As optimistic as some of the stuff in this thread is, I think we also need to look on the other side of the coin. Apparently even after ~6 months, the adoption of bitcoin so that it's actually usable in day to day life has been pretty slow.
Enthusiasm about bitcoin adoption in El Salvador is seemingly wearing offOther businesses around Bitcoin Beach said they’d given up on Bitcoin and reverted to accepting only cash. “We were losing money because of the way the currency loses value,” said 21-year-old Axel Medina, who helps his family run a surf school and restaurant. “It was difficult to maintain our business like that.”
In its current state, bitcoin has been pretty volatile in the past, in the past ~5 months bitcoin has dipped about $20k USD. Now, if the cost of products are fixed according to the fiat currency that El Salvador uses, then when the value of bitcoin goes down by such huge amounts, so does the conversion rate and that would mean a decrease in buying power too? Because the prices are fixed in fiat most likely.
Also if the businesses look toward using the BTC to fund their day-to-day business, for the same reasons, I think that might be problematic. Furthermore, a huge part of the population is online - definitely causing problems for adoption, since ATMs have also reportedly been very slow to come up. There have been reports of people having to drive like 50kms to get to an ATM - they aren't very widespread, which imo should have been looked into before the public announcement and coming out as recognizing it as legal tender. This kind of approach makes them seem like they aren't ready - not a good look at this point.
For one, El Salvador is a country where cash is still king; almost 70% of the population is unbanked. Critics say the country’s Bitcoin transition leaves behind those who don’t have a smartphone — mainly older Salvadorans — and those without internet access. In 2019, about 50% of the population was not online.
Also, there have been sketchy reports from the government where they try to portray a better picture of the adoption scenario, when other more independent sources claim that thats not the real picture
It is difficult to get a full picture of the scope of Bitcoin adoption in the country. In January, the government endorsed a report that at least 4 million users — nearly the country’s entire population — had been verified as authentic users of the government’s wallet over the past several weeks. But in March, a survey released by the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of El Salvador reported that 86% of the businesses contacted said they had never conducted a transaction using Bitcoin.
According to Bloomberg, (
El Salvador’s Companies Barely Bother With Bitcoin) there too we see a similar picture. The offline population is just too big to see a good adoption rate anytime soon.
More than 90% of the 337 companies polled between January 15 and February 9 said Bitcoin adoption in the country had little to no impact on their sales. Of the businesses polled, 71% were classified as micro or small businesses, 13% as medium-sized companies and 16% as large, according to the survey.