Even more reason to isolate. If we are all infected then we want this virus to die completely so it doesn't have a chance to mutate and reinfect us all again. Only way to do that is isolation for a month.
Do you think Trump will reopen the country by easter? Or do you think he'll be stopped?
He hasn't really closed anything down, I don't think.
The White House is doing a '15 days to slow the spread' thing where they suggest everyone practice social distancing, but I think all the official orders to shut down xyz have been made by Mayors and Governors.
He can effectively invalidate the orders and encourage people to come back to work. The orders are almost certainly unconstitutional, but ignoring this fact, they cannot be realistically be enforced if they are defied in masse.
If Trump says that it is safe for certain people to go to work and come out of their homes and he has the support of doctors, people would likely listen to him, especially if they are needing money to pay their bills.
I think a fairly large part of the shelter in place orders in much of the country are intended to harm the economy. San Francisco has a shelter in place order and there are only about 150 cases. The mayor of los Angelos said that he expects residents to have to stay in their homes for months rebutting what Trump said about reopening the economy by Easter. LA has about 650 cases, I would estimate that at most there are 130 people hospitalized in LA and the mayor is saying the hospitals are overwhelmed. I would say that claiming hospitals are overwhelmed with 130 patients and pre-judging the outcome before the data is available removes his credibility.
The orders are fairly transparently political when governments are allowing pot dispensaries to stay open while shutting down gun shops.
The governors are responsible for declaring a state of emergency, I don't think Trump would have the authority to over rule them as they aren't his subordinate. A governor could over rule a mayor, but the president couldn't over rule a governor.
I'm sure there are some loop holes that Trump could find to exploit, or just simply start insulting/attacking a governor to get a similar effect, but that's definitely not the way the system was intended to work.
Trump and the local officials are saying the same thing. If Trump says it is safe to go to work, but the state/local officials are saying to stay home, a lot of people would probably ignore the lockdown orders, and it will start to cascade. The lockdown orders are unconstitutional, so any convictions of people violating them will be thrown out and ignoring the unconstitutionality of the orders, you really cannot enforce them if they are defied en masse.
If we can reasonably determine who will have mild/no symptoms
We already tried that, by not testing people for two months. The only missing part was a time machine to check those symptoms in advance.
The sad thing about these lockdowns is that if they're at least somewhat successful then every conspiratard will be claiming that we didn't need lockdowns.
There is no cure for the Chinese Coronavirus, so testing will not actually do anything.
The lockdowns may slow the spread, but it won't stop it because people still need to interact with others, for example, to buy food. People also need to go to work if they work in certain industries designed as
critical, and cannot work remotely, and some of these people will spread the virus.
If you recover from the virus, you cannot get it again, and once you are recovered you cannot give it to anyone else. Once enough people are recovered from the virus, it will have no one else to spread to because it is only being spread to people who have already recovered.
If we can build up medical capacity, identify and protect those who are most likely to have serious complications from the virus, then we should get most everyone else infected, and the population as a whole will develop herd immunity. We will probably
see this in third world countries that cannot effectively control their citizens, except the vulnerable will not be protected (very sad).
