Diff thread Oct 1 to Oct 14 picks are Closed. 2x bonus! + a surprise? - page 9.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 02, 2015, 10:16:05 PM

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10/1/2015 153------------ + 9 ___--------- about + 4 for this adjustment period.
10/2/2015 130 ------------ -14 so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015
10/4/2015

we have made 217 blocks we should be 231 so the real time number = (-6.06%)

frankly pretty far away from bitcoinwisdom. but the Chinese holiday must have lowered some hashing a lot.

My guess is we pick up on Tues or Weds.

That is pretty amazing. Wow that is a complete change on hashing. Guess we can hope for more Chinese holiday's to help hash.

Sadly after holiday I have a feeling next batch's of S7 will be coming pretty soon. Assuming it all works right for them. Which we know it was not 100 percent since they had some gear not hit the right hash.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: mavericklm on October 02, 2015, 10:17:34 PM

bitcoinwisdom.com   62698580608   3.1%
bitcoincharts.com   60674559397   -0.2%
mining-profit.com   54731901635   -10%
Shocked

negative for sure?

No but we can hope for a negative. picks will open sat morning in 10-12 hours or so. we have 221 in and 79 to go.

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

bitcoinwisdom.com   62698580608   3.1%
bitcoincharts.com   60674559397   -0.2%
mining-profit.com   54731901635   -10%
Shocked

negative for sure?

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10/1/2015 153------------ + 9 ___--------- about + 4 for this adjustment period.
10/2/2015 130 ------------ -14 so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10
10/3/2015
10/4/2015

we have made 217 blocks we should be 231 so the real time number = (-6.06%)

frankly pretty far away from bitcoinwisdom. but the Chinese holiday must have lowered some hashing a lot.

My guess is we pick up on Tues or Weds.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Night bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:    62,647,168,085 (+3.02%)
Adjust time:    After 1799 Blocks, About 12.4 days
Hashrate(?):    435,821,900 GH/s

So went down slightly from earlier today. Price really 237-238 most of day. We really have been pretty steady on price for a week or so.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Bitwisdom slowly going down:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    60,813,224,039
Estimated Next Difficulty:    62,717,302,528 (+3.13%)
Adjust time:    After 1837 Blocks, About 12.6 days
Hashrate(?):    439,673,341 GH/s

Hopefully this continues over next few day's. I really want to see a 2 percent change again.

Mikestang

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Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

Quote from: notlist3d on October 01, 2015, 10:45:32 PM

The interesting thing about this time period is it currently being a holiday in China. I was surprised to see 3-4 percent. I was hoping that we might see even smaller as no new miners should be built during this period.

And I could be a idiot and bitmain might be filling up S7's in a data center during the holiday to test. Just waiting till after holiday to ship. Not sure what to think with current difficulty.

Mostly everyone expected the last adjustment period to be a much larger gain, will this be the one that we were afraid of? I wonder how many S7s Bitmain is keeping for themselves vs. selling to the public. Maybe they are replacing hash for hash rather than machine for machine and becoming more efficient (lower power costs, more profits) without unnecessarily increasing difficulty? Could be a viable plan to maximize income by minimizing expenses rather than brute force hash increase.

EternalWingsofGod

hero member

Activity: 700

Merit: 500

Quote from: zebedee on October 01, 2015, 11:18:11 PM

Lulz, blockr.io has:

Next difficulty (estimate)
51,384,481,271.24

-15.50% change to current
1933 blocks until difficulty changes

I had to read that twice to make sure I saw correctly
If only that would happen
And props to donkey for bragging rights and a cat that can predict bitcoin difficulty, I guess I haven't seen it all

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: zebedee on October 01, 2015, 11:18:11 PM

Lulz, blockr.io has:

Next difficulty (estimate)
51,384,481,271.24

-15.50% change to current
1933 blocks until difficulty changes

I would like to see that.

zebedee

donator

Activity: 668

Merit: 500

Lulz, blockr.io has:

Next difficulty (estimate)
51,384,481,271.24

-15.50% change to current
1933 blocks until difficulty changes

d57heinz

legendary

Activity: 1453

Merit: 1011

Bitcoin Talks Bullshit Walks

Quote from: notlist3d on October 01, 2015, 10:45:32 PM

The interesting thing about this time period is it currently being a holiday in China. I was surprised to see 3-4 percent. I was hoping that we might see even smaller as no new miners should be built during this period.

And I could be a idiot and bitmain might be filling up S7's in a data center during the holiday to test. Just waiting till after holiday to ship. Not sure what to think with current difficulty.

its making me think back to that thread i posted about the 100 peta jump.. just wonder if they decided to ease it in rather than dump it on all at once.. looks like another 10 peta online at f2pool. seems maybe they are either expanding or someone using there pool to test new hw possibly.. F2Pool 24.16 % 108.05 PHs src.. https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/pool?pool_mode=day again reason i dont think its variance is i dont see antpool jump 10 -15 peta up and down with variance.. Maybe just a couple at most..

Best Regards
d57heinz

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

The interesting thing about this time period is it currently being a holiday in China. I was surprised to see 3-4 percent. I was hoping that we might see even smaller as no new miners should be built during this period.

And I could be a idiot and bitmain might be filling up S7's in a data center during the holiday to test. Just waiting till after holiday to ship. Not sure what to think with current difficulty.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10/1/2015 153------------ + 9 ___--------- about + 4 for this adjustment period.
10/2/2015
10/3/2015
10/4/2015

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

I will add a surprise bonus to the winner of this round. So 0.2 btc and a surprise makes it a round to win.

new thread picks open in a day or so. link to the old one is here.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/diff-thread-sept-17th-to-sept-30th-picks-are-closed-1183709

we have a 2x bonus due to edonkey and his cats thanks. prize will be 0.20 btc!

we made ~~159~~ 153 blocks on oct 1
that is 15 9 over but about ⅝ was on the last diff so we are maybe 4 over early in the game

.https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+3.66%)

with 1941 to go so we have made 75 blocks.

remember picks start block 300. this is same as block 1716 to go.

Topic: Diff thread Oct 1 to Oct 14 picks are Closed. 2x bonus! + a surprise? - page 9. (Read 7614 times)