Dow diving now. feels like deflation.
There will also be "up" days again. As if the thing cannot stay down any more.
To rocks point earlier I'm in total agreement, QE is just locking in past inflation.
Deflation should refer to the money supply but is largely measured in consumer prices.
When I here deflation I have a hard time relating it to falling stock prices and other investment assets, although consumer prices and investment assets may be correlated.
Where I see the deflation happening I see it in consumer value judgments. Here is a distressing story my wife told me.
The dentist visits schools in Canada part of oral hygiene education, while my wife was talking the dentist expected concern, that many children aren't getting the calcium they need in there diet. Many kids don't eat cheese anymore, why, the feedback to the dentist is my mom says it's too expensive.
That's feedback I'd expect from people living in poverty not middle class kids. The thing debt purchase like a car a house (even a cellphone believe it or not) are being serviced (creating monetary inflation) while at the same time many of the same people are foregoing basis like nutrition causing consumer deflation.
That is a sad anecdote Adrian, but one that I think points to just how horrific the current debt-money system is. Hyper-financialization of basic goods required to live has resulted in massive debt payments that must be paid before anything else, including food.
When central banks enable free debt and leverage, it raises the price of everything people need to live, right up to the level where the public can just barely afford interest payments.
Take housing for example, without mortgages housing would be much cheaper and affordable. However with all the free leverage (30-45 year mortgages, ARMs, interest-only terms, 3% down, etc), the price of housing rises due to people bidding with leverage until no one can afford any higher interest payments. Same is true with education, health care, etc., these are all examples of necessary goods bid up due to hyper-financialization of the economy.
What is evil about this is it creates a form of debt-based serfdom for everyone. Where before your average person could save and buy a house outright in mid-life, today people can "buy" a house earlier in life, but then are locked into large debt payments that extract a significant portion of ones lifetime income potential. And there is no way to opt-out of this system, even if you choose to rent and not buy, rent prices go up with housing.
Debt serfdom is exactly what it is. We are all required to pay a significant portion of our life's labor to banks to support debt payments for basic goods that would never be priced so high without the free leverage offered.
So here we are today, where families skip basic food for children because they have to make the mortgage payment, school payment, healthcare payment, etc. It is scarily similar to the feudal system where people had to pay a portion of their labor to work the land to the people who inherited that land, now we have a system where people have to pay a portion of their labor to financial institutions to people who inherited financial wealth. The mechanism has changed, but the result has not.
Sorry if this is too negative or OT, comes from reading ZH for many years.