Yeah, Portugal with Cristiano Ronaldo will make some big advances, but not sure it will win the world cup. And Uruguay is always good, but I don't see them winning this time around.
The problem with Portugal is obvious, they are too dependent of Cristiano Ronaldo, and the truth have to be said, he is 37 years old, almost impossible to carry the team 7 matches to be the champion, but a decent cup will be at the quarter-finals, and I believe they are capable of. It's probably the last cup for him, and I think he will do everything to play at best, the last cup, the last chance.
Uruguay have old players like Gódin, Luis Suárez and Edinson Cavani who are pretty good and can decide some matches, but old enough to not have a consistency cup, on the bright side they love soccer and world cup, they classified in an incredible way, they were at 7th place and lasting 4 rounds of qualifiers, they won 4 matches and guaranteed the 3rd place.
They also have Arrascaeta of Flamengo, Piquerez from Palmeiras, both are playing so good, that you can expect at least quarter-finals from Uruguay too.
They lack the consistency to bet that outcome this far out. It could be proven but I'd rather take the bet having seen them put in the performance presumably with the training and discipline beforehand. Also Qatar in general is a wildcard to me, maybe that'll be a pointless fear in retrospect but seems possible some teams suffer more then others altering the odds drastically as the contest is ongoing.
What's the best long shot bet in this contest. Straight away it seems the odds for Germany at 11x would be far too high not to be worth considering with a bet to cover that outcome.
Exactly, you have a good understanding here, England suffer from lack of consistency. I'm not England but I've always liked the squad (Beckham, Lampard, Rooney, Terry etc) but they always get attention of media, always a strong squad, starts well, but they can't hold and lose some "easy" matches and bye bye England.