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Topic: Diff thread Aug 8 to Aug 22nd picks are closed. Good luck! (Read 7012 times)

legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
full member
Activity: 237
Merit: 100
Smile while thinking.
Congrats EternalWingsOfGod for guessing the correct range Smiley.  +2.95%

WOOT
I finally caught one been close a few times but it's always been a tease Smiley
(Address in profile is good but 12Ui3ssnJK71akxAgvVM3WtLa2EHidT3Xn in case you wanted it posted here too)


Congrats EternalWingsOfGod!  That was close, 0.05% more and ...

Thanks again to Phil and Suchmoon for the play during the war going on in the Bitcoin community...

legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
Congrats EternalWingsOfGod for guessing the correct range Smiley.  +2.95%

WOOT
I finally caught one been close a few times but it's always been a tease Smiley
(Address in profile is good but 12Ui3ssnJK71akxAgvVM3WtLa2EHidT3Xn in case you wanted it posted here too)

Yep, it never hurts to double check. Here is your reward:

https://blockchain.info/tx/2d2d60195ddd6d2c5e6578b389a5601286405a4a011b3d97f4f17daf2626363f

Congrats again and thank you for participating.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
Congrats EternalWingsOfGod for guessing the correct range Smiley.  +2.95%

WOOT
I finally caught one been close a few times but it's always been a tease Smiley
(Address in profile is good but 12Ui3ssnJK71akxAgvVM3WtLa2EHidT3Xn in case you wanted it posted here too)
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
I will open the new thread sat morning.

legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
Congrats EternalWingsOfGod for guessing the correct range Smiley.  +2.95%

Figures, with a username like that Wink

Congratulations to the winner and please let me know your address for the reward.
sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 300
Err missed that by .05 much sorrow Cry
legendary
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1023
Mine at Jonny's Pool
Congrats EternalWingsOfGod for guessing the correct range Smiley.  +2.95%
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Its getting close to the end of this change.  Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    54,159,532,960 (+2.77%)
Adjust time:    After 17 Blocks, About 2.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    405,271,441 GH/s

And btc price is still down.  We can hope during next period it goes up.
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
370897 (Main Chain)   2015-08-21 18:14:24

370774 (Main Chain)   2015-08-21 00:30:28


124 blocks made  in 18.25 hours  110 is normal pace   so we are having a very strong finish

We have 47 blocks left

we may go over 3%
alh
legendary
Activity: 1843
Merit: 1050
I agree, I think the days of "stable/flat difficulty" are pretty much over. We might get a small decrease ithere is some kind of unexpected event, of if the price of BTC crashes to less than $200 and stay there for a week or more. There is just too much new hardware in the works to keep the lid on hashrate through the rest of the year.

I have no idea about 2016, as the next halving will start to loom ever larger then.
legendary
Activity: 1173
Merit: 1001
I think were going up up up to the end of this one. Almost 4.00% to close
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Looking like we will be at block 2016 around  11 pm friday eastern standard time.



https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty    (+2.18%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:   53,847,435,919 (+2.18%)
Adjust time:   After 78 Blocks, About 12.9 hours
Hashrate(?):   396,980,217 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.7 minutes
Updated:   10:25 (1.9 minutes ago)

look below

https://blockchain.info/blocks


370867 (Main Chain)  2015-08-21 14:31:07      
370774 (Main Chain)   2015-08-21 00:30:28

94 blocks today   in 14.5 hours     87 is normal    so we are finishing on an up note


we may go to +2.50%  or even +2.75%


the contestants below  all have a decent shot:

+2.01% to +2.25% Amph
+2.26% to +2.50% jonnybravo0311
+2.51% to +2.75% Kexkey
+2.76% to +3.00% EnternalWingsofGod
+3.01% to +3.25% wpt1wpt1
+3.26% to +3.50% notlist3d
+3.51% to +3.75% zebedee


I don't think we can go higher then +3.75%  even with a mad finish.


I think my +1.76% to +2.00% is looking pretty good.  I foresee a small downturn here at the end of this difficulty adjustment.
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
Looking like we will be at block 2016 around  11 pm friday eastern standard time.



https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty    (+2.18%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:   53,847,435,919 (+2.18%)
Adjust time:   After 78 Blocks, About 12.9 hours
Hashrate(?):   396,980,217 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.7 minutes
Updated:   10:25 (1.9 minutes ago)

look below

https://blockchain.info/blocks


370867 (Main Chain)  2015-08-21 14:31:07      
370774 (Main Chain)   2015-08-21 00:30:28

94 blocks today   in 14.5 hours     87 is normal    so we are finishing on an up note


we may go to +2.50%  or even +2.75%


the contestants below  all have a decent shot:

+2.01% to +2.25% Amph
+2.26% to +2.50% jonnybravo0311
+2.51% to +2.75% Kexkey
+2.76% to +3.00% EnternalWingsofGod
+3.01% to +3.25% wpt1wpt1
+3.26% to +3.50% notlist3d
+3.51% to +3.75% zebedee


I don't think we can go higher then +3.75%  even with a mad finish.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
For what it's worth I put it in meta about iTop ad, I hope they can move to a signature vs the click able ad that has been invading Bitmain threads. - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1158270.new#new *Edit now that nasty logo is gone for good Smiley.  Thanks suchmoon for providing exact rules broken.

And on btc price I sure hope it goes up in next month.  It shows how BTC is still early in it's adoption when one site can bring down the price this much. And also XT talk I think has some of the decline in price.  But that flash crash was just crazy, wish they would have had more in place to stop something like that from happening.
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
The LOGO below:






Has nothing to do with this post, but looks cool.




http://btc.blockr.io/charts

And the first four days  for this diff adjustment  pre China explosion.

 


Aug    8  2015   163     +19  but about +10 since part was last diff
Aug    9  2015   133      -11        so -1
Aug  10  2015    168     +24       So  +23
Aug  11  2015    170     +26         means we are + 49


And the 9 days after the China explosion.

Aug 12 2015   122      -22
Aug 13 2015   151      +7
Aug 14 2015   137       -7
Aug 15 2015   136       -8
Aug 16 2015   141       -3                     -33 after the explosion
Aug 17 2015   145       +1                     -32   "
Aug 18 2015   140       -4                      -36   "
Aug 19 2015   164      +20                     -16  "
Aug 20 2015    144      0                        -16  "

we are plus 36 blocks   with 157 left

so we made 1859  instead of 1823 we are now plus 1.97%

maybe 1 day left  maybe 1.1 or .9 days


looks to me to be plus  1.250% to 2.75%   will be our winner

legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
This is a little offtopic but I'm tired of seeing that iTop logo in so many posts.   It should be in the signature  not at top of each of their posts.   I don't think we would get away with posting an add at start of each post.  But again that is just me to.

It's not just you, I think it's in violation of #22 and/or #24:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/unofficial-list-of-official-bitcointalkorg-rules-guidelines-faq-703657
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
With the new S7 coming this one may be negative but the next one will be huge!

We don't know if the S7 will be soon or not.  Bitmain did announce the chip which I agree is big.  What I cant figure out is why a company that normally is quiet on development spoke out with it before S7 was released.  

As suchmoon pointed out, they did that with the S3. They announced the chip, then the S3 two weeks later.

History could repeat itself...

One question that is related is how did iTop beat Bitmain to posting it to forums?  Did they release specs in China first and iTop took it to this board right away?

Was odd to see third party post it before bitmain.

I think iTop is not the typical third party reseller.  But WTF do I know in this case absolutely nothing.

They are for sure in the game to grab attention.  I wondered how they got that information.   I still wonder if they got it from China being announced first and they posted quick or how they did it.  I can't find if it was released before they posted the specs.

This is a little offtopic but I'm tired of seeing that iTop logo in so many posts.   It should be in the signature  not at top of each of their posts.   I don't think we would get away with posting an add at start of each post.  But again that is just me to.

Difficulty is not horrible on bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    52,699,842,409
Estimated Next Difficulty:    53,391,316,193 (+1.31%)
Adjust time:    After 157 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?):    388,316,959 GH/s

Price is a different story around 232.  I wish I could have gotten some of that under 200 flash crash BTC.
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
With the new S7 coming this one may be negative but the next one will be huge!

We don't know if the S7 will be soon or not.  Bitmain did announce the chip which I agree is big.  What I cant figure out is why a company that normally is quiet on development spoke out with it before S7 was released.  

As suchmoon pointed out, they did that with the S3. They announced the chip, then the S3 two weeks later.

History could repeat itself...

One question that is related is how did iTop beat Bitmain to posting it to forums?  Did they release specs in China first and iTop took it to this board right away?

Was odd to see third party post it before bitmain.

I think iTop is not the typical third party reseller.  But WTF do I know in this case absolutely nothing.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
With the new S7 coming this one may be negative but the next one will be huge!

We don't know if the S7 will be soon or not.  Bitmain did announce the chip which I agree is big.  What I cant figure out is why a company that normally is quiet on development spoke out with it before S7 was released. 

As suchmoon pointed out, they did that with the S3. They announced the chip, then the S3 two weeks later.

History could repeat itself...

One question that is related is how did iTop beat Bitmain to posting it to forums?  Did they release specs in China first and iTop took it to this board right away?

Was odd to see third party post it before bitmain.
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