Diff thread Aug 8 to Aug 22nd picks are closed. Good luck! - page 5.

VirosaGITS

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1068

Quote from: philipma1957 on August 16, 2015, 11:20:32 PM

@alh

1000 s-5+ and 2000 s-5 = 10ph

3000 s-5+ and 6000 s-5 = 30ph

I do not think they can sell and ship 30ph in two weeks even if they want to do it.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

And the first four days for this diff adjustment pre China explosion.

Aug 8 2015 163 +19 but about +10 since part was last diff
Aug 9 2015 133 -11 so -1
Aug 10 2015 168 +24 So +23
Aug 11 2015 170 +26 means we are + 49

And the 5 days after the China explosion.

Aug 12 2015 122 -22
Aug 13 2015 151 +7
Aug 14 2015 137 -7
Aug 15 2015 136 -8
Aug 16 2015 141 -3 -33 after the explosion

So A coincidence ? or did some damage occur. Not farms but net or just power restrictions to 1 farm near the blast.

Some will say it was bitmaintech selling off s-5+

For me to figure what they sold I need someone to pm me a btc address they used to pay for one s-5+

I can back track to a larger btc address and try to filter out purchases that are not a multiple of 9.9 coins.

Maybe this will help you;

S5 purchase;
https://blockexplorer.com/address/14e7bjywenc9Gkmogcxze2xW6fQSFnXAMQ

They move it right after;

https://blockexplorer.com/address/1KwA4fS4uVuCNjCtMivE7m5ATbv93UZg8V

Final Balance 2695BTC.

Quite possibly linked one way or another to all their current sales. Total 31k BTC.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

@alh

1000 s-5+ and 2000 s-5 = 10ph

3000 s-5+ and 6000 s-5 = 30ph

I do not think they can sell and ship 30ph in two weeks even if they want to do it.

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

And the first four days for this diff adjustment pre China explosion.

Aug 8 2015 163 +19 but about +10 since part was last diff
Aug 9 2015 133 -11 so -1
Aug 10 2015 168 +24 So +23
Aug 11 2015 170 +26 means we are + 49

And the 5 days after the China explosion.

Aug 12 2015 122 -22
Aug 13 2015 151 +7
Aug 14 2015 137 -7
Aug 15 2015 136 -8
Aug 16 2015 141 -3 -33 after the explosion

So A coincidence ? or did some damage occur. Not farms but net or just power restrictions to 1 farm near the blast.

Some will say it was bitmaintech selling off s-5+

For me to figure what they sold I need someone to pm me a btc address they used to pay for one s-5+

I can back track to a larger btc address and try to filter out purchases that are not a multiple of 9.9 coins.

alh

legendary

Activity: 1846

Merit: 1052

Late Sunday night update from Minnesota:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    53,260,668,527 (+1.06%)
Adjust time:    After 747 Blocks, About 5.1 days
Hashrate(?):    366,874,505 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.2 minutes

Updated:    22:5 (6.3 minutes ago)

BTC price: $257 (down a little)

I think the days of 10% difficulty increases are over. It's a daunting task to add 30PH in a two week period, even with new efficient gear. I think it will be more of slow difficulty increase as mining farm replace (and sell) less efficient gear with more efficient gear. Antpool has no interest in increasing the difficulty.

Just my $.02.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: VirosaGITS on August 15, 2015, 11:15:16 AM

Well then, the final value would appear to hinge on major factors such as Bitmain's cycling their hardware. It almost look like they are timing their moves to purposely keep the difficulty even.

yeah they have been many timing moves that match that theory.

have to wait and see how true it is.

VirosaGITS

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1068

Well then, the final value would appear to hinge on major factors such as Bitmain's cycling their hardware. It almost look like they are timing their moves to purposely keep the difficulty even.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

the picking is closed

picks as of 9 am Sat. the 14th EST

-1.51% to -1.75% TheAnalogKid
-1.26% to -1.50% wlefever
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% VirosaGits
-0.51% to -0.75% alh
-0.26% to -0.50% ezeminer

+0.01% to +0.25% kenscho
+0.26% to +0.50% lolxxxx
+0.51% to +0.75% edonkey
+0.76% to +1.00% mavericklm
+1.01% to +1.25% valkir
+1.26% to +1.50% HerbPean
+1.51% to +1.75% tss
+1.76% to +2.00% Mikestang
+2.01% to +2.25% Amph
+2.26% to +2.50% jonnybravo0311
+2.51% to +2.75% Kexkey
+2.76% to +3.00% EnternalWingsofGod
+3.01% to +3.25% wpt1wpt1
+3.26% to +3.50% notlist3d
+3.51% to +3.75% zebedee

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+1.35%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:   53,408,886,301 (+1.35%)
Adjust time:   After 969 Blocks, About 6.6 days
Hashrate(?):   353,778,915 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.6 minutes
6 blocks: 59.1 minutes

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Slowly going down slightly no huge jumps:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,081,046,359 (+2.62%)
Adjust time:    After 1016 Blocks, About 6.8 days
Hashrate(?):    366,431,409 GH/s

Price around 265 so could be better.

VirosaGITS

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1068

Quote from: notlist3d on August 14, 2015, 06:13:40 PM

With S5+ having a batch we could see a temporary decline when they pull them from their data center I'm guessing and send to buyers.

If someone is good at tracking BTC might see how many units they sold, I know some people have done that before. At over 7T per unit that could add up depending on how many they have.

We could come up with a good guess, but its not impossible to get a +or- 10% (guessed) hashrate over a day even if the true hashrate remain the same, just because of "luck".

However seeing a sudden drop everytime Bitmain empty their warehouse with a wave of used Antminer S5 is pretty obvious. So we'll be able to guess a potential and likely range of how many S5+ they dumped/dc'ed, when they do it with S5+'s.

Because i'm pretty sure they will.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

With S5+ having a batch we could see a temporary decline when they pull them from their data center I'm guessing and send to buyers.

If someone is good at tracking BTC might see how many units they sold, I know some people have done that before. At over 7T per unit that could add up depending on how many they have.

VirosaGITS

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1068

Quote from: ezeminer on August 14, 2015, 06:06:11 PM

Quote from: notlist3d on August 14, 2015, 03:14:10 PM

At least price is going up a little bit. Currently around 266 now if we could only get in 270's again.

Hopefully difficulty goes down a tad though. Would rather have the 1-2 percent.

for the hashrate and difficulty... it seems too crazy to mine now.

My theory is that the lower the price, the higher the difficulty should be a slightly low difficulty... but then again s7's?

I don't know, i would still be able to earn some money on S1's if BTC prices remained the same currently but block reward was halved. So i'm not particularly worried with that.

ezeminer

legendary

Activity: 2184

Merit: 1118

Lie down. Have a cookie

Quote from: notlist3d on August 14, 2015, 03:14:10 PM

At least price is going up a little bit. Currently around 266 now if we could only get in 270's again.

Hopefully difficulty goes down a tad though. Would rather have the 1-2 percent.

for the hashrate and difficulty... it seems too crazy to mine now.

My theory is that the lower the price, the higher the difficulty should be a slightly low difficulty... but then again s7's?

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

At least price is going up a little bit. Currently around 266 now if we could only get in 270's again.

Hopefully difficulty goes down a tad though. Would rather have the 1-2 percent.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

okay we are 905 blocks in so picks will end in 13-16 hours.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+3.41%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:   54,496,018,890 (+3.41%)
Adjust time:   After 1111 Blocks, About 7.4 days
Hashrate(?):   383,056,957 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.7 minutes
6 blocks: 57.4 minutes
Updated:

picks as of 7 am friday the 14th EST

-1.51% to -1.75% TheAnalogKid
-1.26% to -1.50% wlefever
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% VirosaGits
-0.51% to -0.75% alh
-0.26% to -0.50% ezeminer

+0.01% to +0.25% kenscho
+0.26% to +0.50% lolxxxx
+0.51% to +0.75% edonkey
+0.76% to +1.00% mavericklm
+1.01% to +1.25% valkir
+1.26% to +1.50% HerbPean
+1.51% to +1.75% tss
+1.76% to +2.00% Mikestang
+2.01% to +2.25% Amph
+2.26% to +2.50% jonnybravo0311
+2.51% to +2.75% Kexkey
+2.76% to +3.00% EnternalWingsofGod
+3.01% to +3.25% wpt1wpt1
+3.26% to +3.50% notlist3d
+3.51% to +3.75% zebedee

Amph

legendary

Activity: 3248

Merit: 1070

Quote from: notlist3d on August 13, 2015, 11:21:40 PM

Quote from: EternalWingsofGod on August 13, 2015, 06:03:01 PM

Quote from: notlist3d on August 13, 2015, 12:19:59 PM

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,278,300,501 (+3.00%)
Adjust time:    After 1214 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):    400,652,642 GH/s

Still early but not horrible increase. Would like the 1-2 area but not to bad.

Price around 265 so it could be better there.

It's still fairly volatile as 30 or so blocks caused the market prediction drop a fair bit but 1-2% seems likely

Bitcoin Difficulty: 52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty: 53,947,369,753 (+2.37%)
Adjust time: After 1182 Blocks, About 8.0 days
Hashrate(?): 388,919,321 GH/s

Very true a lot can happen with around 8 day's left. A shift one way or another or luck currently has more variance then it will at end when all is settled.

Price is dropping to around 261 so still price not going where we would like it.

it will drop for sure, diff always follow the price, with a bit of a delay, so i'm not going to win this Grin

, i think it will drop around 1%

alh

legendary

Activity: 1846

Merit: 1052

Your late night update from Minnesota:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,128,144,551 (+2.71%)
Adjust time:    After 1150 Blocks, About 7.7 days
Hashrate(?):    383,059,529 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.9 minutes

Updated:    23:50 (6.0 minutes ago)

BTC price: $261

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: EternalWingsofGod on August 13, 2015, 06:03:01 PM

Quote from: notlist3d on August 13, 2015, 12:19:59 PM

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,278,300,501 (+3.00%)
Adjust time:    After 1214 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):    400,652,642 GH/s

Still early but not horrible increase. Would like the 1-2 area but not to bad.

Price around 265 so it could be better there.

It's still fairly volatile as 30 or so blocks caused the market prediction drop a fair bit but 1-2% seems likely

Bitcoin Difficulty: 52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty: 53,947,369,753 (+2.37%)
Adjust time: After 1182 Blocks, About 8.0 days
Hashrate(?): 388,919,321 GH/s

Very true a lot can happen with around 8 day's left. A shift one way or another or luck currently has more variance then it will at end when all is settled.

Price is dropping to around 261 so still price not going where we would like it.

EternalWingsofGod

hero member

Activity: 700

Merit: 500

Quote from: notlist3d on August 13, 2015, 12:19:59 PM

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,278,300,501 (+3.00%)
Adjust time:    After 1214 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):    400,652,642 GH/s

Still early but not horrible increase. Would like the 1-2 area but not to bad.

Price around 265 so it could be better there.

It's still fairly volatile as 30 or so blocks caused the market prediction drop a fair bit but 1-2% seems likely

Bitcoin Difficulty: 52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty: 53,947,369,753 (+2.37%)
Adjust time: After 1182 Blocks, About 8.0 days
Hashrate(?): 388,919,321 GH/s

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

-1.51% to -1.75% TheAnalogKid
-1.26% to -1.50% wlefever
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% VirosaGits
-0.51% to -0.75% alh
-0.26% to -0.50% ezeminer

+0.01% to +0.25% kenscho
+0.26% to +0.50% lolxxxx
+0.51% to +0.75% edonkey
+0.76% to +1.00% mavericklm
+1.01% to +1.25% valkir
+1.26% to +1.50% HerbPean
+1.51% to +1.75% tss
+1.76% to +2.00% Mikestang
+2.01% to +2.25% Amph
+2.26% to +2.50% jonnybravo0311
+2.51% to +2.75% Kexkey
+2.76% to +3.00% EnternalWingsofGod
+3.01% to +3.25% wpt1wpt1
+3.26% to +3.50% notlist3d
+3.51% to +3.75% zebedee

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,278,300,501 (+3.00%)
Adjust time:    After 1214 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):    400,652,642 GH/s

Still early but not horrible increase. Would like the 1-2 area but not to bad.

Price around 265 so it could be better there.

zebedee

donator

Activity: 668

Merit: 500

+3.51% to +3.75% please

Topic: Diff thread Aug 8 to Aug 22nd picks are closed. Good luck! - page 5. (Read 7070 times)