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Topic: GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer - page 61. (Read 262371 times)

hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
January 03, 2015, 09:01:44 PM
Look at it. A nice kick in the nuts to all the fund investors that can't even withdraw anything lol

https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/551533923663355904

https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/551553942745006080

Patience holding will pay off. Mark my words.

Okay can someone translate that for people not entirely familiar with that? Is that just some sort of conversion of the fund to being able to withdrawn in another way or what is going on? Does this mean everything is working as expected and there's to forced stop of withdrawals?
It's funny, maybe they're effectively saving their clients from losing a ton of money these bloody days.
vip
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
AKA: gigavps
January 03, 2015, 08:56:26 PM
Look at it. A nice kick in the nuts to all the fund investors that can't even withdraw anything lol

https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/551533923663355904

https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/551553942745006080

Patience holding will pay off. Mark my words.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
January 03, 2015, 07:26:46 PM
Look at it. A nice kick in the nuts to all the fund investors that can't even withdraw anything lol

https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/551533923663355904
vip
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
AKA: gigavps
January 03, 2015, 07:25:38 PM
And the significant inputs that we have seen since then appear to come from just one entity. 

How exactly can you tell that the recent purchases in the BIT were from the same entity? I ask because I'd like to have use of that crystal ball.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
January 03, 2015, 01:15:59 PM
Huh, so what are the odds of these rumors being true? I mean this would be disastrous for the COIN-ETF, as well. But my gut feeling tells me that there are quite some FUD rumors out there lanced in order to push the price to a new long-term low. People are eager to see the real bottom and start the next bull-run.

I am puzzled: if it is a rumor, someone should have warned or queried SMBIT, and they should have promptly denied it.  Such a rumor would scare away any potential client who heard it.

Also, if liquidations were still possible, I would expect to see at least some net sales of BTC once in a while, given that the share value has been on a mostly downward trend since June, and the general mood is quite negative.  The last drop that was clearly not rounding or accounting error or was on 2014-09-03 (-1439   BTC).  And the significant inputs that we have seen since then appear to come from just one entity.  It is hard to see that as "business as usual".

N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
January 03, 2015, 01:15:36 PM
No one has denied it for the simple reason it is true. Smiley
True til proven FUD IMO for this reason. Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Trust me!
January 03, 2015, 01:14:18 PM
Huh, so what are the odds of these rumors being true? I mean this would be disastrous for the COIN-ETF, as well. But my gut feeling tells me that there are quite some FUD rumors out there lanced in order to push the price to a new long-term low. People are eager to see the real bottom and start the next bull-run.

Quite de opposite, this rumors keep the people calm because they know this fund can't dump any time soon.
So if it's FUD is to try to stop all this bleeding.

What people is not thinking is that this will hurt bitcoin even more in case it gets rejected.

Yeah, if it's true and in case it also affects COIN, there will be some BTC hitting the exchanges/market. Also, people who bough in anticipation of the ETF will dump their holdings. I don't know what to make of it. FUD until proven true, in my books...
legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1001
January 03, 2015, 01:04:24 PM
Huh, so what are the odds of these rumors being true? I mean this would be disastrous for the COIN-ETF, as well. But my gut feeling tells me that there are quite some FUD rumors out there lanced in order to push the price to a new long-term low. People are eager to see the real bottom and start the next bull-run.

Quite de opposite, this rumors keep the people calm because they know this fund can't dump any time soon.
So if it's FUD is to try to stop all this bleeding.

What people is not thinking is that this will hurt bitcoin even more in case it gets rejected.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 1313
January 03, 2015, 12:57:50 PM
For the "SEC blocking withdrawals" rumor, I'm not saying it's impossible but it has never been reported by any credible source.

I find it hard to believe too, but there have been two confirmations, no denials, and @jamesg claims to have seen their newsletter.

Perhaps I should ask Barry on twitter.


Why would anyone lie about this?  It doesn't "benefit" anyone per say.  It is what it is.  As another poster said, its not a letter you can copy and paste.  No one has denied it for the simple reason it is true. Smiley

It benefits all those people trying to spread FUD.
 Smiley
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Trust me!
January 03, 2015, 12:53:46 PM
Huh, so what are the odds of these rumors being true? I mean this would be disastrous for the COIN-ETF, as well. But my gut feeling tells me that there are quite some FUD rumors out there lanced in order to push the price to a new long-term low. People are eager to see the real bottom and start the next bull-run.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
January 03, 2015, 12:41:18 PM
For the "SEC blocking withdrawals" rumor, I'm not saying it's impossible but it has never been reported by any credible source.

I find it hard to believe too, but there have been two confirmations, no denials, and @jamesg claims to have seen their newsletter.

Perhaps I should ask Barry on twitter.


Why would anyone lie about this?  It doesn't "benefit" anyone per say.  It is what it is.  As another poster said, its not a letter you can copy and paste.  No one has denied it for the simple reason it is true. Smiley

If it is true, why isn't it reported by any credible source, such as Bloomberg, CNN, or even any bitcoin news portal like Coindesk? This rumor has been here for months.
legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1001
January 03, 2015, 12:26:14 PM
So, if they're blocked that means if SEC don't approve the fund, then when withdrawals will be restored there probably would be a huge cashout from disappointed investors.

Sadly, but the Bitcoin ETFs are becoming "too big to fail". Imagine also the Winklevoss trying to dump their coins if they get rejected too.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
January 03, 2015, 11:19:57 AM
For the "SEC blocking withdrawals" rumor, I'm not saying it's impossible but it has never been reported by any credible source.

I find it hard to believe too, but there have been two confirmations, no denials, and @jamesg claims to have seen their newsletter.

Perhaps I should ask Barry on twitter.


Why would anyone lie about this?  It doesn't "benefit" anyone per say.  It is what it is.  As another poster said, its not a letter you can copy and paste.  No one has denied it for the simple reason it is true. Smiley
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
January 03, 2015, 09:50:49 AM
For the "SEC blocking withdrawals" rumor, I'm not saying it's impossible but it has never been reported by any credible source.

I find it hard to believe too, but there have been two confirmations, no denials, and @jamesg claims to have seen their newsletter.

Perhaps I should ask Barry on twitter.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
January 03, 2015, 09:25:25 AM
OK, ignore the "disastrous performance" if you will.  There is still the fees, failed promises, and (apparently) having to watch the share value drop without being able to take the money out.  Now, remind me, what were the advantages of buying fund shares instead of buying bitcoins directly?
Your mother or grandmother can own Bitcoin without needing to read the forums for three weeks to figure out security.
Not everyone who invests in Bitcoin has a horizon of 60 days to get rich.
Well, seen from the outside, SMBIT is starting to look more risky than buying bitcoins at Bitstamp and keeping them there.  At least, Bitstamp has no lock-in period and has a handy open market in-house.

Investors who bought SMBIT shares in September 2013, at 13 $/share, and are firm believers in the long-range success of BTC, may not be bothered by those problems.  But I am trying to imagine someone who invested in January at 90$, could have liquidated in July at 60$, but has been forced to hold and now sees the shares worth only 30$.  I can't believe that all of those January investors are hold-at-any-cost types. 

I wonder if these "problems with the SEC" are blocking withdrawals also from the other funds (PBP, Exante, etc.)

Some institutional investors may not be allowed to buy and store real bitcoin, just like they may not be allowed to buy and store real gold. If they want to invest in gold, they have to do it through "experts", like GLD.

For the "SEC blocking withdrawals" rumor, I'm not saying it's impossible but it has never been reported by any credible source.
full member
Activity: 346
Merit: 102
January 03, 2015, 02:10:40 AM
OK, ignore the "disastrous performance" if you will.  There is still the fees, failed promises, and (apparently) having to watch the share value drop without being able to take the money out.  Now, remind me, what were the advantages of buying fund shares instead of buying bitcoins directly?
Your mother or grandmother can own Bitcoin without needing to read the forums for three weeks to figure out security.
Not everyone who invests in Bitcoin has a horizon of 60 days to get rich.
Well, seen from the outside, SMBIT is starting to look more risky than buying bitcoins at Bitstamp and keeping them there.  At least, Bitstamp has no lock-in period and has a handy open market in-house.

Investors who bought SMBIT shares in September 2013, at 13 $/share, and are firm believers in the long-range success of BTC, may not be bothered by those problems.  But I am trying to imagine someone who invested in January at 90$, could have liquidated in July at 60$, but has been forced to hold and now sees the shares worth only 30$.  I can't believe that all of those January investors are hold-at-any-cost types. 

I wonder if these "problems with the SEC" are blocking withdrawals also from the other funds (PBP, Exante, etc.)
I would say that second market is somewhat more secure then most exchanges (bitstamp included). I imagine that second market is able to keep the vast majority of their bitcoin in cold storage which reduces the chances of theft, the rate that bitcoin can be purchased or sold is much less then an exchange which reduces the risk of it getting hacked or messing up customer accounts. It is also much less likely to run away with customer money
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
January 02, 2015, 04:28:50 PM
OK, ignore the "disastrous performance" if you will.  There is still the fees, failed promises, and (apparently) having to watch the share value drop without being able to take the money out.  Now, remind me, what were the advantages of buying fund shares instead of buying bitcoins directly?
Your mother or grandmother can own Bitcoin without needing to read the forums for three weeks to figure out security.
Not everyone who invests in Bitcoin has a horizon of 60 days to get rich.
Well, seen from the outside, SMBIT is starting to look more risky than buying bitcoins at Bitstamp and keeping them there.  At least, Bitstamp has no lock-in period and has a handy open market in-house.

Investors who bought SMBIT shares in September 2013, at 13 $/share, and are firm believers in the long-range success of BTC, may not be bothered by those problems.  But I am trying to imagine someone who invested in January at 90$, could have liquidated in July at 60$, but has been forced to hold and now sees the shares worth only 30$.  I can't believe that all of those January investors are hold-at-any-cost types. 

I wonder if these "problems with the SEC" are blocking withdrawals also from the other funds (PBP, Exante, etc.)
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
January 02, 2015, 02:27:26 PM
OK, ignore the "disastrous performance" if you will.  There is still the fees, failed promises, and (apparently) having to watch the share value drop without being able to take the money out.  Now, remind me, what were the advantages of buying fund shares instead of buying bitcoins directly?

Your mother or grandmother can own Bitcoin without needing to read the forums for three weeks to figure out security.

Not everyone who invests in Bitcoin has a horizon of 60 days to get rich.

Why would my mother want to invest in a tanking currency through a proxy (which also stops her from selling it)?
Mom may have her issues, but she ain't stupid Angry
legendary
Activity: 3934
Merit: 11405
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
January 02, 2015, 02:06:22 PM
OK, ignore the "disastrous performance" if you will.  There is still the fees, failed promises, and (apparently) having to watch the share value drop without being able to take the money out.  Now, remind me, what were the advantages of buying fund shares instead of buying bitcoins directly?

Your mother or grandmother can own Bitcoin without needing to read the forums for three weeks to figure out security.

Not everyone who invests in Bitcoin has a horizon of 60 days to get rich.

Isn't it true that the investment fund is aimed more at larger players and potentially institutional investors that may want legitimacy.. that is why second market has minimums that are beyond what individual investors would seek.

In other words, second market is NOT really aimed at mom or grandma.
vip
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
AKA: gigavps
January 02, 2015, 01:48:12 PM
OK, ignore the "disastrous performance" if you will.  There is still the fees, failed promises, and (apparently) having to watch the share value drop without being able to take the money out.  Now, remind me, what were the advantages of buying fund shares instead of buying bitcoins directly?

Your mother or grandmother can own Bitcoin without needing to read the forums for three weeks to figure out security.

Not everyone who invests in Bitcoin has a horizon of 60 days to get rich.
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