How can we understand market going to be Bear?

TheUltraElite

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Quote from: AnonBitCoiner on March 01, 2024, 09:02:33 PM

No one know that when will bear market initiate but now it seems that market is greener as it will soon attain new ATH so therefore this stage can be termed as Bull season. Bull or bear season is a matter of month not a matter of days so it can be classified according to increase or decrease that exists for some months.

The interesting thing to note is that when the bull market begins and runs, people want to know when bear market is going to come and vice-versa, we humans indeed are never happy with anything. Grin

This stems from the fact that most of the people trading with their coins dont understand the method to deal with the bear or bull markets. During the bull, like right now, we sell and then once we are out of bitcoins, we wait it out. During the bear, we buy at dropping levels and when we cant anymore, we wait for it go back up.

And the bull-stagnant-bear cycle will continue every few months or so, just a game of patience.

AnonBitCoiner

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No one has any idea that when will be bear market and when will be Bull but they are estimating by longterm price prediction. Like if price of every coin get reduces for longer period of time then we can say it bear season but if the price of bitcoin is 41k$ and suddenly it reduces to 39k$ then we cannot call it as a bear because these changes are just for little timing.

No one know that when will bear market initiate but now it seems that market is greener as it will soon attain new ATH so therefore this stage can be termed as Bull season. Bull or bear season is a matter of month not a matter of days so it can be classified according to increase or decrease that exists for some months.

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Quote from: Nrcewker on February 25, 2024, 12:37:45 PM

Quote from: JayTrain on February 23, 2024, 05:08:22 AM

Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

Yes, these hints are enough to say where the market is going. Else you can also see it in a very basic manner. If more people selling the coins in any particular exchange, then that will lead to the bear market. As they are not buying the coins, and not increasing the demand. Also this trend is seen after the bull run only. So there is always high probability that you will see a bear season soon after the bull run. But if you are a long term trader, then these seasons will not affect you a lot.

Its normal to see a bearish market after a bull run, since the market is only composed of two market seasons. Now, if you are seeing the opposite trend of bullish season, obviously we are entering already the bearish market. But to be honest, we should not be worrying about this since this offers a big opportunity for all investors to buy again and maximize bitcoin purchase. However, for those who still fear about bearish market, I guess they don’t really understand that profits in bitcoin was built first during bearish market.

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Quote from: JayTrain

Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

When ever you find bull run in the market, just have it in mind that it will not live forever which is the reason why many investors will use bull run period to earn much profits from the market by releasing all their coins to the market to make profits, hopping that there will surely be a bear run where investors will use to buy coins again and hodl for future benefits.

If you are an active users in this forum,you will surely know how to expect bull run like the bull run that is happening in the market right now and many investors knew that there will be bull run in this year 2024 that was giving them the hope to continue hodling till this period and, the bull run has started manifesting in the market.

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Quote from: Nrcewker on February 25, 2024, 12:37:45 PM

Quote from: JayTrain on February 23, 2024, 05:08:22 AM

Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

Yes, these hints are enough to say where the market is going. Else you can also see it in a very basic manner. If more people selling the coins in any particular exchange, then that will lead to the bear market. As they are not buying the coins, and not increasing the demand. Also this trend is seen after the bull run only. So there is always high probability that you will see a bear season soon after the bull run. But if you are a long term trader, then these seasons will not affect you a lot.

Right, bear season follows after bull run, so prepare for another buying opportunity again. And expect that when the bear season is coming, majority of the coins are dropping mostly 20% from their bullish price, so when we start seeing that in the market, it’s a good sign for beginners to enter the market and maximize their bitcoin accumulation, or even buy some potential altcoins that have high chances to recover and increase their prices.

Nrcewker

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Quote from: JayTrain on February 23, 2024, 05:08:22 AM

Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

Yes, these hints are enough to say where the market is going. Else you can also see it in a very basic manner. If more people selling the coins in any particular exchange, then that will lead to the bear market. As they are not buying the coins, and not increasing the demand. Also this trend is seen after the bull run only. So there is always high probability that you will see a bear season soon after the bull run. But if you are a long term trader, then these seasons will not affect you a lot.

Ben Barubal

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The real answer to your question is that it is not easy to know, and no one knows if it really is a bear market. Because what often happens here in the crypto market is what others think is a bear market, it turns out that in reality there was only a short-term correction in the trend that ended.

Such a situation happens many times in this business field. That means it's really in our hands, whether it's a bear market or not. That's why we should be aware of or sensitive to the upcoming events in this cryptocurrency field.

lixer

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Quote from: pawanjain on February 18, 2024, 10:17:55 AM

1. If there is a huge negative news in the market then that can impact BTC price downwards.

I know that the cryptocurrency market has been evolving and we have seen a lot of changes in it, however, one highly noticeable change is that the market is becoming mature over time, which means that retail investors don't react too quickly on bad news anymore like how they used to do in the beginning or before a few years where a single rumor about anything related to cryptocurrencies used to trigger a large dip in the market.

I find this being a good change and I was reminded by your pointer that most news these days doesn't affect the market that much, it's either that investors are becoming wiser or they are more focused on the market than on news channels and aggregators to see such things and start panic selling at an instant.

batang_bitcoin

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Quote from: JayTrain on February 23, 2024, 05:08:22 AM

Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

The very clue that we have in the market is after the bull run and what you have said is true that when the market is declining not just in volumes but also in prices. Those are the clear signs that we're going into a bear and that's why you have to be careful into checking what you should monitor and not just all about the market itself but also the news and fundamentals that you may have been missing all of these times because the clues are also there.

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Quote from: Kelvinid on February 22, 2024, 04:58:16 PM

We have the price chart to check but it doesn't mean we are too certain about the next, it can be changed abruptly without any indications and we just know it when it happens already. However, this would help us at least have some ideas about the current movement of the market and predict the future. But to become certain about it is simply impossible.

Let us understand that the market is volatile, it often changes its course from time to time. We might be experiencing the pump today but can be possible a drop will occur next. So I suggest monitoring the price chart and making this our basis of analysis.

I do agree that it is going to have some improvements on it if we check the chart and technical analysis using the indicators and see where it is going. But, most of the time it's too quick to decide since it happens based on some rumour or news. That's the reality of the market we are living in, too many people make mistakes regarding this situation and should not be all that easy to handle, we are making some mistakes if we think of it that way.

I believe that the best thing to do would be just making sure that we are going to end up with some trouble one way or another. I hope that the best thing to do would be just focusing on how we could improve based on how we could rule the nation one way or another, which should be hard.

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Identifying a market shift to bearish trends can be done by several signs. For instance, worsening economic conditions, declining trading volumes, reduced investor interest, and an overall negative market sentiment may indicate that the market is turning bearish. It's important to closely monitor news and market changes to pick up on these signals.I also know that some people determine it using technical indicators, but I'm not familiar with them

Kelvinid

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We have the price chart to check but it doesn't mean we are too certain about the next, it can be changed abruptly without any indications and we just know it when it happens already. However, this would help us at least have some ideas about the current movement of the market and predict the future. But to become certain about it is simply impossible.

Let us understand that the market is volatile, it often changes its course from time to time. We might be experiencing the pump today but can be possible a drop will occur next. So I suggest monitoring the price chart and making this our basis of analysis.

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Quote from: Asiska02 on February 19, 2024, 12:40:24 PM

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

There are some times when the market gets very simple that you don't need to be an expert to know that the market is going to bearish or bullish. When Bitcoin halving is coming closer the market is away bullish and if you study the market through past history you'll able to identify that. Also after the market has reach its highest form and the entire market starts correcting starting with Bitcoin, the market turns bearish therefore if you're looking at the price history of Bitcoin during this time you'll able to predict when the market will be bullish or bearish. There are some news that'll also make the market bullish or bearish therefore we have to listen to the media and look for this news before we make decisions on what direction we're going to be following to make profits.

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Quote from: ancafe on February 19, 2024, 09:03:12 PM

~snip~

This is just a matter of study and I am not saying there is a much greater degree of truth because if there were people who were able to see the price of Bitcoin correctly in the future then many people would buy it. We are only able to make predictions based on previous historical data, but the level of accuracy is not necessarily what we can get.

What is clear is that it is just a prediction and there is no 100% accuracy that will occur. there will be incompatibilities that could occur. Bitcoin market trends continue to change, volatility is very high and there are many factors that can influence the price of Bitcoin. Past historical data will not be the same as the current situation. we can only conclude that we are entering a bullish market or a bearish market. Remember that whales also have the power to influence market prices, especially when combined with the news media they own which can be used to spread FOMO or FUD.

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Quote from: Games.Bitcoin on January 14, 2024, 03:55:26 AM

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

For myself honestly I always use several indicators such as RSI one of which I often use, I understand that the indicator also refers to or follows the movement of price direction but at least it can give me an indication of what will happen to the market, and not only that I also combine it with candlestick patterns that are being formed, if RSI has given an indication that the price is in the resistance area then usually I will wait for the formation of certain candles, one of which is like a spinning top or doji along with the confirmation and if the confirmation really happens then obviously at that time I can confirm that the direction of price movement will reversal or reverse and I also like to do the same way when finding out if/when the price will be bullish when the situation is strong down, But still it is just a way that does not have 100% accuracy, but I feel that it is really useful to help me achieve profit and still risk management is a preparation that should not be ignored and must always be owned by all traders.

TheUltraElite

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Quote from: Games.Bitcoin on January 14, 2024, 03:55:26 AM

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

Indicators can give you a 50-50 indication as to the market might turn bearish but this is hard to say with accuracy. The previous condition often helps predict, like for example if the market is correcting from a bull run a good chance is there to go bearish, then when the market is stagnant, both sides can happen.

I think what trader should be more active about is once the market turns bearish, make sure your buy orders are in place and then leave it as it as and wait for them to be executed.

News often can foresee a market movement, a hack or a big exchange or some negative news will drop the price for the next few days.

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Quote from: Lukmanfirdaus1 on February 18, 2024, 11:31:54 AM

no one knows, unless you are a Blackrock class capital owner who can make movements in the market, but I think the amount of retail money is more than the company's. It is impossible to know where the market is going, bullish or bearish, we can only predict based on technical analysis, fundamentals, history or market patterns. but it's not 100% accurate. If you ask me, I myself use instinct lol. it's strange, but usually a little accurate, if you've been trading in crypto for a long time the pattern will feel the same and you automatically have that skill. a little leak when everyone is optimistic from the news, influence and others will usually be bearish, but if everyone is pessimistic and there is a lot of fud, usually it will be bullish.

If we talk about unpredictability, you are right that no one can know where exactly the market will go next and all that we do are predictions and speculations based on historical charts and market patterns. However, since we all know now that Bitcoin moves in a cyclical pattern, and with all its movements and phases we have seen in the past, we now have an idea of when it is time for a bear market and when it is for the bull market.

The cycle and the bull and bear markets can get extended sometimes based on market conditions and events within or outside the industry that might affect the sentiments of investors and then the prices in the market, but generally, someone who knows about history can know when it's time for bull or bear market.

ancafe

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Quote from: Games.Bitcoin on January 14, 2024, 03:55:26 AM

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

As far as I know there is no definite way to know whether a bearish or bullish market is present, but historically we can see several signs shown by the market in the process of moving towards both. Technical knowledge will usually give a little idea of how Bitcoin's journey can produce bullish or bearish and we can almost make small predictions about this journey. Analysis can be studied based on historical data and if we have the ability it will be easy to try to predict even though predictions that are bullish are not necessarily precise and accurate.

This is just a matter of study and I am not saying there is a much greater degree of truth because if there were people who were able to see the price of Bitcoin correctly in the future then many people would buy it. We are only able to make predictions based on previous historical data, but the level of accuracy is not necessarily what we can get.

Franctoshi

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Quote from: Asiska02 on February 19, 2024, 12:40:24 PM

Quote from: Games.Bitcoin on January 14, 2024, 03:55:26 AM

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

Yes mate, From the angle of experience, your experience in the crypto space will also play an important role in helping a trader to possibly spot when the market is about to go bearish because there are events which will precede the bear market.
For instance, there are some news that you would begin to see start making headlines, really bad news such as the news we had during the 2022 bear market, where we had a major crypto exchange go bankruptcy like that of the FTX collapse, Luna crash, or have Big institutions investors dump their Bag of Bitcoin like that of Elon Musk, or countries placing a ban on crypto transactions or mining like that of China ban, all those kinds of news, especially, when those news aligns with the market bearish patterns.

lalabotax

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Actually, I don't really understand the signs that really have an influence when it comes to a bearish market. Because sometimes a bearish market occurs very quickly from when it was still a bullish era. As experienced in 2021, today for example, market conditions are still really bullish and there are still many people who predict that the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise to such and such a rate. But what happened next was that in the next few hours suddenly there was FUD and the market changed completely. Bitcoin prices are going down, we think it's a market correction as usual, but in fact the price keeps going down and down. Until then, to be honest, I lost a lot of moments to take profits. Why? Because it was that sudden and fast the change from bullish to bearish. even though usually it won't be that drastic and that fast, right, there will definitely be signs. However, I think that when it was the last bullish era, it really happened quite quickly.

So keep paying attention and updating news related to Bitcoin and crypto globally to find out what possible FUD is currently circulating and what impact it will have.

Topic: How can we understand market going to be Bear? (Read 1055 times)