I Tried simulating
Even with very great odds to win
just 2% losing
Run for 100k run, it will be profitable
but run for a 500k run, end up making loss
Although I agree with the last sentence, I disagree with the previous one. No way it's guaranteed to win even 100k sats with a martingale strategy. I think you know that too, but a newbie might think it's possible to win constantly 100k with a martingale strategy and every time after winning just stop and withdraw. That's not actually how it is. Just yesterday I lost 300k in 5 minutes using my favorite martigale strategy, and I made no profit before that, I started losing from the very beginning.