Topic: Diff thread Oct 1 to Oct 14 picks are Closed. 2x bonus! + a surprise? - page 4. (Read 7614 times)

The only thing I wonder is what is happening with this old gear?  Seems like it would be good enough they would not want to trash it.   I guess they might do upgrade kits as it's their own data center.

It does make sense though that they would want the 1/2 power costs.  It's all about being low cost at this point.

well so far the diff is still neg in real time.

today we did this

https://blockchain.info/blocks

378134 (Main Chain)   2015-10-09 13:14:34

378063 (Main Chain)   2015-10-09 00:06:47

this is 71 blocks in the time we should have done 79

that is neg 8  we were neg 5  so we are neg 13

we have made 1141 blocks we should be at 1154 blocks


so we  are -1.12%   with 875 blocks left.

If we use this current number right now I win but no surprise for me.

Seriously I am interpreting  all this and what I get is Bitfury KNC SP-Tech have not deployed much new gear or they are doing what I say every asic builder does.
That is take old gear that sucks power offline  say a 1000 watt 2th machine gets replaced by a 600 watt 2.1th machine  so that builder has a tiny bit more hash and way less power  used. Thus profits rise.

   I guess it is a good thing if this is continued this way. 

I still say we end up between -1 and + 1 this time.
I could use this as it makes my s-7's pretty nice gear.

Could it be bitmain shipping off some S7 batch 1's before weekend?  If they did this it would save them from compensation.

Still amazed some people are waiting on batch one.  I'm hoping batch 2-3 does not shoot up a lot when they go to.  Good thing is amount focused on antrouter as it is so little of hash.

We know some are getting  shipped: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.12640702

Would be very nice but i very much doubt so. There's still sadly still 1 week left and now more S7 will start getting online. The BTC price is decent. Winter is coming. I don't see much factors that would make the hashrate drop.

It already seem to be spiking upward with the last graph update. Its going to start being rough profiting with our older hardware.

Hell yeah!
3 months of only positive diff, time for a negative?

Picks are closed.

Final picks are below:


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it

-0.51% to  -0.75%   Questor
-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.01% to +0.25%  Lboss
+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.01% to + 6.25% tarmi -----------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.26% to + 6.50% dukeneptun
+6.51% to + 6.75% EternalWings ofGod
+6.76% to + 7.00% Kexkey
+7.01% to + 7.25% cakir


http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015    158 ------------  +14         +5
10/5/2015    151-------------  +7          +12 total
10/6/2015    146 ------------  +2           +14 total
10/7/2015    132 ------------ -12               +2 total
10/8/2015     137 ------------  -7                -5 total
10/9/2015




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.36%)  not bad but it is a prediction  and we are short of that number right now


Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   62,250,687,257 (+2.36%)
Adjust time:   After 933 Blocks
Hashrate(?):   427,253,222 GH/s



with 1083 made  and 1090  normal pace we are neg!


-0.64%  is real time number!  amazing


with 933 block left there is time for this to move higher then the current   -0.6   but to reach + 2.36% by Weds morning may not be possible.
   I actually can see a negative   -1 to + 1
  as the most likely numbers to happen.

Night bitwisdom looks not bad at all:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:    62,172,827,360 (+2.24%)
Adjust time:    After 934 Blocks, About 6.5 days
Hashrate(?):    427,186,774 GH/s

I am afraid of the next few weeks how many S7's come online.  That will be interesting.

Picks are closed.

Final picks are below:


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it

-0.51% to  -0.75%   Questor
-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.01% to +0.25%  Lboss
+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.01% to + 6.25% tarmi -----------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.26% to + 6.50% dukeneptun
+6.51% to + 6.75% EternalWings ofGod
+6.76% to + 7.00% Kexkey
+7.01% to + 7.25% cakir


http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015    158 ------------  +14         +5
10/5/2015    151-------------  +7          +12 total
10/6/2015    146 ------------  +2           +14 total
10/7/2015    132 ------------ -12               +2 total
10/8/2015      ?
10/9/2015




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.01%)  not bad


Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   62,035,571,674 (+2.01%)
Adjust time:   After 988 Blocks, About 6.9 days
Hashrate(?):   428,953,222 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.3 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours


prices = 242 usd

we are looking okay for the day


https://blockchain.info/blocks


   
378020 (Main Chain)   2015-10-08 16:58:15

377923 (Main Chain)   2015-10-08 00:15:25

that is 98 blocks in 17 hours  we should be at 102  so we are at a 139 block pace.  This would get us under  0 for the first 1100 blocks.

Yeah we will pick up, but if shipping really picks up on the 9th the gear will not be in place until tue the 13th  so we could see -1 to +2 this jump.

picks are closed

I'm hoping it stays close to this.  I would be very happy with low 2's.  Or even mid 2's.

But I'm not sure what will happen at end of chinese holiday.  Could see a jump from new machine in S7's.

The other cat is getting excited! But I told her that a lot could happen in a week...

Picks are open.


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it

-0.51% to  -0.75%   Questor
-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.01% to +0.25%  Lboss
+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.01% to + 6.25% tarmi -----------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.26% to + 6.50% dukeneptun
+6.51% to + 6.75% EternalWings ofGod
+6.76% to + 7.00% Kexkey
+7.01% to + 7.25% cakir


http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015    158 ------------  +14         +5
10/5/2015    151-------------  +7          +12 total
10/6/2015    146 ------------  +2           +14 total
10/7/2015    132 ------------ -12               +2 total
10/8/2015      ?
10/9/2015




https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.28%)  not bad


Bitcoin Difficulty:   60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:   62,199,308,496 (+2.28%)
Adjust time:   After 1037 Blocks, About 7.3 days  -------------- 979 blocks made
Hashrate(?):   428,316,791 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   5:20 (5.6 minutes ago)

and price is 244 usd also not bad.

-0.51% to  -0.75%   Questor

'morning from Romania!

Estimated Next Difficulty:    62,737,274,586 (+3.16%)
Adjust time:    After 1054 Blocks, About 7.3 days

looks ok-ish
at least is not +10%...yet...

 I bolded  your  bet on 0  comment   ,  at the end of oct 7th  we near 0  !  of course that is about the ½ mark


We made 949 blocks  and we should be at 947 blocks thus real time diff is now (0.21%)  

So picking 0 right now is not that dumb.  in fact we have more then a few low numbers worth picking.




-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it


-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.01% to +0.25%  Lboss
+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
^^^^^
we are booked solid until over 7


But on the low side

we have the long shot    0

we also have  -0.51%  to -0.75%
and we have  -0.76%  to -1.00%

we us at +0.21 % as I type    the numbers above could hit.

Bitwisdom does not look bad:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:    63,090,663,373 (+3.74%)
Adjust time:    After 1071 Blocks, About 7.3 days
Hashrate(?):    436,382,996 GH/s

Guess we will see after China holiday what it does.  Coin was higher but 244 is not bad, at least were over 240 mark.

Those S7's are probably already mining for Bitmain right now.  So it's going to be a change of ownership of 1.6 PH/s, not 1.6 PH/s more on the network.

Well if I were Bitmain, I wouldn't make those S7's sleep in the backstore until they're sold.   

Picks are open.


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it
-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.01% to +0.25%  Lboss
+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.01% to + 6.25% tarmi -----------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.26% to + 6.50% dukeneptun
+6.51% to + 6.75% EternalWings ofGod
+6.76% to + 7.00% Kexkey
+7.01% to + 7.25% cakir


http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015    158 ------------  +14         +5
10/5/2015    151-------------  +7          +12 total
10/6/2015    146 ------------  +2           +14 total
10/7/2015    132 ------------ -12               +2 total
10/8/2015
10/9/2015



And with about 940 blocks made we are really close to 0

It really is a nuisance cheap way to duplicate txts then send them twice
The transaction confirms either way and doesn't cause a double spend since the blockchain reads the first input, but that second one stays in the mempool for a while.

This topic provides better details
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1198032.0;topicseen

Back to difficulity looks like it went down for a bit (always 0 as a pick) for someone who wants to bet on the impossibilu one haha.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty: 62,609,953,578 (+2.95%)  
Adjust time: After 1085 Blocks, About 7.5 days  

I'm picking +7.01% to + 7.25%

On the 10th of October Hashnest will start customers' S7 machines. 333 sold so far, that means 1.6 PHs. Also shipped S7's will be active too. (I would choose between 4 to 5% but all seats are taken )