Topic: How can we understand market going to be Bear? - page 2. (Read 1035 times)

If the bear you're talking is about the market correction or sudden dump then that's it. When we fall into the bear market, usually it is following the bull run.

So, you get the patter of its cycle that whenever we're done with the bull run, it is now entering to the bear market. And despite that the market is highly volatile, we still invest right? And that's the best time to start buying when we're on that phase.

Sincerely, I don't think anyone will be able to respond to your query; it will be quite difficult to forecast against cryptocurrency marketing. Since nobody can foresee when the cryptocurrency market will rise or fall, it is subject to speculation. Nevertheless, in spite of everything, there are certain individuals who have consistently followed the cryptocurrency industry, which is why they frequently make headlines.

As a result, those disseminating information use social media sites like Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Whatsapp are the some of people's who know how the crypto market is going on at times, if not even the bull market that everyone is expecting, no one can predict when it will actually start, and current cryptocurrency marketing is terrible, is only Bitcoin that is pump this days the other altcoins not rise. I don't understand why is like that when the Bitcoin start pumping other coins out of existence? That's the aspect of those coins that I find confusing.

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

Be on the lookout for consistent price declines, negative news that can impact investor sentiment, a decrease in trading volume (Which indicates less interest), and bearish patterns on price charts such as head and shoulders or double tops. A major drop in market dominance of the leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin can also signal a wider market downturn. Monitoring macroeconomic factors that influence risk appetite, such as interest rate hikes, can also give you an idea on where the market is right now.
If you would like to discuss this further, you can contact me via my Discord: https://discord.gg/dCvaBZWNcG

I believe that it is pointless to discuss what the market is now or how to determine the onset of a certain market if we do not first agree on what time frame we are talking about. After all, a bear market can occur on different time frames. Let me explain this. For example, during the day we can be in a falling trend, during the week we can be in a growing trend (in a bull market). Moreover, on the monthly timeframe there may be a bearish market, and within the year this bearish market may be part of a bullish market. Therefore, everything is determined by the timeframe. As for a bearish trend, its sign is decreasing highs and lows according to the classical definition. This can be determined even visually, without any technical indicators.

no one knows, unless you are a Blackrock class capital owner who can make movements in the market, but I think the amount of retail money is more than the company's. It is impossible to know where the market is going, bullish or bearish, we can only predict based on technical analysis, fundamentals, history or market patterns. but it's not 100% accurate. If you ask me, I myself use instinct lol. it's strange, but usually a little accurate, if you've been trading in crypto for a long time the pattern will feel the same and you automatically have that skill. a little leak when everyone is optimistic from the news, influence and others will usually be bearish, but if everyone is pessimistic and there is a lot of fud, usually it will be bullish.

There are two ways to get a reference of a bear market.

1. If there is a huge negative news in the market then that can impact BTC price downwards.
2. If the weekly chart is showing BTC price in overbought region then there is a chance of BTC price getting consolidated and can attract a price correction.

Note: It doesn't guarantee that the bear market will start because nobody can predict such cycles.

as far as I know speaking from my experience you just can't really predict bearish market, previous bearish was suddenly started by the collapse of certain companies and foundation, the dump happening in the blink of an eye, thats the thing with crypto dumps happening so fast meanwhile pump happens slowly but sure.
if you think you've made some good profit during the bullrun there's most certainly nothing wrong with just taking the profit.
but if you're so sure that the market will still be bullish for the upcoming future, then go ahead.
market is full of uncertainty those that says they can predict the future, i don't really believe them, instead i would find some news about some bad thing then probably try to get advantage by creating strategy early on.

For old-timers, that seems too easy but I don't think a newbie can't determine the market situation because even by visiting the exchanges or checking on the https://coinmarketcap.com/ we can see the movement of the price where it was enough for a trader or investor to think the current situation. The market direction doesn't change instantly so we can at least predict what will happen a few days from our base date. Although we can't exactly get the actual price at least, we have some ideas as to where it goes whether it will be going up or down. It is very important to rely on the chart for further analysis and our base of predictions.

It isn't possible to instantly understand that not only the cryptocurrency markets but all financial markets have entered a bear cycle but you can understand whether that market is in a bear cycle by examining the situation of any financial market in the last few months. For example, when you examine the data and prices of the last six and twelve months, if there is a constant downward trend and this is valid for the entire financial market it is possible to understand that that market is in a bear cycle.

As I mentioned, it isn't possible to understand the bear cycle within a market at the very beginning of this cycle because bear and bull cycle changes don't occur within a day or a few hours. For example, during a bullish period, a sharp downward movement can be followed by a correction and the upward trend can be continued. Therefore, every sharp decline during the bull period shouldn't be considered as a sign of the bear cycle. For this reason, the most logical thing to do to understand whether a market is in a bull or bear cycle is to examine at least six months of data and price movements.

Remember, it is never necessary and unlikely to sell a financial asset at the top and buy at the bottom. For this reason, I recommend that you examine price movements over a wide period of time and trade without chasing the bottom or top point, in order not to become a prey of big investors while hunting for a cycle change.

We are just finding more and more ways to speculate, nothing more. I mean predictions are dime a dozen and there will always be some people who will predict some new thing, and that is going to be a bit tough situation without a doubt.

I think it could be very well to avoid such things, and that will be just another new version of trying to predict that will give a similar or different result. This isn't really a great situation, it has to be something that will give people a great return eventually. Hopefully, we could get to a point where it would be a little bit more feasible to just buy at the time they think it bottomed out. Finding when it will start to be bear is not something we can do with any trick, it just happens.

You can check momentum indicators such as RSI, usually when the monthly trend becomes overbought we can expect the bear market is near because correction can happen anytime when the momentum at overbought area. When the bear market happens we should take the opportunity because many people miss the buying opportunity around $15k and lots of people hoping that Bitcoin can go around $32k right now.

when it bear market you don't need to bother how to know whether we are experiencing a bear or not you will know through the market everywhere will be bleeding and the price will be seriously trying to resist but it will be even more difficult for the market to withstand and at the end of the day there will be no choice but the market to submit to the bear, and this are events that people already know about and when it is about to occur there are signs that you can tell from. and if a bear is approaching from the candles taking out some analysis you can tell that way, and when it comes to bull too similar.

But these days people are always using tools to discover what will happen even if there is no assurance even without assurance there will be a little bit of truth in whatever result they are getting from their reading. and even does that is experience don't need much before they will know.

Someone that really knows how to trade can trade both sides without a doubt, however due to the way the market moves there is not really a lot of money to be made by going short, since most of the profits you can make occur when the market is bullish, so a good trader may see this and may decide to disregard going short as it is not worth their time to take so many trades for so little profit, however this is a decision very few traders can actually take.

If you are good at market analysis, you will gain an idea whether the market will go bullish or bearish. That way, you can make a trading plan in advance by analyzing the price chart and the movement of the coins in the market. However, whether it’s going bullish or bearish, I think that does not matter at all as long as you know how to trade regardless of the market condition and still end up profitable on your trades.

When the coins are no longer making an impressive price increase, then there are possibilities that we are seeing a bearish market later on. Most especially when negative news and updates are hitting the market consistently and definitely affect the market condition, there are high chances that the market will eventually become bearish.

However, this may not be possible these days as we are heading into a bitcoin halving. We might see prices declining but it does not mean that the market is close to bearish but it’s more on a price correction that will be back to normal after few days.

This may be starting to appear at this time where market conditions are starting to improve again so that traders can also set their selling price if they don't want to hold on to it for too long. Because some traders usually prefer to take profits that are clearly visible rather than waiting for bigger profits over a longer period of time. Market conditions are not easy for anyone to predict, but with the presence of very good moments this year, it will certainly make more people feel optimistic about better conditions in the market.

For certain time frames – technical analysis can be one way to help you recognize when prices will fall. You can recognize the initial phase before bearish - it is like a failure to break through resistance followed by a gradual fall in price. You can recognize several other phases such as fundamentals becoming unsupportive, trading volume falling, stronger negative sentiment and others.

Technically there are several indicators that you can use as a reason to assume that the market will be bearish - apart from that, correlations between markets such as stock market crashes or major disasters ^{[such as pandemics and the like]} also be other indicators.

It creates a certain advantage when you are inclined to technical analysis in the market but this won’t completely guarantee that you will be a successful trader in the process. No one holds what will be the market movement of bitcoin and other crypto coins, so it could be a sudden bearish or bullish. But with the advantages you have, by seeing support and resistance levels, you can set a good trading plan, despite of how the market moves whether bearish or bullish.

TA and FA analysis will make everything clear, it is not easy for beginners but it will be very useful to know whether the market is in bullish condition or still in bearish mode. The graphic analysis that you do is based on past data so you can see how the trend will occur next, but it won't be accurate, it's just a basic reading. The more FUD, the deeper the market will enter bearish mode.