Topic: Esports Prediction & Discussion Thread - page 274. (Read 77159 times)

And then you'll see RNG suddenly becoming extremely good even though they don't have anything left on the tank for the past few matches against the teams that defeated them brutally. Chinese dota is weird even though they are already on the main stage. Anything with Extreme gaming and RNG is a skip if they are against Chinese teams. Even EHOME and PSG.LGD. If they're against other teams from other countries then I'll consider. If not, I'll just skip.

to be fair, they did beat Gaimin Gladiators the other day, so i would've gone with Nigma as well. But Tundra are godlike right now, they haven't dropped a single map in their last seven series

Fallen and fer combined probably have as much (if not more) experience than their coach Peacemaker, but still, this guy has been instrumental in Imperial's recent results so not having him on stage in this tourney will be tough. Things are different with 9z though, while they've been making headlines every now and then (i still remember their win against Vitality in Blast premier last year), this is their first Major, they're still a very inexperienced team in tier 1 lan events, they're one of my favorites underdogs so hopefully they won't run around like a headless chicken without their coach Zakk

talking about the Major, i just noticed the G2 moneyline (vs Team liquid) keeps dropping, i swear i saw 1.6 yesterday but now it's 1.5. I also like Xantares' team Eternal Fire to beat Bad New Eagles @1.8, i don't know BNE and i have no idea how good or bad the Kosovo cs scene is so this could be a coinflip 

I'm going for PSG LGD once more @1.38 odds aren't great but i'll take it since Aster might take a map as they're the only team who took a series off PSG LGD during the regular stage of the tournament.

Skipping the other series (RNG vs Xtreme) but i'm leaning on Xtreme only because they have the better carry and RNG is still struggling.

The coach bug is ridiculous and such poor self control by those who knew better.  The whole scene falls apart if people get away with such things and then we have nothing and they will have no employment.   Half the problem is the CS engine is about 10 years old now, I first played it in 2012 and the core code goes back to being remade from Quake 2 which is 1997.  Its totally ancient and Valve is making billions from this game seems like if you include all the trading in skins and how they tax every sale across steam plus loot cases are gambling extremely profitable.    They are so lucky, least they can do is create a working engine that is not older then some of the players themselves; this also helps vs cheats etc.  
   In the end if CS isnt fixed another game will do it for them.  Valorent isnt it, nobody can copy it directly but I think it does happen which is sad because its a good game uniquely suited for esports bets etc.      
  
Spirit was always aim biased one of the best for sure (but CS isnt an absolute FPS it requires pre-composition to win across 3 maps), lopsided in that way and no coach does impair them but they'll still be capable of wins.   The other teams I didnt really know well enough (Fallen is a good IGL, igl is not coach but they'll get by) so would be observing mostly in any case.                                                                                                  

Yeah this was pretty much my reason on taking -1.5 for PSG.LGD as well because they are trying out new players on one of the best teams in China region and the odds was pretty decent as well.

Next one we have Tundra vs Nigma. Nigma has been doing alot better lately especially after beating up GG in the previous game but definitely not good enough to beat Tundra so taking Nigma+1.5 seems to be a good bet here especially with this decent odds. I hope they can take atleast a game against Tundra



Edit : busted on this one, this is what you gets for trusting Nigma 

another wave of bans in the CSGO pro scene https://www.hltv.org/news/33735/spirit-and-9z-coaches-banned-from-pgl-major-antwerp

add Imperial's coach and that's three teams that i'll make sure to avoid in the next Major. No coach no win

anyway, RNG lost to LGD as everyone expected and now they're struggling against BOOM... RNG getting deleted by two of the best teams in the world in the span of 5 hours. suffering 😂

I went with the same bet since RNG GodKing was removed from the roster few days ago and now they're playing with their new carry player Ghost. He used to play for 496 in the SEA Division 2 but the team got eliminated in the end. The odds on PSG seems great even though we don't know how well Ghost would mesh between RNG, i'm expecting the team to struggle since this is their first game together. Odds are a bit juiced since I got it from Betsy, it sucks that the markets aren't up on BetRadar so I can't use the odds boost on SB.

Nah none of the teams are using any stand-in. Probably something to do with the new patch notes and also if I read it correctly, none of the teams will be getting any prize money from this tournament as the money will be donated through charity on the team's behalf so probably the players are less motivated to show all their trump card especially with the Major coming in a week

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Anyway we have a good one for tomorrow, PSG.LGD vs RNG for the DPC CN Final

Taking -1.5 for this game

Gladiators vs. Liquid is starting in a couple of minutes. I need 2:1 for Gladiators for maximum winnings. Gladiators were big favorites this morning so i took Liquid +1.5 @1.55, now just before the match odds are almost even so I took Gladiators ML @1.75. Don't know the reason for such a big swing but I like the value of my bets. Maybe gladiators are playing with stand in or something.

Back then you'd probably find good value betting on them but now that these guys were able to beat good teams, then the bookies already caught up to it. I don't have high expectations on BetBoom but we'll see how well they'd perform against teams coming from different regions once the major starts it'll be interesting to see how each team would clash against different playstyles. Even though they took down Team Spirit there are other good teams that could perform better than expected like Gladiators and TSM.

CS - 3 Maps for Mouz vs BIG seems fair, was 2 rounds away from a draw for 1st map Mouz's own pick though they are the favorite team to win I think 3 maps is fairly easy.   I multi'd that with Entropiq over Finest though Finest did get a map from Spirit and only 3 rounds from getting the series so I might have been too hasty not sure.

Valve wouldnt likely change their minds, they dont like controversy from extremely negative world events; bad for their image and sponsorships etc.

I've updated the thread OP! Added a new bookie (thx  @arallmuus for telling us know about Rollbit's new sportsbook), new main pic and this time i only added three events in the Calendar section    This is gonna be a good month, folks, my bankroll for each event is ready, just need to figure out which sportsbooks i'm gonna use 🧐

They are very capable I tell you. To be able to go against major CIS teams and even defeat TSpirit in a very convincing fashion is something which can tell you about how good this team is. The only concern I have here though is if they can be consistent with their performance and not fall off on games that matter. If they can do that, they can be a serious competitor of Navi and Team Spirit in the CIS region. Exciting Major ahead of us. Lots of underdogs that has a huge potential to do an upsent win.

I'm browsing the details of the upcoming ESL One Major on Dota2 and I notice a unfamiliar team BetBoom Team. I saw a brief description that they are former Winstrike roster but I don't have enough info on there game capacity since I just saw this team on the list of participants. I want ask if anyone here follow this team on there road to qualifyer because they might be good for betting purposes as a dark horse on this majors in case they have impressive games prior to this upcoming majors event.

Less than a week to go for the PGL Mayor 2022 in Antwerp. Getting really hyped about the nice CSGO matches coming up in the next weeks. There will be a lot of betting opportunities to make some profit. Also need to buy the viewer pass to get all the souvenir packages.  Already on Monday there quite a few good games happening. Some low risk bets are probably Astralis vs IHC, should be an easy win for Astralis; Vitality vs Complexitiy, should be a good win for Astralis; and ENCE vs 9z seems also very one sided for ENCE. Payouts are not so big for these games because the top teams are facing the underdogs. The best match on the first day will be Liquid vs G2, both are pretty strong team and the match could go either way. I will likely put some money down for G2 though, they played very good against Liquid in the IEM Katowice 2022.

They feel like they can copy the success of that draft from Liquid but they don't know the ins and outs of such a very risky, low-damage draft. Props to them for being adventurous with the draft and pushing through with it albeit being against a very disciplined and capable draft of Navi. They risked qualifying the major just to try out that concept they got from Liquid, and that IMO is somehow respectable.

Unfortunate loss from the Rejects they should've had that in the bag if it weren't for that unusual draft in game 3. They tried to copy Team Liquid's draft and went for that tanky sustain lineup but it didn't work as they're lacking some reliable disables.

Also, there are some IEM Dallas Qualifiers scheduled later today and for now i'm leaning on the over 2.5 between MOUZ and BIG. The odds on BIG seems nice but it feels like a trap.

Yeah.

He's just trying out because of the frustration of what Pure has made with their team. Actually, they're good and they can likely be qualified but because of it, there's no longer the opportunity that's being set for them.

Well, even if they appeal or kick and remove Pure from their roster and terminate their contract, still, what's done is done and it won't change.

Too bad wasnt it, oh well it was a free bets anyway and I totally have no clue what to place it on. The site is Rollbit, they recently launched their sportsbook and yes they have dark themes on their site  


CIS Rejects probably wouldnt have any issue with MG but the odds totally sucks. Yesterday I was about to bet on Team Spirits -1.5 against MG but it was 1.35 odds and currently CIS Rejects have 1.45 odds for -1.5 against MG. Risky and at the same time I dont think any handicap bet that has below 1.7 odds is worth it to bet

parlay is off to a good start thanks to the +1.5 handicap from CIS rejects and their tremendous stomp in game 2 vs NaVi. If it follows the script from their last series in quarter-finals, NaVi will game 3  anyone watching this game? or are you waiting for the Final? i doubt Rejects or NaVi would have any issues against MG