French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) - page 1486.

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Quote from: slaman29 on October 13, 2021, 11:06:54 AM

Yes, sorry people but Angers is not Rennes. And Rennes won because of their history, everyone and PSG knew they find them a difficult team to play, remember the bookie odds was only 4x.

Angers never won against PSG and that's for a good reason, they're just not a very good team.

PSG 1.2 is also crappy odds though, so maybe PSG clean sheet and win, or Win Both Halves is the only way to get good value, or Messi to score? Wink

Why are the odds so low? Stake offers much more attractive odds:

In my opinion, this is a profitable coefficient and easy money, since PSG will not allow a repetition of failure. As for the betting on the player who will score a goal, the odds on Mbappe are quite low - 1,76. In my opinion, this is unprofitable, since Mbappe is still far from such bets on him with odds below 2. Bets on Messi are not accepted (apparently due to the fact that he will miss this match).

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Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on October 12, 2021, 04:18:11 PM

This is the vision that I have roughly found, obviously those who are fans of SCO Angers support it, but when it comes to betting I would not hesitate to do so for PSG.

Yes, sorry people but Angers is not Rennes. And Rennes won because of their history, everyone and PSG knew they find them a difficult team to play, remember the bookie odds was only 4x.

Angers never won against PSG and that's for a good reason, they're just not a very good team.

PSG 1.2 is also crappy odds though, so maybe PSG clean sheet and win, or Win Both Halves is the only way to get good value, or Messi to score? Wink

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Quote from: borovichok on October 12, 2021, 02:49:44 PM

My predictions for league 1 this weekend are as follow.
P S G - Angers: 3-2
Clermont foot- Lille: 1-2
Lyon - Monaco: 2-2
Troyes - Nice: 1-2
Bordeaux - Nantes: 2-0
Brest - Reims: 0-0
Metz - Rennes:1-2
Strasbourg - Saint-Etienne:1-1
Montpellier - Lens: 2-1
Marseille - Lorient: 3-1

You have done some good work and have all predictions here which are very interested because I am having some good look and feeling most of them are going to be good for win, few are not close for their actual results but still good and manageable. Most of the time I never have good at French League, but recently I am in good touch so feeling Lenz and Strasbourg both have some fair chance for upset from your predictions because both are not bad at all as you're already done.

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Quote from: borovichok on October 12, 2021, 03:21:24 PM

Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

PSG is going to win this game easily,they don't have much injury problem or suspensions so am going for them winning this game.the team is growing and understanding their selves more,I think is just going to take a little time before the team learn to play with Lionel Messi.as a Barca fan I know the only way a team that Lionel Messi is playing for to be successful is to understand him and play at his strength and style if not Messi will have little to contribute because he has this specific style of playing,he loves the one two football he likes the ball to always be on the ground.

Well, the odds are not very good for SCO Angers, although of the 14 games that both squads have had, PSG have won a total of 13 games, and SCO Angers 0, what that extra game is because there was a draw .

If we are based on the statistics we can infer that obviously the advantage is PSG, in addition these probabilities are only one of the small statistics where Messi did not appear for PSG, which now becomes a direct spear for SCO Angers, what which does not suit him much.

Source: https://footystats.org/france/paris-saint-germain-fc-vs-angers-sporting-club-de-louest-h2h-stats

This is the vision that I have roughly found, obviously those who are fans of SCO Angers support it, but when it comes to betting I would not hesitate to do so for PSG.

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Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

PSG is going to win this game easily,they don't have much injury problem or suspensions so am going for them winning this game.the team is growing and understanding their selves more,I think is just going to take a little time before the team learn to play with Lionel Messi.as a Barca fan I know the only way a team that Lionel Messi is playing for to be successful is to understand him and play at his strength and style if not Messi will have little to contribute because he has this specific style of playing,he loves the one two football he likes the ball to always be on the ground.

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My predictions for this weekend ligue1 games
.
P S G - Angers: 3-2
Clermont foot- Lille: 1-2
Lyon - Monaco: 2-2
Troyes - Nice: 1-2
Bordeaux - Nantes: 2-0
Brest - Reims: 0-0
Metz - Rennes:1-2
Strasbourg - Saint-Etienne:1-1
Montpellier - Lens: 2-1
Marseille - Lorient: 3-1

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Quote from: hahay on October 12, 2021, 05:30:08 AM

.....
Actually the 1.2x odds for PSG is still a decent odds and not too low like 1.01 and for me, it's already a fair odds. Can't imagine if PSG played at home against a mediocre team getting big odds like 1.5x, then it would definitely kill the bookie. There are factors that make these odds different and we can't demand it to get higher odds for the favorite team. Because after all, it also proves that betting is a risky activity and not an easy way to get money, unlike the bookie they certainly need a quick profit, gamblers and bookies are different.

In my opinion, 1.2x odds for PSG are also decent odds. However, they are not big odds. It is actually a decent enough. Why would we expect a team like PSG to have bigger odds? Bookmakers don't offer these extra big odds markets in football such as Ht-FT odds or correct score markets. The smaller bookies offer them, but often at low limits. There are several factors, but no one shares data. I have developed a few systems, but in sports you can't control everything.

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Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

In my opinion, these are not low but high odds. Even taking into account the fact that after the matches of the national teams PSG will not be in the best condition, I do not see an option in which it won’t win here. In the previous match, they suffered an unexpected defeat 0-2 in the away match and will now be additionally motivated to show a decent result in front of their fans.

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Quote from: justdimin on October 11, 2021, 02:25:46 PM

Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

I guess whenever PSG ends up losing in the league, that is a great time for the sportsbooks to be fair. They always give them a good amount of odds and the other side is rarely ever good and Angers probably do not get that much betters neither. In this case I would assume that sportsbooks would be the one that make the most profit if PSG loses, or if a draw happens in which case it will be even rarer.

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

Actually the 1.2x odds for PSG is still a decent odds and not too low like 1.01 and for me, it's already a fair odds. Can't imagine if PSG played at home against a mediocre team getting big odds like 1.5x, then it would definitely kill the bookie. There are factors that make these odds different and we can't demand it to get higher odds for the favorite team. Because after all, it also proves that betting is a risky activity and not an easy way to get money, unlike the bookie they certainly need a quick profit, gamblers and bookies are different.

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Quote from: justdimin on October 11, 2021, 02:25:46 PM

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

Most people wager on favorites period

And when you look at PSG's record, winning majority of games, like all the big favorites in their leagues, Bayern, City, of course you expect most people to put most of their money on PSG.

Sportsbook always wins too because of the other betting, or multibetting usually, pairing PSG with other outcomes. And of course the odds. PSG winning 4/5 games should be 1.25 but the odds will be 1.20

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Quote from: justdimin on October 11, 2021, 02:25:46 PM

I guess whenever PSG ends up losing in the league, that is a great time for the sportsbooks to be fair. They always give them a good amount of odds and the other side is rarely ever good and Angers probably do not get that much betters neither. In this case I would assume that sportsbooks would be the one that make the most profit if PSG loses, or if a draw happens in which case it will be even rarer.

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

If any team in any sports around the world lost with these odds surely it's good day for bookmakers because we have very big community in gambling those love to place bets like this without any analysis or search because they feel it's free money, but they never know there is no free money in world for anyone.

And in PSG case it really matters because they are really giants in French League, and they have some most lethal players in soccer world right now in attack and midfield but still if they are losing then it's matter of worry about their management but really enjoying and profitable for bookmakers.

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Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

I guess whenever PSG ends up losing in the league, that is a great time for the sportsbooks to be fair. They always give them a good amount of odds and the other side is rarely ever good and Angers probably do not get that much betters neither. In this case I would assume that sportsbooks would be the one that make the most profit if PSG loses, or if a draw happens in which case it will be even rarer.

Most people wager on PSG, and by a big margin as well, like 70%+ people wager on PSG most probably, a case could be made for as high as 90%+ as well. This is why only "few" people would be richer if Angers wins, whereas it is a bigger profit for the sportsbooks.

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Quote from: Slow death on October 10, 2021, 04:58:28 PM

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game.

Especially no chance after the defeat recent week from PSG. They (PSG) will not want to expand their defeat streak from Rennes to Angers so Angers will be their next victim in Ligue 1. They will want to add Angers to their victim list.

Quote

the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

The odds is for comparison between power of two teams in a match and it reveals the power of them. PSG are more powerful and dangerous than Angers and we don't need to see detail of odds around sportbooks to know that. With good players as substitutions, PSG will reduce effects from the FIFA matches and back to the win streak.

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Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

if Angers wins this game then the oddsmakers will have made a lot of people win a lot of money and it would be like winning the lottery and I sincerely doubt the Angers have any chance of winning this game. the odds speak for themselves, I haven't done the analysis for this game yet because I don't see any advantage in betting on games with very low odds but just seeing this odd so low in case PSG wins I'm already convinced that PSG will win this game, of course that there are times when teams with very low odds that are taken as favorites lose games, but these are rare cases

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In five days, PSG are going to have a home game against Angers. Some people think like that this is going to be a quite competitive game for PSG and they might have a difficulty in winning here. But I think the opposite way. Because PSG have always been very dominant against Angers. If I didn't see wrong, PSG won all of their games against Angers so far. Maybe Angers started to the season nicely but I don't see any chance for them to have even one point at the end of this game.

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Quote from: CryptoBuds on October 10, 2021, 08:45:54 AM

Quote from: henmark on October 09, 2021, 04:46:33 PM

This time peoples may be wrong because Rennes and Angers are completely different clubs and Angers never been threat for PSG in last few years even Rennes have different history they beat them many times just because of this PSG lost against them but Angers never been good team but this year they are performing good usually they lost very badly against PSG but now this year they will fight and give them good resistance but still they are not able to defeat them. Now, players coming after good rest and have some better strategy, so it could be one-sided game for the giants.

^ I don't know who is saying that Angers will give a hard time to PSG. Just look at the history between them for the past few years and PSG now is stronger than ever. Even if Mess, Neymar, Mbappe - one of them plays their game good enough, Angers will concede at least more than 2 or 3 goals. But also a thing to note is that Football is a very unpredictable game and we have already seen Real Madrid lose to Sheriff with a full squad so if PSG doesn't make any blunder, it should be their game.

I am also feeling in this way there is no competition in these two teams as history is heavily favoring PSG even Angers current forum is good but still there never been threat for them. Even we have some very unpredictable results, but still PSG is too good for them. In Rennes case they have some good rivalry, but as in case of Angers it's never been tough for them. I can go with handicap like this -1.5 or -2 because it's very clear they will be back with nearly 3 or 4 goals. In some cases, this can happen like this, 2 - 0 or 3 - 0.

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Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

Angers is doing good so far with losing only 1 time in 9 games although facing some respectable opponents. They are sitting in the 4th place right now in the table. When it comes to odds, I think most will be perplexed after knowing that Angers are @10 while PSG odds are @1.27. Bookies are almost sure about Angers defeat, they even doubt it can manage a draw (Angers or draw @3.9)!

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Quote from: henmark on October 09, 2021, 04:46:33 PM

Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

This time peoples may be wrong because Rennes and Angers are completely different clubs and Angers never been threat for PSG in last few years even Rennes have different history they beat them many times just because of this PSG lost against them but Angers never been good team but this year they are performing good usually they lost very badly against PSG but now this year they will fight and give them good resistance but still they are not able to defeat them. Now, players coming after good rest and have some better strategy, so it could be one-sided game for the giants.

^ I don't know who is saying that Angers will give a hard time to PSG. Just look at the history between them for the past few years and PSG now is stronger than ever. Even if Mess, Neymar, Mbappe - one of them plays their game good enough, Angers will concede at least more than 2 or 3 goals. But also a thing to note is that Football is a very unpredictable game and we have already seen Real Madrid lose to Sheriff with a full squad so if PSG doesn't make any blunder, it should be their game.

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Quote from: Juggy777 on October 09, 2021, 07:40:51 AM

Quote from: Ratash on October 09, 2021, 07:29:28 AM

Quote from: Spack17 on October 09, 2021, 06:26:34 AM

I think that the Lyon - Monaco match will be the biggest match of the week. Monaco are showing a fascinating performance comparing to Lyon. They have been victorious three times in a row. Lyon couldn't get any win in their last two matches. Considering their last head-to-head match here in this stadium, Lyon demolished Monaco by 4-1. But this time could be a chance to take revenge on Lyon for Monaco.

Very hard to predect the outcome since monaco ayed recently against teams that are struggling and are not able to win for a long time so we cant really judge monaco performance since it is not steady but they definetly have an advantage since they won three games in a row so they must be motivated.

@Spack17 this will be game of equals and don’t let Monaco recent performances fool you, because I feel that Lyon will offer them tough fight. Also @Ratash is correct about Monaco, hence see the match and see how they’re performing before you decide to wager on them.

I see the points of both of you. And I'm not thinking of wagering on any team here before making sure about something for this match. Monaco didn't have a good start and actually it was a terrible one. But in the last weeks, nearly everything started to change about them. Players are more accurate now seemingly. And the recent good results should be helping them get better. But still, I don't want to be carried away by their recent performance. An away match or not, this is a very tough match for Monaco indeed.

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Quote from: blackened515 on October 09, 2021, 04:39:20 PM

Quote from: Kusman on October 09, 2021, 07:13:20 AM

Some people say that PSG might have a difficulty in beating Angers next week considering Angers' recent form. But when we check the head-to-head matches, we see clearly that PSG are very highly dominant against them. PSG just won all the time against Angers no matter what. And they can do this again easily without caring about Angers' good form.

This is Football, and anything can happen, Anger can probably win against PSG for the first time. They are in their best form, but I don't think Anger can easily beat PSG in an away match, not after PSG got their first losing match this season against Rennes. PSG dominated the game , but got 0 shot on target. Anger have to play carefully and put in more effort. They are below Nice and needs more points to slide up on the table.

I think this match for PSG will be a huge win due to the last match that PSG lost against Rennes. PSG will need to dominate
against someone for a change. They didnt destroy any team in the ligue 1 or the champions league so far. So im expecting a big win from them.

Topic: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) - page 1486. (Read 184229 times)