Topic: Diff thread Oct 1 to Oct 14 picks are Closed. 2x bonus! + a surprise? - page 6. (Read 7614 times)

I think this rise we're seeing right now is what we were expecting to see the last two adjustment periods.  I'm guessing we underestimated how long it would take mines to unbox, install, and configure the new hardware and it's only just now coming online.  Batch 2 and 3 of the S7 will probably show their hash in another 4 weeks or so.

Until Bitfury has a completed and working facility I don't put much weight behind claims of this and that.  Put up or shut up, as they say.  With the halving coming soon anything not online yesterday is going to have a hard time justifying expenses, especially something the size of the alleged Exahash facility.  And with the fact that difficulty cannot change by more than a factor of 4 each period it would take several adjustment periods for the diff to catch up if a facility like that was simply switched on at once.

They are saying that they want to open a new facility with 100MW capacity. Their new hardware will be less than 0.1W/GH. So yes, they alone will be able to put over 1 Exahash into bitcoin hashrate (over 200% increase in diff). Even if this take a year to complete it means ~40PH of hashrate added every diff adjustment.

I hope not either no offense .  I was hoping for a week of 2 or so with China having a holiday.  But seems my wish is not happening.

Anyone have a good idea where this hash is coming from?  Are S7's hitting peoples door's from batch one on ones that did not get it yet?  Something is happening for 4 percent (lets hope variance and goes down)

lol hey!  There's no free spot for me! 

+6.76% to + 7.00% Kexkey

Hopefully I don't win.   

Thanks!

Bitfury was always around 15-20% for the day for the last few months or so. KNCMiner was always around 5-10%.

When Bitfury turns on their new gear, we will know it for sure since they are saying the total hashrate will exceed 1,000,000,000 Hash/s.

Im sure they are working overtime to get it up and running since each day costs them hundreds of thousands of dollars.

I hope bitfury did not kick in more hash.   Add the S7's to come this likely could hurt on difficulty changes.    I have it's variance.

Only good news is btc price has been really steady were talking 238-239 for a few weeks at this point?  So we are seeing some stability on price. If we could only get some low difficulty changes now.

by the looks of it .. its bitfury!.. they are currently with 20 % of the blocks for the day.  Makes sense since they have there 16nm under there belts.  ugh. looks like my guess was a bit conservative

well if this keeps up maybe it wasnt variance after all.. May have to revive the 100 peta thread

Best Regards
d57heinz

6.51 to 6.75 %
The top one at present will be interesting to see if it rises more (tssk one round off now its moving  )

Bitcoin Difficulty: 60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty: 64,275,151,463 (+5.69%) 
Adjust time: After 1457 Blocks, About 9.7 days 

+6.26% to + 6.50%

I think some new blood will come but I'm not sure if it's enough for this increase.

well a price crash may help but I have a lot of money out at risk.

3 s-7's  and about 5 btc left on a contract with bitmaintech.

thats is around 29 coins. and 2 btc in sidehack sticks so I am over 31 coins in gear at the moment .

not sure I want a price crash.

Estimated Next Difficulty:    64,372,590,544 (+5.85%)
Adjust time:    After 1475 Blocks, About 9.8 days

wooooot! going for +6%!!!!

It makes you wonder of the hardware volume the other companies are Onlining. We're pretty much stalking and basing many analysis about what Bitmain will online next but the truth is i don't even think 51%+ of the hashrate comes from Antminers.

And while most companies are telling us home miner to fuck off, they are most likely thriving behind closed doors. Ugh.

Currently not looking too good. Probably will be at least +5%. I guess the shipping delays didn't stop the hashrate increase.

Picks are open.


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it
-0.26% to  -0.50%  ezeminer   ---------thanks for click'n'drag format
-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+6.01% to + 6.25% tarmi -----------------thanks for click'n'drag format

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.  
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015      ?


https://blockchain.info/blocks

377489 (Main Chain)   2015-10-04 23:00:58

377342 (Main Chain)   2015-10-04 00:08:38

148 blocks in 23 hours  so the pace is picking up

-0.26% to -0.50% ezeminer

+6.01% to + 6.25% tarmi

Picks are open.


-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu --------------thanks for click'n'drag format
-1.01% to  -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it

-0.01% to  -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.   
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9
10/4/2015      ?

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu

Picks are open.



-1.01% to -1.25%   philipma1957 ---- I would only get the 0.2 btc - no surprise for me  @ biodom fixed it

-0.01% to -0.25%  GreatNorthData

+0.26% to + 0.50% Dexter770221
+0.51% to + 0.75% Last of the V8s --------thanks for click'n'drag format
+0.76% to + 1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to + 1.25% mavericklm ------------thanks for easy click'n'drag  format
+1.26% to + 1.50% tss ---------------------thanks for click'n'drag format
+1.51% to + 1.75% valkir
+1.76% to + 2.00% adaseb  ---  note correction from +1.75%
+2.01% to + 2.25% HerbPean ----------note correction from 2.01 to 2.50
+2.26% to + 2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to + 2.75% notlist3d
+2.75% to + 3.00% majestyimage
+3.01% to + 3.25% wlefever
+3.26% to + 3.50% Biodom
+3.51% to + 3.75% d57heinz
+3.76% to + 4.00%  flikflak ----thanks for formatting it as click n drag
+4.01% to + 4.25% wpt1wpt1
+4.26% to + 4.50% sloopy
+4.51% to + 4.75% Mikestang
+4.76% to + 5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to + 5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to + 5.50% jonnybravo0311
+5.51% to + 5.75% zebedee
+5.76% to + 6.00% RichBC ---------------thanks for click'n'drag format

http://btc.blockr.io/charts


10/1/2015    153------------   + 9  about + 4 for this adjustment period.   
10/2/2015    130 ------------   -14                      so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015    145 ------------ + 1         so we are near -9



we have done 371 blocks  should be 380    this is  -2.63%  the 'real time' number as of this post


 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+4.05%)   the future prediction  is a lot higher then -2.63 real time.



https://blockchain.info/blocks

377416 (Main Chain)   2015-10-04 12:23:28
377342 (Main Chain)   2015-10-04 00:08:38

75 blocks made should be 76  in 12 hours and 23 min    so we are pacing at 143 for the day



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