By using the "treasuries" system to calculate the value of each coin based upon the "treasury" of the Civilisation, Nation, Corp, Clan etc etc whose currency it "is" (in the game), you can almost kind of look at all the coins so far thus treated as in a way just various different "denominations" of "the same darn thing".
So even if you (probably quite rightly) are dubious about the overall "real value" of any of it, if nothing else it ought to seem somewhat reasonable to consider the resulting
relative values of those coins, all computed relative to each other from the "treasuries" each holds of the others, as having at least some leanings toward validity.
An unfortunate (for some folks anyway) side-effect of thinking of them this way is that you could thus choose to look at any one of them that
has managed to get itself listed on "an exchange" as a yardstick from which to calculate the value of all the others as compared to whatever the one that
is on an exchange is paired against on the exchange.
So for example if DeVCoin were on an exchange you could look at the
Latest Rates include-file, which shows the value of various things in terms of DeVCoins (how much each thing is worth in DeVCoins), and, by reference to the price of a DeVCoin on some exchange or other, you could compute the value of all the other things in the file whose value is computed for that file from a "treasury".
It might not escape your notice that the file does list a few things that are NOT computed from a "treasury" thus are not really currently a direct full part of "that same darn thing" above-mentioned.
For example BiTCoin and LiTeCoin both lack such a "treasury".
So feel free to ignore the purported values shown in that file for such items.
Heck, it seems like lately BitCoins and LiTeCoins are worth a heck of a lot more DeVCoins than the file typically shows, IF you consult "exchanges".
The thing is, there are very few assets listed there that are on any "exchanges", or, indeed, have ever been on any "exchanges".
So the few that do get onto an exchange from time to time are for many people the only chances they get to cash any of those assets out to fiat.
And a lot of people are still really fond of fiat.
So it can probably be expected that on "spot markets" whichever of the denominations get onto an exchange are likely to fetch premium prices in terms of the other denominations.
While at the same time, also fetch un-premium -- anti-premium -- prices on the exchanges as folks fall all over each other in a "race to the bottom" trying to convert out to fiat.
Then too, the whole crypto field has been in a horrible "bear market" for a couple of years now almost, such that even the most famous and well-regarded coins have been fetching insanely low prices in fiat. Heck, who thought we'd ever see bitcoin below ten grand American for gosh sakes?!
So anyway, maybe it could be useful from some folks' point of view to kind of average some kind of a conversion rate for "that whole darn thing" by figuring out the average difference between what the Latest Rates thinks a thing that does have a "treasury" its value is computed by is worth and what that same thing fetches on "exchanges".
Since the "treasuries based" value is a kind of attempt at a "fundamental" value, one could think of such a ratio/difference as being the difference between fundamental value and "discovered price".
If that is a valid way of looking at it though, the implication seems to be that currently the "discovered" prices seem typically to be bargains.
I have been thinking for a long time that according to market theory, so called "arbitragers" are supposed to be out there somewhere running around taking advantage of any areas in which markets are not all in agreement about what something is worth, snapping up anything that is a bargain in some places as compared to how much they can get for it in another place.
But I think maybe in this case it is not only that arbitragers are not paying close enough attention and acting swiftly but also that how you see it all, as a potential arbitrager, might depend quite a bit upon what your "home currency" happens to be.
Then too, also maybe that arbitrage over time is a bit different than instant-gratification arbitrage.
Personally I have tended, as a market-maker, which is maybe not really the same thing at all as an arbitrager, to not worry about the supposed value in terms of some third, fourth (etc) currency of either of the two involved in a pair I am market-making with, so maybe I just have not been seeing things the same way many or most other traders do.
For example in marketmaking DVC/BTC, I0C/BTC, IXC/BTC etc I do not worry about the value of either side of the pair in dollars or yen or francs or litecoins or even big macs or icecream cones, I just focus on increasing my holdings of both sides of the pair, building up both the buy side and the sell side, and in fact bearing in mind that of course which side is which depends mostly on which side you have some of and which side you are trying to get some of.
Whereas I suspect that some traders are not thinking of whether they are getting the non-bitcoin side for less satoshis than before, or getting more satoshis for them, but rather a more complicated calculation, worrying whether they are getting more dollars for them or getting them for less dollars. Or yen. Or francs. Or icecream cones or whatever.
And maybe that is actually a more sensible approach? Afterall, if both sides of a pair I am working with are going down in number of icecream cones they can buy, does it matter whether I am steadily accumulating more of both sides of my pair?
Hmm. Food for thought. But more of them presumably would buy more icecream than less of them would, so maybe "its all good"?
-MarkM-