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Topic: Difficulty jumps 28% - page 4. (Read 11479 times)

legendary
Activity: 1876
Merit: 1003
June 16, 2013, 11:28:04 PM
#68
so when is next diff jump??

19339258.00    19877609.94    2.78%    13d 13hr 36m 10s

http://allchains.info/
Four hours have passed and it is now reading as: 11d 7hr 37m 3s

No doubt it will shrink even further to less than 7 days.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
June 16, 2013, 07:11:04 PM
#67
so when is next diff jump??

19339258.00    19877609.94    2.78%    13d 13hr 36m 10s

http://allchains.info/
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
June 16, 2013, 06:52:44 PM
#66
so when is next diff jump??
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
June 16, 2013, 02:49:23 AM
#65
mostly newbie talk, but interesting none the less Wink
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
June 16, 2013, 12:59:24 AM
#64
Personally, I paid for my asic in $ (which I converted to BTC) so I don't care if I earn the BTC back or not, only the $.
If I had paid in BTC (say I earned through mining) then it would be a different story.

I see this a lot, and I think it's kind of a fallacy: You made the decision to buy when BTC was a certain price, and the math told you that you would make back more BTC than you invested. Effectively, you gave up that amount of $ that you could have invested in BTC alone. If you don't earn back the BTC from the miner that you paid on it, it is a worse investment than just buying the BTC in the first place.

This "if you had kept the BTC..." thing.

I like mining, and have always sold half (or, preferably, directly buy stuff with them) and kept half.

the point of bitcoins is to USE them.
full member
Activity: 131
Merit: 100
June 15, 2013, 11:47:03 PM
#63
Personally, I paid for my asic in $ (which I converted to BTC) so I don't care if I earn the BTC back or not, only the $.
If I had paid in BTC (say I earned through mining) then it would be a different story.

I see this a lot, and I think it's kind of a fallacy: You made the decision to buy when BTC was a certain price, and the math told you that you would make back more BTC than you invested. Effectively, you gave up that amount of $ that you could have invested in BTC alone. If you don't earn back the BTC from the miner that you paid on it, it is a worse investment than just buying the BTC in the first place.

Yeah that's actually a good point now I think about it, maybe I'd have been better off just holding the coins :/
zvs
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1000
https://web.archive.org/web/*/nogleg.com
June 15, 2013, 10:00:25 PM
#62
Personally, I paid for my asic in $ (which I converted to BTC) so I don't care if I earn the BTC back or not, only the $.
If I had paid in BTC (say I earned through mining) then it would be a different story.

I see this a lot, and I think it's kind of a fallacy: You made the decision to buy when BTC was a certain price, and the math told you that you would make back more BTC than you invested. Effectively, you gave up that amount of $ that you could have invested in BTC alone. If you don't earn back the BTC from the miner that you paid on it, it is a worse investment than just buying the BTC in the first place.
tell 'em like it is, brother
legendary
Activity: 1620
Merit: 1000
news.8btc.com
June 15, 2013, 09:00:29 PM
#61
Avalon has sold more than 250T of chips. We are expecting 500T+ at the end of this year.
full member
Activity: 260
Merit: 100
June 15, 2013, 12:51:34 AM
#60
Personally, I paid for my asic in $ (which I converted to BTC) so I don't care if I earn the BTC back or not, only the $.
If I had paid in BTC (say I earned through mining) then it would be a different story.

I see this a lot, and I think it's kind of a fallacy: You made the decision to buy when BTC was a certain price, and the math told you that you would make back more BTC than you invested. Effectively, you gave up that amount of $ that you could have invested in BTC alone. If you don't earn back the BTC from the miner that you paid on it, it is a worse investment than just buying the BTC in the first place.
full member
Activity: 131
Merit: 100
June 14, 2013, 10:15:55 PM
#59
Personally, I paid for my asic in $ (which I converted to BTC) so I don't care if I earn the BTC back or not, only the $.
If I had paid in BTC (say I earned through mining) then it would be a different story.
full member
Activity: 220
Merit: 100
June 14, 2013, 06:00:54 PM
#58
You guys underestimate how long an ASIC can last after ROI. After I make back ROI in USD($1333), I will only be paying for electricity. Being conservative, say I get 60gh/s @ 300 watts. And I pay on average $0.07 cents per kw/h. The single will cost about $15/month in electricity. At $100/btc, difficulty could jump 300 times the next estimate(19mil) to around 5.7billion before I'm negative. That's a lot of petahashes.
You need to change your perspective from USD-centric to BTC-centric.
That way you'll realize, that while your machine paid in USD, it lost in BTC. [You could've profited more if you just bought the BTC for USD]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunk_costs
sr. member
Activity: 362
Merit: 250
June 14, 2013, 05:19:01 PM
#57
You guys underestimate how long an ASIC can last after ROI. After I make back ROI in USD($1333), I will only be paying for electricity. Being conservative, say I get 60gh/s @ 300 watts. And I pay on average $0.07 cents per kw/h. The single will cost about $15/month in electricity. At $100/btc, difficulty could jump 300 times the next estimate(19mil) to around 5.7billion before I'm negative. That's a lot of petahashes.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
June 14, 2013, 03:46:25 PM
#56
Looks like we are on target for 19.2M difficulty in a couple days...that would be a 23% increase from the current 15.6M. I think these 20+% jumps are the new "normal" for the next few months. As ASIC shipping becomes more "linear," the percent increases may gradually drop after 6 months or so, but it's going to be brutal for awhile.

The rate of increase should drop after December 2013.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
June 14, 2013, 03:45:54 PM
#55
I ve asked a refund of my BFL 5gh. By the time i ll get it the difficulty will be too high to make profit with it. Right now it would make sense. But in 6months ot more from now... absolutely not.

Me too. I got a refund for a little single. Difficulty will be 1 billion by the time I receive it.
full member
Activity: 260
Merit: 100
June 14, 2013, 08:51:14 AM
#54
Looks like we are on target for 19.2M difficulty in a couple days...that would be a 23% increase from the current 15.6M. I think these 20+% jumps are the new "normal" for the next few months. As ASIC shipping becomes more "linear," the percent increases may gradually drop after 6 months or so, but it's going to be brutal for awhile.
newbie
Activity: 32
Merit: 0
June 14, 2013, 06:36:40 AM
#53
I ve asked a refund of my BFL 5gh. By the time i ll get it the difficulty will be too high to make profit with it. Right now it would make sense. But in 6months ot more from now... absolutely not.
member
Activity: 73
Merit: 10
June 13, 2013, 02:37:06 PM
#52
illuminati took over btc!

I think we all know who these people are: Templars or even worse those damn Atlanteans from the lost continent. There can be no doubt about this.
hero member
Activity: 575
Merit: 500
June 13, 2013, 03:46:51 AM
#51
Current generation ASICs are like a 8086 (or lower), still LOTS of growth room in them!

hah, we are looking at a order of magnitude yes but don't compare early 80s tech with early 2000s tech (Avalon) and BFL on their 65nm is more 2005 era, BFL failed on power consumption but they are still a pointer to possible performance density for that node. You are looking at around 2x the density per full node shrink so you have 45 nm/32 nm left and then you are suddenly at 22 nm  and bleeding edge tech.
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
June 13, 2013, 02:06:40 AM
#50
also its winter here and my gpus are heating my room as they mine so i dont have to use my electric heater!

take that illuminati lol XDD
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 0
June 13, 2013, 02:04:02 AM
#49
so some 'elite' ppl who have accses to avalon are printing money and shitting on thousands of gpu miner while we see our gpus go worthless and its even worthless to buy asics couse its too expensive and most of the time you wont even get it shipped anytime soon.

sounds fishy indeed

illuminati took over btc!
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