Topic: Feb 22 to March 9 diff thread with contest included. - page 10. (Read 10422 times)
I'll take the wildcard: 0.00 to +0.25%
IIRC philipma1957 already guessed -1.11%, so consider -1.01 to -1.25% taken 
yes thanks I will always guess that number. (thank you in advance seriouscoin)
+3.89 (3.76-4.00)
I'll go with +2.22 this time.
I guess that means the 2.01-2.25 range...
Thanks!
I guess that means the 2.01-2.25 range...
Thanks!
IIRC philipma1957 already guessed -1.11%, so consider -1.01 to -1.25% taken
Close race. Well done Kexkey and congrats.
I'm going to try something different this time for determining the winner, so please read carefully - the rules have changed. Thanks everyone for suggestions in the previous thread.
There is a 0.1 BTC reward for the most accurate difficulty guess, no strings attached, just some basic rules - see below.
Official deadline is 04:00 (4 AM) UTC March 1st, 2015, roughly 40-50% into the cycle. I will accept entries made after the deadline as long as they are posted before I publish the final list of participants - to allow for a grace period in case bitcointalk.org is down.
An eligible guess is a percentage range of 0.25% posted here in this thread. No PMs or posts elsewhere or anything else. Must include a "+" or "-" sign. Valid percentage ranges are:
0.01 to 0.25%
0.26 to 0.50%
0.51 to 0.75%
0.76 to 1.00%
1.01 to 1.25%
... and so on
The range can be positive or negative. 0.00% (zero) is a special case as it does not have a range. If you guess zero and win I'll double the reward.
No special "enrollment" wording or format is needed to be eligible for the reward - just post like you would normally do and as long as it's clear that you're predicting the next diff change percentage I'll consider you enrolled. If you post just a single number and not a range I will assign the corresponding 0.25% range to you, for example if you post 1.11 you will get the 1.01-1.25 range.
If you guess multiple times only the last one (not the best one) submitted before the deadline will be counted, i.e. you can revise your entry until the deadline.
To determine the winner I will use the percentage shown by bitcoinwisdom (table at the bottom of the page) after the next adjustment. You win if the bitcoinwisdom percentage falls into the range guessed by you.
If nobody wins the reward amount will be rolled over (added) to next cycle.
Tiebreaker: Your number must be unique. If you would like your guess to be considered for the reward please review previous guesses and make sure your range is different from all others. I will try to warn if I see duplicates but if a duplicate slips through only the first member who posted that range will be eligible for the reward.
To collect the reward the winner will need to PM me their BTC address and the TX ID will be posted publicly.
Allow up to 2-3 days after the next adjustment for me to pay out, although I'll likely do it much sooner than that.
Funds for the reward and previous payouts are here: https://blockchain.info/address/1Nz1eoPMqBUSRwgQCS5fiocrZk4VDeG6wi
There is a 0.1 BTC reward for the most accurate difficulty guess, no strings attached, just some basic rules - see below.
Official deadline is 04:00 (4 AM) UTC March 1st, 2015, roughly 40-50% into the cycle. I will accept entries made after the deadline as long as they are posted before I publish the final list of participants - to allow for a grace period in case bitcointalk.org is down.
An eligible guess is a percentage range of 0.25% posted here in this thread. No PMs or posts elsewhere or anything else. Must include a "+" or "-" sign. Valid percentage ranges are:
0.01 to 0.25%
0.26 to 0.50%
0.51 to 0.75%
0.76 to 1.00%
1.01 to 1.25%
... and so on
The range can be positive or negative. 0.00% (zero) is a special case as it does not have a range. If you guess zero and win I'll double the reward.
No special "enrollment" wording or format is needed to be eligible for the reward - just post like you would normally do and as long as it's clear that you're predicting the next diff change percentage I'll consider you enrolled. If you post just a single number and not a range I will assign the corresponding 0.25% range to you, for example if you post 1.11 you will get the 1.01-1.25 range.
If you guess multiple times only the last one (not the best one) submitted before the deadline will be counted, i.e. you can revise your entry until the deadline.
To determine the winner I will use the percentage shown by bitcoinwisdom (table at the bottom of the page) after the next adjustment. You win if the bitcoinwisdom percentage falls into the range guessed by you.
If nobody wins the reward amount will be rolled over (added) to next cycle.
Tiebreaker: Your number must be unique. If you would like your guess to be considered for the reward please review previous guesses and make sure your range is different from all others. I will try to warn if I see duplicates but if a duplicate slips through only the first member who posted that range will be eligible for the reward.
To collect the reward the winner will need to PM me their BTC address and the TX ID will be posted publicly.
Allow up to 2-3 days after the next adjustment for me to pay out, although I'll likely do it much sooner than that.
Funds for the reward and previous payouts are here: https://blockchain.info/address/1Nz1eoPMqBUSRwgQCS5fiocrZk4VDeG6wi
suchmoon feel free to add promo after this post.
current numbers.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 46,684,376,317
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,634,630,812 (+6.32%)
Adjust time: After 2011 Blocks, About 13.6 days
Hashrate(?): 332,158,589 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes
Updated: 20:5 (2.7 minutes ago)
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 344741
Total BTC 13.869M
Difficulty 46684376317
Estimated 46628440050 in 2011 blks
Network total 352872.727 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 6.64 / 542 s
Home Bitcoin Markets Charts About
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 46,684,376,317
Estimated Next Difficulty: 49,634,630,812 (+6.32%)
Adjust time: After 2011 Blocks, About 13.6 days
Hashrate(?): 332,158,589 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.4 minutes
Updated: 20:5 (2.7 minutes ago)
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 344741
Total BTC 13.869M
Difficulty 46684376317
Estimated 46628440050 in 2011 blks
Network total 352872.727 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 6.64 / 542 s
Home Bitcoin Markets Charts About
New thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/new-diff-thread-mar-8-to-mar-22-982118
jump was 1.59%
sunnyIgor was the prediction winner
__________________________________________________________
Back from supper. Ribs in Tomato Sauce. Very nice.
my pick is always (-1.11%) for each and every diff adjustment for all of 2015. Thank you seriouscoin.
Self- moderated thread once again thank you seriouscoin.
_____________________________________________________
Last diff was +5.01 percent
Thanks to suchmoon's promo 0.20 btc was given to kexkey
note it was 0.20btc due to a rollover
payout is here
https://blockchain.info/tx/79d1049fb9ea03a1712e9883bad876c9c8088acfa8cf9a9e96dc8377fd78f6f4
Note I run the thread and suchmoon runs the promo
his rules are 3 posts lower:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.10550525
It is his contest more for fun and general BTC promo concept then any other thing.
Thus I always pick -1.11% for my pick.
____________________________________________________________________
Difficulty History
Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate
Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014 11,756,551,917 12.44% 84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10% 74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66% 63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014 8,000,872,136 14.64% 57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014 6,978,842,650 14.04% 49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014 6,119,726,089 22.23% 43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014 5,006,860,589 17.80% 35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014 4,250,217,920 11.39% 30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014 3,815,723,799 21.92% 27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014 3,129,573,175 19.39% 22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014 2,621,404,453 19.49% 18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014 2,193,847,870 22.59% 15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014 1,789,546,951 26.16% 12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014 1,418,481,395 20.12% 10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013 1,180,923,195 30.01% 8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013 908,350,862 28.41% 6,502,229 GH/s
Nov 29 2013 707,408,283 16.07% 5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013 609,482,680 19.29% 4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013 510,929,738 30.70% 3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013 390,928,788 46.02% 2,798,377 GH/s
Oct 16 2013 267,731,249 41.45% 1,916,495 GH/s
Oct 06 2013 189,281,249 27.19% 1,354,928 GH/s
Sep 25 2013 148,819,200 32.13% 1,065,289 GH/s
Sep 14 2013 112,628,549 29.56% 806,227 GH/s
Sep 04 2013 86,933,018 32.22% 622,291 GH/s
Aug 24 2013 65,750,060 29.40% 470,657 GH/s
Aug 13 2013 50,810,339 35.88% 363,715 GH/s
Aug 03 2013 37,392,766 19.63% 267,668 GH/s
Jul 22 2013 31,256,961 19.47% 223,746 GH/s
jump was 1.59%
sunnyIgor was the prediction winner
__________________________________________________________
Back from supper. Ribs in Tomato Sauce. Very nice.
my pick is always (-1.11%) for each and every diff adjustment for all of 2015. Thank you seriouscoin.
Self- moderated thread once again thank you seriouscoin.
_____________________________________________________
Last diff was +5.01 percent
Thanks to suchmoon's promo 0.20 btc was given to kexkey
note it was 0.20btc due to a rollover
payout is here
https://blockchain.info/tx/79d1049fb9ea03a1712e9883bad876c9c8088acfa8cf9a9e96dc8377fd78f6f4
Note I run the thread and suchmoon runs the promo
his rules are 3 posts lower:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.10550525
It is his contest more for fun and general BTC promo concept then any other thing.
Thus I always pick -1.11% for my pick.
____________________________________________________________________
Difficulty History
Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate
Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014 11,756,551,917 12.44% 84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10% 74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66% 63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014 8,000,872,136 14.64% 57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014 6,978,842,650 14.04% 49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014 6,119,726,089 22.23% 43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014 5,006,860,589 17.80% 35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014 4,250,217,920 11.39% 30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014 3,815,723,799 21.92% 27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014 3,129,573,175 19.39% 22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014 2,621,404,453 19.49% 18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014 2,193,847,870 22.59% 15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014 1,789,546,951 26.16% 12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014 1,418,481,395 20.12% 10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013 1,180,923,195 30.01% 8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013 908,350,862 28.41% 6,502,229 GH/s
Nov 29 2013 707,408,283 16.07% 5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013 609,482,680 19.29% 4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013 510,929,738 30.70% 3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013 390,928,788 46.02% 2,798,377 GH/s
Oct 16 2013 267,731,249 41.45% 1,916,495 GH/s
Oct 06 2013 189,281,249 27.19% 1,354,928 GH/s
Sep 25 2013 148,819,200 32.13% 1,065,289 GH/s
Sep 14 2013 112,628,549 29.56% 806,227 GH/s
Sep 04 2013 86,933,018 32.22% 622,291 GH/s
Aug 24 2013 65,750,060 29.40% 470,657 GH/s
Aug 13 2013 50,810,339 35.88% 363,715 GH/s
Aug 03 2013 37,392,766 19.63% 267,668 GH/s
Jul 22 2013 31,256,961 19.47% 223,746 GH/s
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