Topic: How can we understand market going to be Bear? - page 3. (Read 1037 times)

No one can certainly tell where the market is heading to but when majority of the coins are dropping their prices consistently most particularly bitcoin, that is a sign that the bearish season is entering the market. It could be a short or long term, no one can tell but mostly a bearish market takes a longer stay while a bullish one only stays shortly. However, if we are not seeing a bullish market, that does not mean that the market is bearish, it could be that there is a price correction happening in the market which only happens temporarily.

Following trend sometimes in cryptocurrency investment or trading always brings a bad experience and sometimes lead to loss of capital.
Trend is a good factor that determines whether there is a bear or bull market. If the Bitcoin price is going up, the price of other altcoins will go up; if that keeps happening consistently, it means it is a bull market. But if bad news from different sources keeps happening and the price of bitcoin keeps dumping, then it is a bear market, which is a good time to invest if you are investing for the long term. Traders are liking the bull market because it favors them most as they are making good profits during the bull market.

That is just the start of it, the idea to learn "before" it happens is the main question I believe. I do not think that it is possible and I think it is not going to happen, nobody could learn a way to make sure that they know when the bear will start, there isn't some indicator that will tell you before it starts.

However, if that is not the question then yeah you are right, if it starts to drop, it is better to be careful. I also use plenty of methods to avoid, like stop loss for example, and trailing stop as well, so there are many other ways as well, it should be fine. I get that it is not going to be easy to not lose money ever, so just realize that you are going to end up losing time to time and you will be fine in the end.

The price is only unpredictable but seeing the price chart we can make an assumption for what will possibly happen. Doing this will help us prepare whether to buy or sell. I don't think it was hard to understand the situation and can't tell the market sentiment. That is so-called market analysis and I use price charts to analyze the current situation, it is kinda easy if we are seriously doing this. Besides, we don't need to be perfect about it at least we are aware of the situation and know what actions to be taken.

In trading we must always follow the trend. Trends can sometimes go up and sometimes down. To find current trends, we need to do and technical analysis. We must be able to find the major trends from various timelines, so that we can decide what to do. When we cannot determine the major trend or make mistakes in the analysis, we will be in trouble so we have to go back to the manual and immediately decide to sell.

But in crypto, there are moments that can make the market bullish or bearish. Usually the positive news can provide bullish opportunities and negative news can make a bearish moment.

You can consider this as unpredictable because everyone can tell you the probability in bull market but it is impossible to tell you any fixed day. There are many strategies you can adopt to deal with market conditions. You buy when the market is dumping and sell when it is pumped. By following the activities like this, you can get a glimpse of the potential of the bull market. However bull market may happen this year but we are optimistic.

just look at coinmarketcap, if the majority of coins decline by more than a few percent, that means we are entering a bearish trend. or more difficult, you can look at the ma and see what the pattern is, or use other trading tools that you trust, you can definitely see a bearish trend in the market.

but it is quite difficult to identify whether the market is truly bearish, or whether it is just a momentary market response, because in some cases the market drops a few percent and people have concluded that the market has entered a bearish trend, but the next day the market rises significantly .

that's why traders need to analyze the market in depth and learn from their experiences, because it will really help them to be able to identify whether the market is bearish or bullish.

People should consider to have their own chart so that they could possibly understand what will be the possible outcome of the market when there's something issue presented. But also aside from that they should consider to know other things like seeking for something verified news scattering so that they would get a hint of possibly trajectory of the market since sometimes we can get some good ideas base on the news we are reading especially if this one gather a lot of hype or attention to huge number of people. Although we cannot really easily point out that market will go that way but atleast we have some indicator or certain to look after so that we could feel that we need to do something so that we can avoid or get benefited on those situation.

If you understand it in technical analysis then it is a simple thing to understand. You can understand the use of various indicators in trading itself. But it's impossible for me to explain in detail and at length here. Because it will be easier for you to read it yourself and understand it yourself. Because there are articles that are also easy to understand in search engines. But one of the simplest things is the declining trading volume. Try searching in a search engine for several terms that can lead to indicators that show indicators to predict whether the downward trend will continue or not. Or you can also understand about "Hidden Bearish Divergence" which is also quite simple to learn but quite important in the world of trading. But believe me, the more you have experience in the market, the more you will get used to knowing which direction the market can go. Because the market has habits and if we can understand them then it will be very simple. But you have to be careful with fundamental news that can suddenly change the direction of the trend. So that's where technical analysis can be defeated by fundamental analysis. And understanding both can make us understand sentimental analysis. But there are times when the market becomes difficult to predict, namely when there is an announcement of an important economic event. Prices tend to be volatile even in bearish or bullish markets. Understand slowly and don't rush. Because I also learned everything gradually and it took several years until I was comfortable in my trading.

If there's a way then majority would really be that prepared whatever the things might comes on, on the time that they have known on where it would be a bearish market then majority would really be selling out their bags on which they would really be securing their bags and would be able to avoid deep negatives on which they would really be moving into stable coin. If that happens then extreme dip or crash could happen since everyone would really be selling because of that knowledge. This is why it would be better that you shouldnt really be making yourself that delusional on believing that market does really have that kind of probability
that it could make out such instant u-turn of events without even knowing on when it would happen.

We would really be just that able to see things on point whether it would be having that pump or would be having that dump.There's no way that you could really be able to make
yourself that be able to predict precisely about market movement and no one would ever know because it could move randomly whether there's a news behind
or really just that moving at all randomly.

Please consider the chart to help you determine where it will be going. We can't tell what will really happen next but the price chart helps us analyze the current situation and predict the upcoming. We don't need to be certain about it but at least, having some views and detailed situations in the past days could give us an idea of where we are today. Traders, investors, and holders are using this tool and this won't just help see the bearish situation of the market but also, the possible price rally. It was always available for you to see.

Predicting market movements is very complex and not easy to do, especially for beginners who have just entered it. The crypto market can be even more difficult than the stock market and so on. Because in the crypto market trends can change rapidly even in one night. But I was told by my friend that usually the signs that the market is starting to grow bearish are when the trading volume in the market as a whole starts to decline accompanied by the Marketcap also decreasing or so on. Sorry if I'm wrong, because I'm still learning at the moment. But I understand a little in general but don't know in more detail.

First, I disagree with you, the market is highly predictable, and it all depends on your expertise and experience about it. Needless to say, some have a high record of good accuracy in this regard. But what is true is that the market is highly uncertain, and because you know how to predict it well doesn't mean that you will not lose a particular prediction (be it current or later). This is why one should always have an understanding of it before they dare to use their prediction to trade/invest, or else, they will fail woefully. However, the market can be bullish or bearish, it all depends on the prevailing conditions as many economic and technical factors could cause it to make a decision, which is why you have to learn how to follow and read the market with both the economic data and happenings around it and with technical analysis.

Still, I prefer you to major in technical analysis, and if you could learn it well and know it better, there is nothing happening in the market that will be missed by your analytical radar.

There is a reason why traders are also called speculators, and that is because despite their best efforts not a single one of their predictions will definitely happen, there are simply too many factors to consider when making a prediction and everything can change in a matter of minutes, so traders need to always keep in mind that even if everything on their strategy seemed to point towards a direction, they could still be wrong and they need to be able to adjust and change their mind almost immediately.

there is no way to get a definite answer but we are trying to find out whether the market will soon be bearish or not, let's see if the global trading volume has increased from the previous day, week or month, then often read the news, such as the arrival of bearishness there will be a lot of positive news about bitcoin, this is the method I use to find out about a bearish market, but it is not completely correct

Overall, however, we as investors will not be able to predict where the price will go next with 100% accuracy, but having a history of previous price movements can give us a reference to at least know some indications that can influence changes in price direction, and this is why a trader must You can always learn and improve your knowledge in the world of trading, especially regarding market movements. If you have a lot of experience in the market and also always learn about market habits at certain times, then you will have several references for the current situation.

Honestly, for myself, I always learn from the formation of candlesticks, especially in support and resistance areas, there are quite a lot of candles that have a big influence on the reversal or continuation of price direction, such as doji candles, hammers, spinning tops, etc. which usually have quite a big influence and accuracy for reversal of price direction, you can see from the price story that has occurred that usually there is the formation of one of the candles above in the support or resistance area that has occurred, and usually I always combine it with several available indicators which are useful for confirming or confirming the direction where the price will move next, I always do this method for scaling in trading sessions, and other things, you can also look for references from news that are related to the asset you are trading.

I do not think that it is going to be bear anytime soon, it is going to be years before it is bear but if you are really wondering what it will be like, then I am going to guess that it would make sense for the price to change on the long run, that would make more sense.

I think the best thing you can do would be just checking the weekly, because if it is down for two weeks in a row, that means the bull is more likely out. I am not saying it is a clear cut guaranteed method, but during the bull run, it either stays about the same or goes up, it doesn't go down for two weeks in a row, that usually doesn't really happen. This is why you should be careful when that happens, it is a rare situation and could be start of the bear run.

One of the ways we can understand whether the market is going to bear is observing the previous chart. This works well in the forex market but not always in the crypto market. The crypto could be manipulated at anytime if we don't understand how things works.
Sometimes the price of a token can be increased or decreased depending on what the project team has in mind. People can decided to pump the of a token even when it does not tally with market trend.

Honestly, you are doing the right thing because seeing the four year cycle work every time is the only thing that works for me. I understand that it may not be all that crazy, but it is what we have at the moment. So it is not really clear when you read any of the other indicators, you may not guess what is going to happen next week, you may only speculate and some people will be right while others will be wrong and they will rotate between each other.

However, when you look at the four year cycle, that seems like the only thing that kept staying the same, it never really changed and that is why people have a lot more trust into that one. If something happened every single time, then there is a good chance that it will happen again, which is why people expect a new ATH within next 15-16 months.

So far I have not been able to figure out any other indicator apart from those period post bull run. Bearish period last for years wherein bull run usually happens between a quarter to just about 6 months, I have considered the days after bull run peak as bearish period based on previous events but the catch here would be to know exactly when it's the peak of bull run because the kind of rally we see in bull run is crazy and every pump gives a mixed feeling of FOMO and also a peak bull run feeling. No one can exactly tell when bearish market starts.

I have decided to track the Bitcoin price during bull run and once it drops down by 10% - 15% I would assume that as starting of bear market as whether rise or fall Bitcoin is the first one to be impacted.