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Topic: Diff thread Oct 1 to Oct 14 picks are Closed. 2x bonus! + a surprise? - page 2. (Read 7558 times)

legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Ok everyone, time to switch your miners off and give Phil the chance to win this one.

Of course if we all do this then we might overshoot it, so I'm going to keep my miners plugged in just in case  Grin

Bitmain is doing their part in helping you.  They went so far wrong it is considered a delay even.   So they are trying to help you as much as they can.

One of my U3's chances are will zombie out during the night that is my help Smiley it is not near as much as bitmain helped.   And I like what Phil said a slow steady rise to 300 would be nice.  I'm hoping with less than year from having we have a slow steady increase for a long period.
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
Ok everyone, time to switch your miners off and give Phil the chance to win this one.

Of course if we all do this then we might overshoot it, so I'm going to keep my miners plugged in just in case  Grin
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Price is just a tad over 250! Hopefully it will continue and go above.  But hard to tell yet if will stay or go back under in 240's.

Interesting to watch though. And good to see upward movement.

nice and slow rise to 300
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Price is just a tad over 250! Hopefully it will continue and go above.  But hard to tell yet if will stay or go back under in 240's.

Interesting to watch though. And good to see upward movement.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015    158 ------------  +14         +5
10/5/2015    151-------------  +7          +12 total
10/6/2015    146 ------------  +2           +14 total
10/7/2015    132 ------------ -12               +2 total
10/8/2015    137 ------------  -7                -5 total
10/9/2015    132 ------------ -12               -17
10/10/2015  154 ------------ +10               -7
10/11/2015  153 ------------ +9                 +2
10/12/2015   134 ----------- -10                  -8
10/13/2015   136 ----------- -8                  -16

we have made 1797 blocks  we should have made 1813  we are currently  (-0.882%)

 and still neg




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty    (-0.60%)


Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,448,891,523 (-0.60%)
Adjust time:   After 219 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?):   443,237,364 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.7 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   


with 219 blocks left maybe the 15th  not the 14th for new diff
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,756,962,049 (-0.09%)
Adjust time:    After 333 Blocks, About 2.4 days

yeyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

Philipma1957, i hope you win!  Cheesy

I do too!   Grin

This will be a nail biter. Good luck to whoever does win whether it be this week or next.

I would love for him to win aswell.   Would be great to see him win it with using same one each week.  If he wins that would make his guess better then my speculation.

Makes me feel stupid Smiley.  But in this case I would happily feel stupid.  And with a neg really we would all win.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1118
Lie down. Have a cookie
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,756,962,049 (-0.09%)
Adjust time:    After 333 Blocks, About 2.4 days

yeyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

Philipma1957, i hope you win!  Cheesy

I do too!   Grin

This will be a nail biter. Good luck to whoever does win whether it be this week or next.
member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,756,962,049 (-0.09%)
Adjust time:    After 333 Blocks, About 2.4 days

yeyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

Philipma1957, i hope you win!  Cheesy

I do too!   Grin
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
bitmaintech had to take a lot offline and pack it to ship

https://blockchain.info/blocks


378727 (Main Chain)   2015-10-13 17:32:54

378637 (Main Chain)   2015-10-13 00:01:39



91 blocks made today   in 17 hours and 40 minutes  6 x 17 = 102 + 4 = 106    so 91 is -15  we could be at 125 to 130 for the day.


-1 is looming.


 
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Just looking better and better:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,360,860,066 (-0.74%)
Adjust time:    After 294 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?):    440,834,274 GH/s

So bitwisdom is going down and down.  So good week before S7's give us that bad  bump.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
What a nice surprise to see such a low / possibly negative adjustment!  Just shows how random it can be as Bitcoin price has actually broken $250 and we're staying relatively flat on difficulty.

yeah I was surprised to see this   and it looks like we will stay pretty good we at 300 blocks left and bitcoinwisdom finally is reflecting the neg numbers I have been talking about.  with only 300 blocks left we are in nice shape.

(-0.62%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  


Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   60,434,059,435 (-0.62%)
Adjust time:   After 300 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?):   439,269,112 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.3 minutes
3 blocks: 30.8 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   
legendary
Activity: 1174
Merit: 1001
What a nice surprise to see such a low / possibly negative adjustment!  Just shows how random it can be as Bitcoin price has actually broken $250 and we're staying relatively flat on difficulty.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Estimated Next Difficulty:    60,756,962,049 (-0.09%)
Adjust time:    After 333 Blocks, About 2.4 days

yeyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

Philipma1957, i hope you win!  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015    158 ------------  +14         +5
10/5/2015    151-------------  +7          +12 total
10/6/2015    146 ------------  +2           +14 total
10/7/2015    132 ------------ -12               +2 total
10/8/2015    137 ------------  -7                -5 total
10/9/2015    132 ------------ -12               -17
10/10/2015  154 ------------ +10               -7
10/11/2015  153 ------------ +9                 +2
10/12/2015   134 ----------- -10                  -8


we have made 1659  blocks  we should have made 1667  we are currently  (-0.4799%)


back to neg!




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty      (+0.32%)   a little higher  then the real number above.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   61,006,629,901 (+0.32%)
Adjust time:   After 357 Blocks, About 2.5 days
Hashrate(?):   438,219,187 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   22:30 (5.4 minutes ago)

357 blocks left

so 2-3 days  closer to 2 day left.  We could jump as much as 1% for 2 straight days and end at +1.5%

If you read the thread for the s-7  some buyers say gear is due them on weds the 14th.

So maybe we are flat on the 13th and move more on the 14th.

All in all this was a lot less then I thought we would do.

top contenders are :





-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it

-0.51% to  -0.75%   Questor
-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.01% to +0.25%  Lboss
+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50



I think Lboss is going to win or maybe Dexter770221
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Well maybe along with a 7% or 8% jump oct 15 to oct 29 maybe coins go over  275 which would be  about a 10% jump.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
and with only 378 blocks left we may be unable to go a lot over 1%

I really like the sound of that.  A 1 percent change considering it's a arms race going on with asics is really amazing.   

Sometime though the rest of B1 S7 that did not ship will be made, and B2/3.   But I highly doubt they go out in 3 day's on batch 2/3 "Oct. 15 ~ 25 (if shipped out 10 days later than it, it won't be considered as delay ).".  But there is a wave coming with S7's.

Next adj will be nasty

Probably like something we haven't seen in a while.

Most likely as it should be more then a single batch going out, which even sounds scary.  Only thing that gives a little hope is B2/B3 are still open.... so a tad bit of hope since did not sell out.

But B2/3 price was looking nice at a point and I think grabbed some people to buy one with one of those coupons for 100 off.  But with recent S7 compensation sales I think will slow down (chances are already did).

But I would agree next one will look ugly.  Possibly one after it depending on shipping.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1118
Lie down. Have a cookie
and with only 378 blocks left we may be unable to go a lot over 1%

I really like the sound of that.  A 1 percent change considering it's a arms race going on with asics is really amazing.   

Sometime though the rest of B1 S7 that did not ship will be made, and B2/3.   But I highly doubt they go out in 3 day's on batch 2/3 "Oct. 15 ~ 25 (if shipped out 10 days later than it, it won't be considered as delay ).".  But there is a wave coming with S7's.

Next adj will be nasty

Probably like something we haven't seen in a while.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
and with only 378 blocks left we may be unable to go a lot over 1%

I really like the sound of that.  A 1 percent change considering it's a arms race going on with asics is really amazing.   

Sometime though the rest of B1 S7 that did not ship will be made, and B2/3.   But I highly doubt they go out in 3 day's on batch 2/3 "Oct. 15 ~ 25 (if shipped out 10 days later than it, it won't be considered as delay ).".  But there is a wave coming with S7's.

Next adj will be nasty
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
and with only 378 blocks left we may be unable to go a lot over 1%

I really like the sound of that.  A 1 percent change considering it's a arms race going on with asics is really amazing.   

Sometime though the rest of B1 S7 that did not ship will be made, and B2/3.   But I highly doubt they go out in 3 day's on batch 2/3 "Oct. 15 ~ 25 (if shipped out 10 days later than it, it won't be considered as delay ).".  But there is a wave coming with S7's.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
It's pretty amazing that we haven't seen a huge single bump in diff like we all expected going back an adjustment or two.  I guess the roll out of all the new hardware was more staged than anticipated, it wasn't like someone just threw the ON switch and added multi-PH to the network.

Difficulty speculation continues to be entertaining, let's see what the winter brings!

I think this means batch 2/3 of S7's are not made yet.  They are shipping all  they can to not have to compensate (even though its a crappy compensation).  But I think there is a data center that is ready to be filled up with a ton of S7's.

I could be wrong and they are already on the network.  But I still think batch 2/3 will have a little bump in difficulty (a 5 percent or so week whenever they do get them online).  Or that's what I speculate atleast.

maybe so well anyhow with 23 hours and 29 minutes gone  we should be at 141 blocks for the day.

we are at 136  which means we may stay under 140 for the day.

https://blockchain.info/blocks

378630 (Main Chain)   2015-10-12 23:03:14

378495 (Main Chain)   2015-10-12 00:03:14

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (+0.40%)   ------- we are  a little lower as of now.


Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   61,056,925,208 (+0.40%)
Adjust time:   After 378 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?):   432,496,205 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   19:30 (50.0 seconds ago)


and with only 378 blocks left we may be unable to go a lot over 1%
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