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Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 1009. (Read 2032266 times)

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 04:22:13 PM
@ cypher

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zmi_3Q0w9kE&feature=youtu.be&t=15m49s  (total 6 min)
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2ea79w/at_the_end_of_the_day_currency_language/

The above Naval Ravikant - you-tube, from Reddit I think sums up nicely the common ground that Bitcoin will always be the base reserve and the opportunity for alts or support services like OT.

i disagree with some of Naval's concepts.

1. @ 5min he talks about a Dropbox appcoin where instead of POW it uses Proof of Storage.  WTF is that?  he goes on to say that the appcoin derives its supply and demand from trading btwn those who provide and those who request storage. that's fine. but what happened to the POW security mechanism for the appcoin?
2. he advocates for the appcoin networks-the problem is they all have identifiable creators (Satoshi stayed anonymous for a reason) and they are premining coins.  creators can be thrown in prison and the premining would be a problem for me.  are Satoshi's coins a problem for me?  no, b/c he kick started his own mining after releasing the open source Bitcoin software and everyone was free to have mined back then if they had the foresight and the luck to have heard about Bitcoin.  at this point, the general concensus is that he may never sell his coins or if he does, it will be when Bitcoin is @ $10000-100000. good for him.  but everyone else who starts an appcoin w/o a POW security mechanism or a decent chance at developing a network effect isn't for me.
3. i view these appcoins as nothing more than the same business structures we have today in fiat.  and they're just complicating things with an appcoin that actually might make things worse since they don't necessarily have a rational POW security mechanism for their coins.
4. these appcoins networks are just specialized closed source communities serving a defined function. they will never reach the size of a money system like Bitcoin.  
5. money affects everyone round the world.  this is why we have global participation in Bitcoin and this is critical to it's security.  no one gvt can shut it down b/c gvt's disagree over the long run.  their varied interests is what assures the game theory Nash equilibrium that keeps each of them in check as they each worry that the other might just be building secrets mines and support for Bitcoin.  this is why we have the network effect we do.
6. as far as allowing these appcoins to merge mine onto the Bitcoin network?  i view that as leeching.  Namecoin, ok. it was an early merged coin and the DNS function could serve a valuable purpose in the future.  but other appcoins/shitcoins?  no way.  i'm not a dev but from my understanding there does need to be some special code inserted into the mining software to allow merged mining and i doubt there is zero cost to that.  also, why should we as Bitcoiner's allow an appcoin distract from what Bitcoin is trying to do?  Bitcoin itself is not out of the woods yet so i will seriously resist any appcoin/altcoin/2.0 that tries to leech off our network.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 04:08:26 PM

You havent do your homework dude.


Most of the silver used in industry cannot be recycled.


So 50% industrial/photography, the rest is investment related (people desire jewelry because it is valuable, same with actual silver silverware).  Also, way to go giving me a graphic with no source information and no details about what timeframe the numbers are from.  Maybe I should bust out excel and "prove" you wrong with my own graph.
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
August 22, 2014, 03:51:36 PM
no change here.  Bitcoin has devastated this asset:

https://i.imgur.com/dLlQyi1.png

https://www.goldbroker.com/en/news/paper-silver-market-250-times-size-physical-silver-market-526

What would you think happens when the 'tie' breaks, real is real, paper is worthless.

Think of  a scenario, let's say a position of metric ton of pure silver. Will have some value  Smiley

Think of it this way.

Speculators leveraged up free fiat from the Fed and bid up the silver market into the May 2011 peak. Now that the market has reversed, leverage is being margin called out of the silver market. Prices are collapsing as a result.

And?
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 02:16:59 PM
no change here.  Bitcoin has devastated this asset:



https://www.goldbroker.com/en/news/paper-silver-market-250-times-size-physical-silver-market-526

What would you think happens when the 'tie' breaks, real is real, paper is worthless.

Think of  a scenario, let's say a position of metric ton of pure silver. Will have some value  Smiley

Think of it this way.

Speculators leveraged up free fiat from the Fed and bid up the silver market into the May 2011 peak. Now that the market has reversed, leverage is being margin called out of the silver market. Prices are collapsing as a result.
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
August 22, 2014, 02:15:01 PM
no change here.  Bitcoin has devastated this asset:

https://i.imgur.com/dLlQyi1.png

https://www.goldbroker.com/en/news/paper-silver-market-250-times-size-physical-silver-market-526

What would you think happens when the 'tie' breaks, real is real, paper is worthless.

Think of  a scenario, let's say a position of metric ton of pure silver. Will have some value  Smiley

They can always paper over the paper with more paper.  Besides, silver is mostly worthless other than as a speculation.

You havent do your homework dude.
https://images.angelpub.com/2014/08/23250/silver-usage-pie-chart.png

Most of the silver used in industry cannot be recycled.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 02:08:26 PM
no change here.  Bitcoin has devastated this asset:



https://www.goldbroker.com/en/news/paper-silver-market-250-times-size-physical-silver-market-526

What would you think happens when the 'tie' breaks, real is real, paper is worthless.

Think of  a scenario, let's say a position of metric ton of pure silver. Will have some value  Smiley

They can always paper over the paper with more paper.  Besides, silver is mostly worthless other than as a speculation.
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
August 22, 2014, 02:05:28 PM
no change here.  Bitcoin has devastated this asset:

https://i.imgur.com/dLlQyi1.png

https://www.goldbroker.com/en/news/paper-silver-market-250-times-size-physical-silver-market-526

What would you think happens when the 'tie' breaks, real is real, paper is worthless.

Think of  a scenario, let's say a position of metric ton of pure silver. Will have some value  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 01:54:15 PM
Don't the lower high's worry you then?

Well I am in general the type of person that honestly does not care how much things are valued in $hitpaper.

Proudly. Ever since 2006.

Paging Melbustus.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
August 22, 2014, 01:39:22 PM
Don't the lower high's worry you then?

Well I am in general the type of person that honestly does not care how much things are valued in $hitpaper.

Proudly. Ever since 2006.

and for that reason i pray for 16$ silver b4 its all said and done.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
August 22, 2014, 01:32:28 PM
Don't the lower high's worry you then?

Well I am in general the type of person that honestly does not care how much things are valued in $hitpaper.

Proudly. Ever since 2006.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 01:26:59 PM
http://mcalvanyweeklycommentary.com/

Ambrose Pritchard Evans @ 44min:

"major, major dollar rally".
hero member
Activity: 841
Merit: 1000
August 22, 2014, 12:33:35 PM
for all my former subs, what do u see here?  answer: a series of L translated cycles:



If it cracks that triple bottom at around 18.5...

Yeah. All I see is a tremendous support.

Silver is not a stock. It does not go to zero.
Don't the lower high's worry you then?
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
August 22, 2014, 12:31:53 PM
for all my former subs, what do u see here?  answer: a series of L translated cycles:



If it cracks that triple bottom at around 18.5...

Yeah. All I see is a tremendous support.

Silver is not a stock. It does not go to zero.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
August 22, 2014, 12:19:37 PM
@ cypher

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zmi_3Q0w9kE&feature=youtu.be&t=15m49s  (total 6 min)
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2ea79w/at_the_end_of_the_day_currency_language/

The above Naval Ravikant - you-tube, from Reddit I think sums up nicely the common ground that Bitcoin will always be the base reserve and the opportunity for alts or support services like OT.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1010
August 22, 2014, 11:23:12 AM
for all my former subs, what do u see here?  answer: a series of L translated cycles:



If it cracks that triple bottom at around 18.5...
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 11:18:02 AM
^^^^
Thanks for the info! So at what price do you see silver to likely bottom out, and when?  Just curious.

single digits.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 11:15:18 AM
Bitcoin UP, everything else DOWN.

Wrong: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/btce/ltcbtc  and https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/btce/ltcusd   Grin Grin Grin

Cypher you know better than to spread misinformation. Come on man.  Roll Eyes

GO smoothie GO!!!

Looks like you quoted it for you to preview before posting it. Thanks for clarifying what "everything" is and isn't. How can one assume it doesn't include Alts when you appear to discuss them on a daily basis in this very thread?  Roll Eyes


and as for "everything", i'd bet 10 USD that i used the term for just those assets as i defined them back when you were subbed to my letter.  there's no inconsistency.  i'll try to be clearer next time.

I can honestly say that I do not remember you defining "everything" to mean only those assets/investments.

I appreciate your willingness to be more clear in the future.

smoothie, here is the context in which i usually use the "everything else down" phrase.  as you can see, it can't possibly include Litecoin:

PM's are a play on armageddon where the whole internet gets junked b/c of severe worldwide depression and deflation.  this would do btc in for sure.  i just don't think we get that bad, altho it IS going to get bad.

I've never quite understood this. If we're talking a Mad Max type situation, is anybody going to want gold, except perhaps for its industrial uses? I think oil, food, or other useful consumables will be in much higher demand.

before btc came along, i was a big believer in Bob Prechter's theory of dollar down, everything else up (incl PM's); dollar up, everything else down.  if u look at mkts u can pretty much see this is exactly what has happened since the advent of the Fed and even more tightly correlated since 1971 when the gold std was revoked.  paradoxically, acc. to Prechter, if we go into a depression (we had a small whiff of this in 2008), the dollar will skyrocket and everything else will crash incl. PM's.  If you look at FerBanke's actions in light of this theory, u clearly see he believes we r on the brink of severe deflation and depression which is why he has pulled out all the stops and more in inflating the money supply.  amazingly he has sparked the greatest stock mkt rally ever since the bottom Mar 2009.  the question is whether we're in another bubble. i think we are.  BTC was spawned by Satoshi precisely b/c of worldwide central bank reflation.  so it is an inflationary phenomenon as far as i'm concerned and certainly will flourish in that environment.  the real question is what happens to BTC if everything goes into reverse and we re enter the deflationary spiral b/c some bubble blows up somewhere like the Middle East or a European default.  it certainly could crash as well as the dollar skyrockets.  why would the dollar skyrocket.  b/c 60% of world debt is USD and would have to be liquidated severely contracting USD money supply and paradoxically increasing its value.  up until recently i believed BTC would crash as well but i'm increasingly leaning against that view.  why?  b/c i think the drive towards BTC popularity will be b/c of its inherent STABILITY.  the problem with the USD is its INSTABILITY with a bias to the downside.  every business owner incl myself hates this volatility making it hard to make longterm business decisions.  the Fed doesn't understand this.  i don't think the 2nd Great Depression takes down the internet or smartphone technology and will be the winner in the end vs gold and USD.
legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 5429
August 22, 2014, 11:15:14 AM
^^^^
Thanks for the info! So at what price do you see silver to likely bottom out, and when?  Just curious.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
August 22, 2014, 10:59:09 AM
just to prove i'm not BS'ing:

Quote
bit coin needs to  be freely exchanged with silver and gold,so you can store your surplus wealth of bitcoin in the pyisical world of assets, just the same as you securely store them in your electronic wallet.

I couldn't agree more.  Eventually the bitcoin community will figure out that there is no point trading bitcoins for a government sponsored depreciating currency and they will flock to gold and silver.  Bitcoins my have more upside than silver right now but silver is hands down the safer bet.  I'm afraid there are a large number of people here that have overextended themselves with BTC and will get wiped out at the next big pullback.  Better to hold your savings in a couple different forms of hard assets and ride out the volitility.

Glad to see there are at least a couple other silver bugs here as well.  Grin  



before we start this debate of PM's vs. btc, i will say i started investing in gold and silver back in 2005 with gold at $550 and silver at $9.  this week i liquidated 3 bags of junk silver and converted to btc after what amts to a 500% profit in silver.  i still hold over half my holdings in bullion and won't sell any gold.  clearly i am a PM's bull but turning less so and very much a btc bull.  i believe that digital currency is the future.  the question is does it have to be backed by PM's to be successful?  i don't think so.  as a former Goldmoney holder, which i think is the std, i don't see that gold backed digital currency community growing at all esp. in comparison to btc.  why is this so?  1. few ppl can afford PM's at this price in terms of per ounce, 2. even if they could afford they can't transport it to London or Switzerland where their vaults are to then set up a digital acct, 3. u can only transact with other Goldmoney accts, 4.  even if Goldmoney vaults or other vendor vaults were located around the world it becomes impractical to move the stuff around to balance out accts, 5. the digital age demands an easier way to transact.  evidence of this is the M-Pesa in Kenya.  as long as the amt of btc is not allowed to inflate beyond its stated objectives it will grow in value and be a much more effective way to transact than PM's.  i think that todays speed of transaction and efficiency MAY have made PM's impractical.   PM's are a play on armageddon where the whole internet gets junked b/c of severe worldwide depression and deflation.  this would do btc in for sure.  i just don't think we get that bad, altho it IS going to get bad.
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