciu junior, so the team's performance, despite being acceptable on the field, still had an offensive efficiency, and it was even a defender who scored a goal that gave Brazil victory, I believe that this scenario will be different this time with Vinicius Junior on the field. I see Brazil coming out victorious in this game